Realized P&L
-$7.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.14K
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
162
Trades
9,551
lifetime
Volume
$2.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$264
Open exposure
$193.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
51% 81% -$2,812
Other
47% 83% -$5,258
Crypto
1% 100% +$294
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +29,021 $26,443 96¢ $27.7K +$1,272 10-23 20:59
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +26,247 $25,005 98¢ $25.7K +$664 10-27 05:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +13,318 $11,769 94¢ $12.6K +$816 10-23 06:09
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +12,049 $11,084 96¢ $11.6K +$531 10-23 15:28
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$9,742 98¢ $-9835 -$93 10-12 08:42
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10,792 $9,364 86¢ $9.3K -$88 10-20 10:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No -8,913 -$8,491 96¢ $-8526 -$34 10-25 16:59
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +8,082 $7,978 99¢ $8.0K +$51 10-25 10:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7,465 $6,614 94¢ $7.1K +$440 10-25 21:53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,290 $6,804 92¢ $6.7K -$79 10-25 22:03
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6,711 -$5,206 94¢ $-6342 -$1,135 10-25 18:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,450 -$6,041 98¢ $-6299 -$257 07-29 09:28
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +6,236 $5,375 95¢ $5.9K +$533 10-27 04:44
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +6,125 $5,446 96¢ $5.8K +$403 09-25 20:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5,900 $5,243 94¢ $5.6K +$308 10-17 17:19
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,393 95¢ $4.6K +$225 10-27 05:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,896 -$4,946 98¢ $-3801 +$1,146 10-05 19:42
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +3,520 $2,243 92¢ $3.2K +$1,001 10-27 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,697 $3,512 82¢ $3.0K -$500 10-25 09:40
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,018 -$2,836 96¢ $-2886 -$50 06-05 05:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,004 $3,143 95¢ $2.9K -$289 10-27 05:36
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -2,831 -$2,709 98¢ $-2783 -$74 10-12 23:35
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +2,841 $2,734 97¢ $2.8K +$25 10-26 19:45
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +2,478 $2,320 99¢ $2.4K +$125 10-26 15:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,488 $1,642 82¢ $2.0K +$386 10-25 20:03
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +1,521 $1,299 97¢ $1.5K +$175 10-18 19:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,232 -$1,006 44¢ $-1407 -$402 10-25 17:50
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -1,095 -$1,063 98¢ $-1071 -$8 07-27 09:01
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -950 -$982 100¢ $-948 +$34 09-23 05:29
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +919 $866 95¢ $877 +$11 10-05 02:05