Realized P&L
+$3.85K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.23K
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
38
Trades
160
lifetime
Volume
$201.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.26K
Open exposure
$41.7K
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 08-31 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
82% 61% +$2,305
Other
18% 78% +$1,650
Crypto
0% 0% -$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +9,017 $8,000 91¢ $8.2K +$205 07-02 17:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +8,421 $8,000 97¢ $8.2K +$156 08-15 11:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +11,899 $4,640 46¢ $5.4K +$774 07-21 05:25
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +3,090 $2,900 97¢ $3.0K +$91 08-08 04:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,199 $3,400 35¢ $2.5K -$873 07-26 06:10
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +2,257 $2,000 96¢ $2.2K +$178 07-10 02:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,125 $2,000 96¢ $2.0K +$48 07-05 14:18
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +2,105 $2,000 96¢ $2.0K +$19 07-05 14:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,161 $1,500 92¢ $2.0K +$477 07-16 16:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +2,100 $1,260 88¢ $1.8K +$588 07-04 10:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,912 $1,500 74¢ $1.4K -$94 07-16 16:20
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +1,435 $1,334 95¢ $1.4K +$36 07-23 00:13
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +1,277 $1,200 97¢ $1.2K +$37 07-10 04:57
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +138,566 $290 0¢ $139 -$152 06-24 12:32
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +77,310 $232 0¢ $116 -$116 08-18 03:33
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +27,525 $180 0¢ $41 -$139 06-15 01:49