Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$281
$88 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,130
Latest YES mid
73¢
Latest NO mid
27¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 09:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $20 | $13 | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $7 | $12 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $108 | $15 | +$93 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | $24 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $84 | $2 | +$82 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $20 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $35 | $2 | +$33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | +65 | $48 | $88 | 6 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | +48 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-07 23:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-07 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-12 09:20 |
| Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | +17 | $15 | $55 | 7 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-02 22:58 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 22:58 |
| Somber-Rule 0xf156…8fbc | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 23:47 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | +3 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 14:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 09:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x772374… |
| 06-12 09:20:24 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x772374… |
| 06-11 23:47:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x019206… |
| 06-11 23:47:36 | Somber-Rule 0xf156…8fbc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x019206… |
| 06-11 16:10:25 | (anonymous) 0xa0d1…734c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x9bb6a7… |
| 06-11 16:10:25 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9bb6a7… |
| 06-11 12:11:58 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xd6f75e… |
| 06-11 12:11:58 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | SELL | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xd6f75e… |
| 06-09 00:25:06 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xe029c7… |
| 06-09 00:25:06 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xe029c7… |
| 06-08 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x5320d1… |
| 06-08 19:24:18 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x5320d1… |
| 06-08 18:54:43 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc50a78… |
| 06-08 18:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc50a78… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-07 23:36:34 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x01ad3c… |
| 06-07 23:36:34 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x01ad3c… |
| 06-07 23:35:55 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xd8b79d… |
| 06-07 23:35:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd8b79d… |
| 06-07 23:35:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x65d1e2… |
| 06-07 23:35:52 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0x65d1e2… |
| 06-07 23:35:45 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x031c9a… |
| 06-07 23:35:45 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x031c9a… |
| 06-07 23:35:15 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x6598dc… |
| 06-07 23:35:15 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x6598dc… |
| 06-07 23:30:22 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 73¢ | $16 | 0x746968… |
| 06-07 23:30:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x746968… |
| 06-07 23:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x746968… |
| 06-02 22:58:09 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x190e0b… |
| 06-02 22:58:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x190e0b… |
| 06-02 14:11:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xedc255… |
| 06-02 14:11:01 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xedc255… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | Powerful-Asymmetry 0xb22a…2815 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 37 | 19¢ | $7 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | Pretty-Pickax 0x7667…fad9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | Hateful-Contract 0x14b2…ac16 | No | SELL | 60 | 21¢ | $13 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 06-02 09:14:43 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xe32d0d… |
| 05-28 13:57:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x3f7275… |
| 05-28 13:57:28 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x3f7275… |
| 05-28 13:36:42 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x5e0536… |
| 05-28 13:36:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x5e0536… |
| 05-28 13:36:42 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x5e0536… |