Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
open
Total volume
$18,562
$15 in 24h
Trades
436
Unique wallets
128
Liquidity
$14,333
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-24 13:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $318
vs crowd: 14% YES on $9.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $725 | $1.7K | $968 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $304 | $5.8K | $5.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $116 | $521 | $405 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $184 | $215 | $32 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $318 | — | +$318 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $140 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $24 | $30 | $6 |
| Median | 6 | $77 | $39 | +$38 |
| Below median | 15 | $281 | $937 | $656 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $23 | $393 | $370 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $119 | $721 | $602 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $136 | $636 | $500 |
| unranked | 64 | $212 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +2,924 | $2,572 | $2,572 | 7 | 06-16 01:17 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | +1,947 | $258 | $289 | 4 | 05-31 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | +1,277 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 1 | 07-10 04:57 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +927 | $57 | $87 | 8 | 07-24 13:43 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +460 | $41 | $48 | 8 | 06-21 23:44 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +312 | $292 | $292 | 12 | 07-16 08:32 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +308 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-10 04:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +299 | $21 | $34 | 7 | 07-24 08:19 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +296 | $17 | $17 | 6 | 07-17 10:53 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +235 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-08 06:16 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +218 | $203 | $236 | 4 | 07-12 14:58 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 07-06 16:23 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +195 | $175 | $860 | 11 | 07-24 08:10 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +180 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 19:37 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +180 | $159 | $159 | 2 | 06-15 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3387…c3f7 | Yes | +154 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 19:37 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +147 | $13 | $115 | 8 | 07-24 08:10 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $112 | $328 | 3 | 06-16 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d30…5f57 | Yes | +122 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-05 11:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +105 | $96 | $153 | 6 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +90 | $13 | $43 | 7 | 06-16 00:23 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +90 | $84 | $165 | 4 | 06-08 05:55 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +69 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-31 18:50 |
| Offbeat-Parka 0x59e5…08c3 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +50 | $46 | $85 | 3 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | +50 | $47 | $120 | 5 | 07-24 08:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f31…1c4d | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Chief-Dream 0x1e34…bf7b | Yes | +49 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 06-28 14:36 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +42 | $7 | $10 | 3 | 07-11 07:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x755b…0cd5 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f0e…ff21 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-26 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ce…c001 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 02:44 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 06:17 |
| Barren-Mutation 0x7397…1968 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-24 08:09 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +20 | $20 | $69 | 3 | 06-08 06:17 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-29 20:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +15 | $4 | $20 | 9 | 06-11 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:32 |
| Whimsical-Harmony 0xf24f…80e3 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-02 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 02:44 |
| Glorious-Bacterium 0xadd2…9d0f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 19:32 |
| Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9d5…effa | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 13:04 |
| Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-16 08:32 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +3 | $3 | $34 | 2 | 07-24 09:19 |
| Sinful-Length 0x8dcf…9021 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 19:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 13:43:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x599775… |
| 07-24 13:43:45 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x599775… |
| 07-24 12:20:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x8fca21… |
| 07-24 12:20:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8fca21… |
| 07-24 12:20:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xee2570… |
| 07-24 12:20:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xee2570… |
| 07-24 10:20:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xfde11b… |
| 07-24 10:20:16 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xfde11b… |
| 07-24 09:19:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc4f9ed… |
| 07-24 09:19:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 17 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xc4f9ed… |
| 07-24 08:19:58 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x3b135d… |
| 07-24 08:19:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3b135d… |
| 07-24 08:19:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x3b135d… |
| 07-24 08:10:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x449cdc… |
| 07-24 08:10:12 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 123 | 91¢ | $112 | 0x449cdc… |
| 07-24 08:09:54 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x8bdc78… |
| 07-24 08:09:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x8bdc78… |
| 07-24 08:09:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 108 | 91¢ | $98 | 0x6093b3… |
| 07-24 08:09:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x6093b3… |
| 07-24 08:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 136 | 92¢ | $125 | 0xaa1961… |
| 07-24 08:09:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xaa1961… |
| 07-24 08:09:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xaa1961… |
| 07-24 08:09:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xcaf2fb… |
| 07-24 08:09:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xcaf2fb… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 1,096 | 7¢ | $72 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Offbeat-Parka 0x59e5…08c3 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x3f31…1c4d | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 123 | 93¢ | $115 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 93¢ | $74 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 244 | 94¢ | $229 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x995949… |
| 07-24 08:09:33 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x995949… |
| 07-18 08:35:27 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcd9a57… |
| 07-18 08:35:27 | Compassionate-Exhaust-Naturalisation 0xeef0…141f | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xcd9a57… |
| 07-17 15:04:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xdfea15… |
| 07-17 15:04:01 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xdfea15… |
| 07-17 10:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x09ffb4… |
| 07-17 10:53:49 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x09ffb4… |
| 07-17 10:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x21f8d3… |
| 07-17 10:53:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x21f8d3… |
| 07-17 10:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x5fd07a… |
| 07-17 10:53:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x5fd07a… |
| 07-17 10:53:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5fd07a… |
| 07-17 10:53:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x5fd07a… |
| 07-16 08:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc5b6ce… |
| 07-16 08:32:38 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc5b6ce… |
| 07-16 08:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc5b6ce… |
| 07-13 06:25:41 | Melodic-Portion 0x772d…0deb | No | SELL | 59 | 93¢ | $55 | 0xa0a0ca… |
| 07-13 06:25:41 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 59 | 93¢ | $55 | 0xa0a0ca… |
| 07-12 14:58:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x7d8676… |
| 07-12 14:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7d8676… |
| 07-12 14:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x7d8676… |
| 07-12 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x39a0fe… |
| 07-12 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x39a0fe… |
| 07-12 10:49:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 115 | 94¢ | $108 | 0x39a0fe… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 195 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xef94…f8c4 | No | SELL | 664 | 94¢ | $624 | 0x4bd467… |
| 07-11 07:28:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4845e0… |
| 07-11 07:28:52 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4845e0… |
| 07-10 19:45:14 | Sinful-Length 0x8dcf…9021 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x48a74b… |
| 07-10 19:45:14 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x48a74b… |
| 07-10 19:35:14 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x888101… |
| 07-10 19:35:14 | Strict-College 0xd7b3…9c50 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x888101… |
| 07-10 13:04:04 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4d8cbf… |
| 07-10 13:04:04 | (anonymous) 0xd9d5…effa | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4d8cbf… |
| 07-10 04:57:55 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 268 | 5¢ | $13 | 0x4f0a5c… |
| 07-10 04:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 268 | 5¢ | $13 | 0x4f0a5c… |
| 07-10 04:57:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x57163c… |
| 07-10 04:57:34 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x57163c… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 790 | 94¢ | $743 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | BUY | 1,277 | 94¢ | $1,200 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | Barren-Mutation 0x7397…1968 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 268 | 6¢ | $16 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-10 04:57:32 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x306a63… |
| 07-08 06:56:52 | Red-Chaplain 0x87bf…a0c8 | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x091302… |
| 07-08 06:56:52 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x091302… |
| 07-08 06:56:50 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x78586f… |
| 07-08 06:56:50 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x78586f… |
| 07-06 21:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9708d3… |
| 07-06 21:19:40 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9708d3… |
| 07-06 16:23:16 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x105ca7… |