Realized P&L (7d)
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$6.12K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
359
9,810 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$190.4K
$2.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$272
Open exposure
$196.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
52% 81% -$2,812
Other
47% 84% -$5,184
Crypto
1% 100% +$294
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +47,153 $45,487 99¢ $46.8K +$1,265 11-01 01:28
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +14,925 $13,303 96¢ $14.3K +$950 10-29 17:45
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +12,153 $11,185 96¢ $11.7K +$494 10-28 06:27
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +13,389 $11,229 83¢ $11.1K -$109 10-31 17:22
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +10,624 $8,975 96¢ $10.2K +$1,224 10-30 09:16
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$9,742 98¢ $-9825 -$83 10-12 08:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No -7,923 -$7,569 96¢ $-7633 -$64 10-29 22:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7,465 $6,614 94¢ $7.0K +$403 10-25 21:53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,290 $6,804 94¢ $6.8K +$12 10-25 22:03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,693 -$6,279 98¢ $-6546 -$267 10-29 14:18
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +6,687 $5,811 97¢ $6.5K +$646 10-30 22:27
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6,735 -$5,230 94¢ $-6365 -$1,135 10-28 09:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6,341 $6,311 94¢ $6.0K -$318 10-27 19:25
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +6,125 $5,446 96¢ $5.8K +$403 09-25 20:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5,918 $5,260 94¢ $5.6K +$291 10-29 15:02
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +4,881 $4,693 99¢ $4.8K +$139 10-31 08:50
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +3,939 $3,609 97¢ $3.8K +$194 10-29 17:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,896 -$4,946 97¢ $-3797 +$1,149 10-05 19:42
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +3,520 $2,243 94¢ $3.3K +$1,084 10-27 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,697 $3,512 82¢ $3.0K -$463 10-25 09:40
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -3,072 -$2,946 98¢ $-3026 -$81 10-29 14:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,018 -$2,836 97¢ $-2922 -$86 06-05 05:48
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +2,391 $2,302 97¢ $2.3K +$10 10-29 21:40
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -1,507 -$1,874 97¢ $-1462 +$412 10-29 21:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,732 -$801 41¢ $-1108 -$307 10-30 10:05
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -1,095 -$1,063 98¢ $-1069 -$6 07-27 09:01
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -950 -$982 100¢ $-946 +$36 09-23 05:29
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +919 $866 96¢ $879 +$13 10-05 02:05
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +824 $629 96¢ $788 +$159 10-29 21:47
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison No +677 $504 97¢ $654 +$150 10-15 20:01