Tender-Tradition 0xef4a95…e45eeb
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,721
lifetime
Volume
$13.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$307
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-08 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
43% 50% $-1
Other
34% 68% $-88
Sports
13% 57% $-3
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-32 99¢ $-32 $-0 06-06 17:25
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +26 $24 92¢ $24 $-0 06-07 15:45
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -18 $-18 99¢ $-18 $-0 06-06 17:25
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No -16 $-16 99¢ $-16 $-0 06-06 17:25
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 $-0 06-05 20:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 +$0 06-05 18:48
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-08 17:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-08 04:57
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-07 01:52
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-08 17:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-04 17:17
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-06 21:00
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 05-28 04:06
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-05 19:00
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 05-28 08:20
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-06 22:40
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-05 20:42
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-05 21:03
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-05 21:09
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-05 20:42
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-05 20:42
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-05 20:42
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-05 20:42
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-07 15:39
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-07 11:21
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-05 21:06
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 $-0 06-07 04:37
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 06-07 16:28