Euphoric-Headline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$5.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-10 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

41% 50% +$4

Politics

26% 100% +$13

Crypto

20% 0% $-2

Tech

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	14	$209	495	495	+0	open	—	06-13 12:39
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	16	$117	126	126	+0	open	—	08-09 18:17
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	2	$61	37	36	+1	open	—	04-18 22:26
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$58	0	61	-61	open	—	06-25 09:53
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	6	$58	48	48	+0	open	—	07-05 02:56
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	1	$57	0	59	-59	open	—	06-25 09:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$54	58	58	+0	open	—	05-23 18:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	5	$53	53	53	+0	open	—	08-09 18:17
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$52	70	70	+0	open	—	07-22 02:34
will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	2	$52	308	308	+0	open	—	08-06 18:48
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	12	$52	59	51	+8	open	—	08-08 23:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$51	80	5	+75	open	—	08-05 01:00
iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	6	$51	155	155	+0	open	—	08-09 12:57
nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	2	$51	181	181	+0	open	—	08-09 18:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	03-20 21:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$50	54	47	+8	open	—	04-05 03:16
pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	4	$48	49	49	+0	open	—	03-26 04:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	8	$48	87	84	+3	open	—	04-25 18:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$48	66	66	+0	open	—	04-25 17:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	06-11 12:57
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$46	257	257	+0	open	—	04-19 07:37
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	2	$44	83	83	+0	open	—	08-05 19:06
will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	08-06 18:22
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	9	$42	132	119	+14	open	—	06-25 01:49
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	7	$42	73	40	+33	open	—	07-08 14:00
Obama divorce before 2027?	1	$40	0	42	-42	open	—	06-25 10:04
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	7	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-14 22:36
crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	9	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	08-05 10:38
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	06-24 00:44
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	10	$39	50	38	+11	open	—	07-24 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:41:04	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xeb2a7b…
08-10 21:10:15	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa1331b…
08-10 04:24:09	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x4ced1b…
08-09 22:00:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xd3e463…
08-09 18:59:21	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	SELL	181	11¢	$20	0xfd4dfe…
08-09 18:19:46	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x67770f…
08-09 18:17:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0x8dcfdf…
08-09 18:17:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x4e2dd2…
08-09 18:17:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x3609af…
08-09 18:17:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0xbb53b9…
08-09 12:57:36	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0x1078d6…
08-09 12:56:15	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x98bdb0…
08-09 11:38:46	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x05c358…
08-09 10:40:31	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x05830c…
08-09 09:59:42	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x41d91f…
08-09 09:56:19	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x9af6ea…
08-08 23:27:30	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xba2314…
08-08 23:17:27	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0x7c3783…
08-08 23:15:33	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	63¢	$12	0x017ab3…
08-08 23:11:51	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xcec453…
08-08 23:09:24	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9c7a97…
08-08 23:09:24	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x71f335…
08-08 23:09:01	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x83a9e5…
08-08 15:19:22	Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa3630e…
08-08 06:37:52	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x000d3c…
08-08 06:37:51	iran leadership change by october 31	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xcfad5e…
08-08 06:37:51	iran leadership change by november 30	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x582cb9…
08-08 06:06:07	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x287ca7…
08-08 02:28:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb8df5a…
08-08 02:28:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1e9451…
08-07 16:30:24	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	181	17¢	$31	0xb4653a…
08-07 15:21:31	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x4a41c6…
08-07 14:14:39	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xbe8d4c…
08-07 10:18:37	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x58e5c2…
08-07 01:41:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd554dc…
08-07 00:18:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	53	11¢	$6	0xdd897f…
08-06 23:31:20	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	11¢	$9	0x88584d…
08-06 19:10:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xd53a2b…
08-06 19:10:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x67dac8…
08-06 19:08:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xac23d3…
08-06 18:48:12	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	308	9¢	$28	0x608c93…
08-06 18:22:23	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0x053a4b…
08-06 17:26:38	will jose luis rodriguez zapatero be arrested by december 31 2026 20260628222238877	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2a9fc5…
08-06 17:03:48	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x81bbb5…
08-06 17:01:45	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	No	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0xa82235…
08-06 17:01:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	53	14¢	$7	0xa4170b…
08-06 17:01:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xff575b…
08-06 17:01:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x70550f…
08-06 17:01:05	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x692e50…
08-06 17:00:53	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x33184a…
08-06 17:00:42	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0x5bb498…
08-06 17:00:11	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x721776…
08-06 17:00:02	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x8a380f…
08-06 16:59:53	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x179fc3…
08-06 16:59:29	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x1fe566…
08-06 16:59:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x876cc4…
08-06 16:58:41	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x3ed0a1…
08-05 19:28:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9c097e…
08-05 19:06:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	83	41¢	$34	0xf565cb…
08-05 18:44:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	121	21¢	$25	0x9c8ce1…
08-05 18:16:32	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0xcdd1e1…
08-05 18:16:32	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0xc85189…
08-05 10:38:59	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x258619…
08-05 10:38:17	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x362bb5…
08-05 10:36:57	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbff2a3…
08-05 10:36:12	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5a21bd…
08-05 10:35:54	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8794b3…
08-05 10:34:35	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd16a22…
08-05 10:33:41	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3a2655…
08-05 10:33:02	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7c1a19…
08-05 10:32:54	crichundredw man wel 2026 08 05	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x5fc8d4…
08-05 07:56:54	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xcabb4d…
08-05 07:55:45	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6e9ef5…
08-05 01:00:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x85712c…
08-05 00:56:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x60af32…
08-04 22:55:53	will jose luis rodriguez zapatero be arrested by december 31 2026 20260628222238877	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x098a81…
08-04 22:05:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2178cc…
08-04 07:49:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3ff8e4…
08-04 07:11:59	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	308	8¢	$25	0xaaa7b7…
08-04 05:38:45	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd6c62d…
08-04 05:38:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x34248a…
08-04 03:27:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3a5dd1…
08-04 03:27:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd499f8…
08-03 11:51:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc178f0…
08-03 09:44:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x237972…
08-03 09:44:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xee5822…
08-03 00:20:23	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$19	0xaee85e…
08-02 16:54:12	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc0b81e…
08-01 18:48:50	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xda2329…
08-01 18:07:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8d84a9…
07-26 03:07:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0e45b8…
07-25 08:23:51	bitcoin above 62k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8b23de…
07-25 08:20:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x90869d…
07-25 04:27:45	will chatgpt be time person of the year 2026	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x41c103…
07-25 04:10:16	china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7814fc…
07-25 00:12:06	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x2566e1…
07-24 21:08:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe9b363…
07-24 17:27:57	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x42ff47…
07-24 16:54:24	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x853f94…
07-24 16:32:34	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9a3151…