Tender-Tradition 0xef4a95…e45eeb Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
837
Trades
3,714
lifetime
Volume
$33.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$755
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-02 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
48% 71% -$114
Politics
32% 78% -$135
Sports
12% 60% +$212
Tech
5% 76% -$8
Crypto
3% 67% -$21
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +83 $80 98¢ $81 +$1 10-09 08:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 10-13 05:16
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +49 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 10-08 14:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +43 $40 97¢ $42 +$2 08-25 02:06
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $40 95¢ $41 +$1 09-25 14:21
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +41 $37 98¢ $41 +$3 09-16 21:22
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +39 $37 96¢ $37 +$0 10-29 17:41
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +35 $33 97¢ $34 +$1 10-01 06:18
will clarence thomas announce his retirement by december 31 2026 20260701190628700 No +35 $32 91¢ $31 -$1 07-13 14:46
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 09-22 15:17
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +29 $26 90¢ $26 +$1 11-02 16:31
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +28 $24 95¢ $26 +$2 08-02 00:11
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? No +26 $25 94¢ $25 -$1 10-09 13:56
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +25 $25 97¢ $24 $0 08-05 02:08
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30? No +23 $22 99¢ $23 +$0 10-09 14:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +22 $21 98¢ $22 +$0 10-01 06:57
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$0 11-02 11:40
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 09-13 20:14
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +18 $17 97¢ $17 +$1 11-01 08:59
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +18 $16 94¢ $16 +$0 05-10 11:49
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$16 98¢ $-15 +$1 10-28 12:19
Trump out as President before 2027? No -14 -$20 97¢ $-14 +$6 11-02 13:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +67 $12 17¢ $11 -$1 09-28 06:37
will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246 No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 07-18 23:31
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 06-07 04:37
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 09-03 04:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 08-04 20:00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$1 11-02 00:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 07-09 02:58
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 07-21 21:15