Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
open
Total volume
$745
Trades
67
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$935
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2026-10-27
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 17:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | $12 | $9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $14 | $11 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $116 | $19 | +$98 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $209 | $118 | +$91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $16 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $48 | $15 | +$33 |
| Median | 5 | $44 | $14 | +$30 |
| Below median | 8 | $121 | — | +$121 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 8 | $118 | $103 | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Judo 0x00d6…eb76 | No | +209 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x224a…eb21 | Yes | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 18:27 |
| Subdued-Income 0x51a2…051b | Yes | +81 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 05-31 10:29 |
| Serene-Technique 0xb9f5…8f3c | Yes | +60 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| Even-Pinot 0xd4c7…9f6a | Yes | +55 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 06-14 13:47 |
| Offensive-Borrowing 0x6ea7…99bd | No | +45 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-31 11:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 05-31 16:43 |
| Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 13:47 |
| Several-Disappointment 0x9c83…8a22 | Yes | +29 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 11:56 |
| Used-Bandolier 0xd140…810d | Yes | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| Heartfelt-Success 0xe1ea…b750 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9774…34ae | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 21:57 |
| Grubby-Sentence 0xb5e4…9b0d | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 17:08 |
| Important-Demand 0x3170…924c | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 18:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | +3 | $-4 | $50 | 2 | 05-29 08:08 |
| Probable-Apron 0x559d…e8c4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:08:10 | Aware-Policy 0x21ef…5ac7 | No | SELL | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x7621f2… |
| 06-14 17:08:10 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x7621f2… |
| 06-14 17:08:10 | Grubby-Sentence 0xb5e4…9b0d | No | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7621f2… |
| 06-14 13:47:00 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x87d544… |
| 06-14 13:47:00 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x87d544… |
| 06-14 13:47:00 | Even-Pinot 0xd4c7…9f6a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x87d544… |
| 06-14 13:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x87d544… |
| 06-12 18:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 1 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x2ebcc9… |
| 06-12 18:51:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 56¢ | $0 | 0x2ebcc9… |
| 06-12 17:46:24 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xffcca0… |
| 06-12 17:46:24 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xffcca0… |
| 06-12 17:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x19fb7c… |
| 06-12 17:38:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x19fb7c… |
| 06-12 17:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x51a7a4… |
| 06-12 17:27:39 | Novel-Injustice 0x0e0e…3e09 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 74¢ | $25 | 0x51a7a4… |
| 06-12 17:27:39 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x51a7a4… |
| 06-10 21:25:34 | MKB 0x1d77…fdbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0a3fb5… |
| 06-10 21:25:34 | Probable-Apron 0x559d…e8c4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0a3fb5… |
| 06-10 15:55:07 | Even-Pinot 0xd4c7…9f6a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x9d347f… |
| 06-10 15:55:07 | MKB 0x1d77…fdbe | Yes | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x9d347f… |
| 06-09 20:06:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x65ba48… |
| 06-09 20:06:13 | Elliptical-Eel 0x9a54…5510 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x65ba48… |
| 06-04 18:29:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x49d8ba… |
| 06-04 18:29:34 | Important-Demand 0x3170…924c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x49d8ba… |
| 06-04 18:27:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x27a880… |
| 06-04 18:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x27a880… |
| 06-04 18:27:31 | MKB 0x1d77…fdbe | Yes | SELL | 73 | 85¢ | $62 | 0x27a880… |
| 06-04 18:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x224a…eb21 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0x27a880… |
| 05-31 16:43:46 | Tragic-Member 0x738a…5996 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xe6fb13… |
| 05-31 16:43:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe6fb13… |
| 05-31 16:43:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xe6fb13… |
| 05-31 16:43:46 | Heartfelt-Success 0xe1ea…b750 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xe6fb13… |
| 05-31 11:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xbc8487… |
| 05-31 11:56:16 | Several-Disappointment 0x9c83…8a22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xbc8487… |
| 05-31 11:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xbc8487… |
| 05-31 11:56:16 | Offensive-Borrowing 0x6ea7…99bd | No | BUY | 45 | 33¢ | $15 | 0xbc8487… |
| 05-31 10:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x7276c9… |
| 05-31 10:29:18 | Subdued-Income 0x51a2…051b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x7276c9… |
| 05-31 10:29:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x7276c9… |
| 05-31 06:52:46 | Several-Disappointment 0x9c83…8a22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x37a616… |
| 05-31 06:52:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x37a616… |
| 05-29 08:22:11 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x10ddb9… |
| 05-29 08:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x44e3…c39e | No | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x10ddb9… |
| 05-29 08:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc427ff… |
| 05-29 08:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc427ff… |
| 05-29 08:08:07 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 73¢ | $27 | 0xc427ff… |
| 05-29 08:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x44e3…c39e | No | SELL | 24 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xc427ff… |
| 05-29 01:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x44e3…c39e | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb22838… |
| 05-29 01:45:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb22838… |
| 05-28 22:15:59 | Subdued-Income 0x51a2…051b | Yes | BUY | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0xfeb327… |
| 05-28 22:15:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xfeb327… |
| 05-28 22:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfeb327… |
| 05-28 22:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | BUY | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xfeb327… |
| 05-28 22:15:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x1a99f3… |
| 05-28 22:15:22 | Subdued-Income 0x51a2…051b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0x1a99f3… |
| 05-28 21:57:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x3b1a84… |
| 05-28 21:57:14 | Energetic-Panel 0x2b3a…cad2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x3b1a84… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x9774…34ae | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Serene-Technique 0xb9f5…8f3c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 55¢ | $33 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Several-Disappointment 0x9c83…8a22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 69¢ | $12 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Used-Bandolier 0xd140…810d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Each-Judo 0x00d6…eb76 | No | BUY | 209 | 48¢ | $100 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 57¢ | $23 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x1e0823… |
| 05-28 20:04:00 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x1e0823… |