Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
open
Total volume
$7,848
$15 in 24h
Trades
184
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$14,333
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-13 00:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+81.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $307
vs crowd: 19% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $310 | $756 | $446 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $97 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $109 | $594 | $485 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $153 | $67 | +$86 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $307 | — | +$307 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $69 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | $10 | $3 |
| Median | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Below median | 8 | $52 | $279 | $227 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $14 | $241 | $227 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $45 | $355 | $310 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $25 | $82 | $57 |
| unranked | 27 | $145 | $323 | $178 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | +1,947 | $258 | $289 | 4 | 05-31 18:39 |
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +1,035 | $915 | $915 | 2 | 06-08 05:55 |
| Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | +980 | $98 | $115 | 9 | 06-12 12:45 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +766 | $674 | $674 | 5 | 06-04 13:29 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +374 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 06-13 00:33 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +235 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-08 06:16 |
| Active-Lifestyle 0x6a85…37c8 | Yes | +200 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +195 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 05-31 18:37 |
| Striped-Employ 0x5768…08fd | No | +143 | $122 | $122 | 2 | 06-02 00:00 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d30…5f57 | Yes | +122 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-05 11:06 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +100 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +90 | $10 | $27 | 4 | 06-08 05:55 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +90 | $84 | $165 | 4 | 06-08 05:55 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +69 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-31 18:50 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +60 | $55 | $88 | 2 | 05-31 18:50 |
| Melodic-Portion 0x772d…0deb | No | +59 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-02 05:12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +56 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 05:12 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $10 | 4 | 06-04 09:55 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ce…c001 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 02:44 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +20 | $20 | $69 | 3 | 06-08 06:17 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-29 20:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +15 | $4 | $20 | 9 | 06-11 20:41 |
| Whimsical-Harmony 0xf24f…80e3 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-02 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 15:12 |
| Glorious-Bacterium 0xadd2…9d0f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 19:32 |
| Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Chief-Dream 0x1e34…bf7b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 21:57 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +7 | $6 | $15 | 2 | 06-12 13:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 13:03 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 22:06 |
| Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 02:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 00:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x94ad…8505 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5d6d79… |
| 06-13 00:33:03 | Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5d6d79… |
| 06-12 13:34:21 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd66f32… |
| 06-12 13:34:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd66f32… |
| 06-12 12:45:51 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x000ae8… |
| 06-12 12:45:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x000ae8… |
| 06-12 12:45:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5c25c1… |
| 06-12 12:45:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $34 | 0x5c25c1… |
| 06-12 12:45:40 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x5c25c1… |
| 06-11 22:06:34 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8206ca… |
| 06-11 22:06:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8206ca… |
| 06-11 20:59:07 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5ed7d4… |
| 06-11 20:59:07 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5ed7d4… |
| 06-11 20:41:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaff6c5… |
| 06-11 20:41:19 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaff6c5… |
| 06-11 17:46:37 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0ace48… |
| 06-11 17:46:37 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0ace48… |
| 06-11 17:29:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x853183… |
| 06-11 17:29:19 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x853183… |
| 06-11 16:23:42 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1a642d… |
| 06-11 16:23:42 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1a642d… |
| 06-11 13:20:42 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5e50be… |
| 06-11 13:20:42 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5e50be… |
| 06-11 12:05:24 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x720476… |
| 06-11 12:05:24 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x720476… |
| 06-11 04:38:31 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe2a530… |
| 06-11 04:38:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xe2a530… |
| 06-11 04:38:28 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xb14bc3… |
| 06-11 04:38:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb14bc3… |
| 06-11 04:38:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb14bc3… |
| 06-10 21:51:13 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x35815c… |
| 06-10 21:51:13 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x35815c… |
| 06-08 06:17:07 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xbec6f9… |
| 06-08 06:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x02f2bd… |
| 06-08 06:17:07 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x02f2bd… |
| 06-08 06:17:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xbec6f9… |
| 06-08 06:17:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbec6f9… |
| 06-08 06:16:00 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 35 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x73a658… |
| 06-08 06:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x73a658… |
| 06-08 06:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x73a658… |
| 06-08 06:14:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xae1522… |
| 06-08 06:14:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xae1522… |
| 06-08 06:14:58 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xae1522… |
| 06-08 05:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x0f611c… |
| 06-08 05:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0f611c… |
| 06-08 05:55:57 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 64 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x172b89… |
| 06-08 05:55:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 64 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x172b89… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x553851… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | BUY | 1,025 | 10¢ | $102 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa3383c… |
| 06-08 05:55:52 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x553851… |
| 06-07 06:40:55 | Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 327 | 9¢ | $29 | 0x3cc7c5… |
| 06-07 06:40:55 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 327 | 9¢ | $29 | 0x3cc7c5… |
| 06-06 15:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe48e7e… |
| 06-06 15:12:03 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0xe48e7e… |
| 06-05 11:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x28a745… |
| 06-05 11:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x9d30…5f57 | Yes | BUY | 122 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x28a745… |
| 06-05 11:06:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 64 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x28a745… |
| 06-05 11:06:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x28a745… |
| 06-04 22:00:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc79a15… |
| 06-04 22:00:40 | Chilly-Harpsichord 0x9892…fd59 | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xc79a15… |
| 06-04 19:00:16 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 79 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xd65aa0… |
| 06-04 19:00:16 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 79 | 90¢ | $71 | 0xd65aa0… |
| 06-04 14:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9244fa… |
| 06-04 14:03:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x9244fa… |
| 06-04 13:29:52 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 513 | 89¢ | $456 | 0xf2da29… |
| 06-04 13:29:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf2da29… |
| 06-04 13:29:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 226 | 11¢ | $25 | 0xf2da29… |
| 06-04 13:29:27 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x8275b9… |
| 06-04 13:29:27 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8275b9… |
| 06-04 13:03:07 | Active-Lifestyle 0x6a85…37c8 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xcae706… |
| 06-04 13:03:07 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xcae706… |
| 06-04 13:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcae706… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 125 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe1a2ff… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2e930f… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x2e930f… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xe1a2ff… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Active-Lifestyle 0x6a85…37c8 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x2e930f… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 13:03:06 | Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | BUY | 535 | 87¢ | $465 | 0x394336… |
| 06-04 09:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x7d03…6d94 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x2a6694… |
| 06-04 09:55:21 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x2a6694… |
| 06-04 03:13:19 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xe433bb… |
| 06-04 03:13:19 | Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | SELL | 60 | 86¢ | $52 | 0xe433bb… |
| 06-04 03:12:54 | Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | SELL | 130 | 86¢ | $112 | 0x4de2f6… |
| 06-04 03:12:54 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x4de2f6… |
| 06-04 03:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xf90d…c157 | No | SELL | 500 | 86¢ | $430 | 0xc01489… |
| 06-04 03:12:52 | Honored-Chart 0xbe00…9712 | Yes | SELL | 3,272 | 14¢ | $458 | 0xc01489… |