Realized P&L
+$703
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,984
lifetime
Volume
$1.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$301
Open exposure
$59.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
58% 75% +$434
Politics
41% 100% +$268
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +13,877 $12,946 94¢ $13.0K +$84 06-09 03:42
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +10,231 $10,093 99¢ $10.1K +$45 06-10 01:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,003 $2,562 90¢ $2.7K +$125 06-08 23:41
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -2,715 $-2,525 94¢ $-2539 $-14 06-09 00:27
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -2,463 $-2,433 99¢ $-2441 $-7 06-03 03:01
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2,492 $-2,342 96¢ $-2379 $-37 06-05 05:48
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +2,301 $2,245 98¢ $2.3K +$13 06-05 16:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2,315 $-2,189 94¢ $-2188 +$1 06-09 07:02
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +2,200 $2,167 99¢ $2.2K +$17 06-09 00:32
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +2,128 $2,100 99¢ $2.1K +$4 06-01 03:16
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +2,358 $2,079 88¢ $2.1K +$8 06-08 20:16
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -2,113 $-2,102 98¢ $-2079 +$23 06-05 11:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,000 $1,800 90¢ $1.8K $-10 06-05 15:24
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1,613 $1,494 92¢ $1.5K $-2 06-01 09:16
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -1,454 $-1,384 96¢ $-1393 $-9 06-09 15:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,455 $1,212 82¢ $1.2K $-12 06-08 02:53
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -1,194 $-919 78¢ $-925 $-6 06-02 02:03
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +870 $818 94¢ $822 +$4 06-07 14:34
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +756 $748 99¢ $750 +$2 06-09 23:46
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +766 $674 90¢ $694 +$19 06-04 13:29
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -729 $-693 94¢ $-682 +$11 06-08 05:36
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +565 $551 98¢ $555 +$4 06-09 15:12
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -559 $-556 99¢ $-555 +$1 06-08 03:25
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes +519 $472 95¢ $495 +$23 06-04 02:54
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +500 $475 98¢ $488 +$13 06-04 10:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +516 $387 76¢ $392 +$5 06-09 00:55
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +439 $381 88¢ $387 +$5 06-08 12:05
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +362 $326 92¢ $332 +$5 06-03 17:46
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +220 $216 98¢ $216 $-0 06-08 12:11
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 06-03 23:21