Realized P&L
+$703
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,528
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$279
Open exposure
$81.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
58% 75% +$434
Politics
41% 100% +$268
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +14,877 $13,887 94¢ $14.0K +$149 06-26 05:06
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +8,305 $7,794 94¢ $7.8K +$54 06-29 20:32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +6,798 $6,662 100¢ $6.8K +$129 06-24 20:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,206 $3,547 89¢ $3.7K +$196 06-21 06:33
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +3,991 $3,459 86¢ $3.4K $-27 06-30 12:51
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -3,274 $-3,263 100¢ $-3270 $-8 06-21 13:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3,500 $2,980 86¢ $3.0K +$47 06-30 07:27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +2,836 $2,801 100¢ $2.8K +$29 06-26 09:51
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -3,484 $-2,772 80¢ $-2804 $-33 06-30 23:10
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -2,463 $-2,433 100¢ $-2459 $-26 06-03 03:01
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2,492 $-2,342 96¢ $-2393 $-51 06-05 05:48
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -2,535 $-2,386 94¢ $-2383 +$3 06-27 16:03
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +2,301 $2,245 100¢ $2.3K +$54 06-05 16:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,500 $2,250 92¢ $2.3K +$38 06-26 20:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2,315 $-2,189 96¢ $-2212 $-23 06-09 07:02
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -2,212 $-2,189 100¢ $-2209 $-20 06-22 12:06
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +2,358 $2,079 92¢ $2.2K +$78 06-08 20:16
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -2,113 $-2,102 100¢ $-2111 $-8 06-05 11:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,467 $2,066 86¢ $2.1K +$44 06-21 13:48
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -1,477 $-1,407 96¢ $-1413 $-6 06-12 22:54
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +1,291 $1,255 100¢ $1.3K +$35 06-24 17:23
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1,369 $1,212 92¢ $1.3K +$41 06-21 13:40
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No +1,182 $997 90¢ $1.1K +$72 06-24 13:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,071 $894 99¢ $1.1K +$169 06-29 08:17
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +993 $906 97¢ $967 +$61 06-25 08:15
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +966 $850 94¢ $904 +$53 06-15 19:37
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +822 $772 94¢ $777 +$5 06-13 08:26
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +756 $748 100¢ $754 +$6 06-09 23:46
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +755 $735 99¢ $750 +$14 06-10 16:15
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -682 $-906 98¢ $-667 +$239 06-23 10:40