Tender-Tradition 0xef4a95…e45eeb
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,759
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$326
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-30 23:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
43% 50% $-1
Other
35% 68% $-88
Sports
13% 57% $-3
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-32 100¢ $-32 $-0 06-06 17:25
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 06-17 00:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +26 $24 91¢ $23 $-1 06-07 15:45
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -18 $-18 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-06 17:25
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No -16 $-16 100¢ $-16 $-0 06-06 17:25
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 06-05 20:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 06-13 17:38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 +$0 06-05 18:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-22 04:41
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-08 04:57
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$0 05-28 04:06
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-05 19:00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-07 01:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-06 21:00
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-16 04:45
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-28 08:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-06 22:40
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-07 05:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-15 17:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:00
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-07 16:28
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-18 03:26
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-07 15:39
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 21:09
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42