Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$230
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,618
lifetime
Volume
$618.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$383
Open exposure
$7.74K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 05:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67%
Other
33%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -3,186 $-3,157 100¢ $-3179 $-22 06-09 16:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $930 100¢ $998 +$68 06-08 23:50
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +1,000 $900 99¢ $987 +$87 06-09 00:11
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +900 $693 80¢ $724 +$32 06-01 18:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +341 $305 100¢ $340 +$35 06-02 01:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +326 $290 92¢ $298 +$8 06-08 23:45
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +300 $282 94¢ $282 +$0 06-08 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +250 $237 96¢ $240 +$3 06-01 18:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +200 $193 100¢ $200 +$6 06-01 17:15
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +200 $188 96¢ $191 +$3 06-01 18:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +186 $180 100¢ $186 +$6 06-01 19:12
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$4 06-09 00:19
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-09 00:12