Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$837
$88 in 24h
Trades
121
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,130
Latest YES mid
78¢
Latest NO mid
22¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 10:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $33 | $20 | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $17 | $51 | $34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $157 | $28 | +$129 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $154 | $7 | +$147 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $11 | $44 | $33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $97 | $5 | +$92 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $32 | $32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 8 | $238 | $2 | +$236 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | +68 | $54 | $110 | 6 | 06-19 15:16 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | +40 | $8 | $12 | 4 | 07-02 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-12 09:20 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | +24 | $7 | $17 | 5 | 07-02 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +21 | $4 | $18 | 4 | 07-04 06:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +18 | $7 | $30 | 10 | 07-04 06:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-02 22:58 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 22:58 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 16:27 |
| Somber-Rule 0xf156…8fbc | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 23:47 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-03 19:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $3 | $22 | 3 | 07-03 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | +3 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 14:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $0 | $3 | 3 | 06-20 13:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 10:53:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xa56599… |
| 07-04 10:53:02 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xa56599… |
| 07-04 06:24:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xa83b35… |
| 07-04 06:24:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xa83b35… |
| 07-04 06:24:14 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x262349… |
| 07-04 06:24:14 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x262349… |
| 07-04 06:24:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x262349… |
| 07-04 06:24:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x262349… |
| 07-03 19:31:28 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x151179… |
| 07-03 19:31:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x151179… |
| 07-03 19:31:25 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xe51d02… |
| 07-03 19:31:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xe51d02… |
| 07-03 19:31:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe51d02… |
| 07-03 19:31:08 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xd4d68b… |
| 07-03 19:31:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xd4d68b… |
| 07-03 09:15:08 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4ff39a… |
| 07-03 09:15:08 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 79¢ | $17 | 0x4ff39a… |
| 07-03 09:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0x4ff39a… |
| 07-03 09:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x4ff39a… |
| 07-02 18:31:11 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x4fd275… |
| 07-02 18:31:11 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x4fd275… |
| 07-02 18:31:05 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xab0c3b… |
| 07-02 18:31:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xab0c3b… |
| 07-02 18:31:05 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xab0c3b… |
| 07-02 18:31:02 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xb6f10a… |
| 07-02 18:31:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xb6f10a… |
| 07-02 18:25:32 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x1c7f95… |
| 07-02 18:25:32 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x1c7f95… |
| 07-02 18:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x1c7f95… |
| 07-02 18:25:20 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xa2ae9c… |
| 07-02 18:25:20 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xa2ae9c… |
| 07-02 18:20:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8f7916… |
| 07-02 18:20:13 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x8f7916… |
| 07-01 22:05:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x6b5ca6… |
| 07-01 22:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x6b5ca6… |
| 07-01 21:15:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 45 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x905a77… |
| 07-01 21:15:08 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 80¢ | $36 | 0x905a77… |
| 07-01 21:10:13 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x2507e0… |
| 07-01 21:10:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2507e0… |
| 07-01 21:10:10 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 79¢ | $48 | 0x996815… |
| 07-01 21:10:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x996815… |
| 07-01 21:10:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x996815… |
| 06-28 08:23:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd9a7fd… |
| 06-28 08:23:10 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xd9a7fd… |
| 06-28 08:07:02 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x523b5c… |
| 06-28 08:07:02 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x523b5c… |
| 06-26 21:56:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xbb5e90… |
| 06-26 21:56:23 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xbb5e90… |
| 06-26 20:33:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xc5898c… |
| 06-26 20:33:10 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xc5898c… |
| 06-24 15:59:37 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x944a51… |
| 06-24 15:59:37 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x944a51… |
| 06-24 15:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x11cb20… |
| 06-24 15:53:53 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x11cb20… |
| 06-24 15:53:53 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x11cb20… |
| 06-20 13:51:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x0072c9… |
| 06-20 13:51:22 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x0072c9… |
| 06-19 15:16:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x473649… |
| 06-19 15:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x473649… |
| 06-19 09:37:41 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x8ec973… |
| 06-19 09:37:41 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x8ec973… |
| 06-19 09:37:41 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x8ec973… |
| 06-18 16:27:53 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 61¢ | $9 | 0x783006… |
| 06-18 16:27:53 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x783006… |
| 06-18 16:27:53 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x783006… |
| 06-18 09:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 76¢ | $27 | 0x2b833c… |
| 06-18 09:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 29 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x2b833c… |
| 06-18 09:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x2b833c… |
| 06-17 09:44:32 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x24aca8… |
| 06-17 09:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x24aca8… |
| 06-17 09:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x179445… |
| 06-17 09:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 78¢ | $58 | 0x179445… |
| 06-17 09:38:50 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | SELL | 63 | 78¢ | $49 | 0x179445… |
| 06-17 09:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xc2b730… |
| 06-17 09:36:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xc2b730… |
| 06-17 09:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 77¢ | $20 | 0xc2b730… |
| 06-12 09:20:24 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x772374… |
| 06-12 09:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x772374… |
| 06-11 23:47:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x019206… |
| 06-11 23:47:36 | Somber-Rule 0xf156…8fbc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x019206… |
| 06-11 16:10:25 | (anonymous) 0xa0d1…734c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x9bb6a7… |
| 06-11 16:10:25 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9bb6a7… |
| 06-11 12:11:58 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | SELL | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xd6f75e… |
| 06-11 12:11:58 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xd6f75e… |
| 06-09 00:25:06 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xe029c7… |
| 06-09 00:25:06 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xe029c7… |
| 06-08 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x5320d1… |
| 06-08 19:24:18 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x5320d1… |
| 06-08 18:54:43 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc50a78… |
| 06-08 18:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc50a78… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x329d68… |
| 06-07 23:36:34 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x01ad3c… |
| 06-07 23:36:34 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x01ad3c… |
| 06-07 23:35:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd8b79d… |
| 06-07 23:35:55 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xd8b79d… |
| 06-07 23:35:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x65d1e2… |
| 06-07 23:35:52 | Cheap-Offer 0x054d…27bf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0x65d1e2… |
| 06-07 23:35:45 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x031c9a… |