Tender-Tradition 0xef4a95…e45eeb
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
35
Trades
2,036
lifetime
Volume
$15.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$459
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-20 07:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
39% 50% $-1
Other
36% 68% $-88
Sports
14% 57% $-3
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +67 $64 98¢ $65 +$1 07-12 00:37
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +84 $42 50¢ $42 $-0 07-07 16:16
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -41 $-40 98¢ $-41 $-0 07-07 16:32
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +34 $32 96¢ $33 +$1 07-13 10:34
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +34 $32 95¢ $32 +$0 07-13 19:05
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +48 $24 50¢ $24 +$0 07-18 22:53
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +26 $24 92¢ $24 $-0 06-07 15:45
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +26 $24 90¢ $24 $-0 07-10 03:35
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$1 07-08 10:44
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +17 $16 97¢ $16 +$0 07-14 09:17
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 07-11 22:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +21 $8 46¢ $9 +$1 07-14 06:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-10 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +16 $8 55¢ $9 +$1 07-19 07:29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +9 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 06-05 18:48
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 07-10 02:05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 07-09 01:17
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-07 04:37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 07-09 02:58
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +9 $8 93¢ $8 +$0 06-07 16:28
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $-0 07-10 13:17
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 93¢ $8 $-0 06-07 16:27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +8 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 07-13 16:40
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -15 $-8 50¢ $-8 +$0 06-06 17:27
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 89¢ $8 $-0 07-12 05:17
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -8 $-7 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-06 17:27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-06 17:26