Realized P&L
+$311
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
36
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$8.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$959
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-21 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
65% 83% +$130
Politics
33% 82% +$165
Tech
1% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +235 $200 82¢ $192 -$8 09-07 19:24
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +190 $150 98¢ $186 +$36 09-07 18:58
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +131 $100 88¢ $116 +$16 09-07 20:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +112 $100 99¢ $111 +$11 09-07 20:12
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +115 $100 90¢ $104 +$4 09-07 19:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +106 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 07-05 19:40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +263 $126 20¢ $53 -$73 09-17 22:22
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 95¢ $51 +$1 07-05 19:53
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +24 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 08-26 13:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 09-07 20:32