Tender-Tradition 0xef4a95…e45eeb
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
771
Trades
3,584
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$835
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-27 10:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
48% 71% -$106
Politics
31% 81% -$120
Sports
12% 60% +$212
Tech
5% 75% -$9
Crypto
3% 69% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +82 $82 100¢ $82 +$0 10-12 21:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +83 $80 96¢ $79 -$1 10-09 08:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +78 $74 94¢ $73 -$1 10-25 15:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +71 $62 96¢ $68 +$6 09-13 18:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +55 $53 96¢ $53 +$0 10-13 05:16
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +49 $47 97¢ $48 +$1 10-05 17:40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +49 $45 92¢ $45 +$0 10-08 14:27
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +41 $37 97¢ $40 +$3 09-16 21:22
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +35 $33 96¢ $34 +$1 10-01 06:18
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$0 09-22 15:17
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +28 $24 95¢ $26 +$2 08-02 00:11
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +25 $25 97¢ $25 $0 08-05 02:08
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +26 $24 92¢ $24 +$0 07-10 03:35
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-27 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +22 $21 98¢ $21 +$0 10-01 06:57
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 09-13 20:14
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +19 $18 99¢ $18 +$1 10-07 00:14
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +18 $16 94¢ $16 +$0 05-10 11:49
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 10-10 01:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 $0 10-25 15:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +67 $12 16¢ $11 -$1 09-28 06:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 08-23 23:43
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 09-14 18:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9 -$1 92¢ $-8 -$7 05-26 10:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 08-04 20:00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$1 07-09 02:58
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-07 04:37
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 08-02 00:11
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 07-21 21:15
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 09-03 04:17