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whale
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$823
Unrealized P&L
+$7.10K
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved (90d)
53
Trades (90d)
2,331
9,856 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$970.9K
$2.73M lifetime
Avg / trade
$277
Open exposure
$183.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
53% 82% -$463
Other
46% 85% -$3,981
Crypto
1% 100% +$294
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +26,598 $24,467 97¢ $25.9K +$1,426 11-04 18:17
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +18,083 $16,944 98¢ $17.6K +$705 11-05 04:39
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,017 $16,661 93¢ $16.8K +$140 11-04 10:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +14,925 $13,303 97¢ $14.5K +$1,167 10-29 17:45
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$9,742 99¢ $-9870 -$128 10-12 08:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No -8,172 -$7,836 96¢ $-7874 -$38 11-03 18:39
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8,981 $7,348 84¢ $7.5K +$191 11-01 21:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7,465 $6,614 96¢ $7.2K +$589 10-25 21:53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,290 $6,804 96¢ $7.0K +$180 10-25 22:03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,693 -$6,279 98¢ $-6583 -$304 10-29 14:18
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +6,687 $5,811 98¢ $6.6K +$756 10-30 22:27
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6,730 -$5,225 96¢ $-6427 -$1,202 11-02 04:57
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +5,850 $5,470 98¢ $5.7K +$249 11-04 09:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5,918 $5,260 95¢ $5.6K +$389 10-29 15:02
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +5,347 $5,157 99¢ $5.3K +$161 11-04 04:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,896 -$4,946 98¢ $-3836 +$1,110 10-05 19:42
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -3,340 -$3,829 98¢ $-3276 +$553 11-04 20:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,697 $3,512 88¢ $3.2K -$278 10-25 09:40
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +3,257 $3,149 98¢ $3.2K +$45 11-05 04:39
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -3,072 -$2,946 99¢ $-3029 -$84 10-29 14:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,018 -$2,836 98¢ $-2950 -$113 06-05 05:48
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2,889 $1,647 96¢ $2.8K +$1,129 11-01 11:19
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +2,252 $2,002 97¢ $2.2K +$173 11-02 14:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -2,190 -$2,542 97¢ $-2131 +$412 11-02 15:46
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No -1,456 -$1,496 98¢ $-1422 +$74 10-22 13:26
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -1,095 -$1,063 98¢ $-1070 -$7 07-27 09:01
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -950 -$982 100¢ $-947 +$35 09-23 05:29
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +919 $866 95¢ $872 +$7 10-05 02:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $897 86¢ $865 -$32 11-05 04:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +841 $1,009 96¢ $807 -$202 11-03 23:42