Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
915
lifetime
Volume
$4.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$498
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 07-21 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% +$4
Politics
29% 100% +$13
Crypto
19% 0% $-2
Tech
10%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -61 $-58 96¢ $-59 $-1 06-25 09:53
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -59 $-57 98¢ $-58 $-2 06-25 09:53
Obama divorce before 2027? No -42 $-40 97¢ $-41 $-1 06-25 10:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +35 $30 72¢ $25 $-4 06-15 00:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$1 06-12 02:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +27 $21 82¢ $22 +$1 06-29 03:57
Elon Bull Run Parlay No -22 $-21 97¢ $-21 $-0 07-02 23:35
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +32 $19 55¢ $18 $-1 07-21 15:32
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$4 06-19 07:12
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 $-0 07-12 13:30
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +20 $15 73¢ $15 $-1 07-12 06:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 06-12 00:54
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $14 64¢ $13 $-2 07-18 17:43
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 06-12 13:43
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +26 $11 45¢ $12 +$1 07-21 15:21
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +18 $8 59¢ $11 +$2 07-15 03:47
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-08 01:09
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $2 90¢ $9 +$7 06-21 05:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$0 06-16 17:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 06-24 10:51
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-04 01:55
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Something -100 $-4 $-9 $-4 06-15 08:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -9 $-9 97¢ $-9 $-0 07-08 21:59
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 06-21 23:46
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 06-24 13:44
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $8 85¢ $8 +$0 07-15 17:39
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +20 $12 41¢ $8 $-3 07-15 11:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 06-10 15:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $3 78¢ $8 +$5 06-17 15:51
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$1 07-06 05:52