Realized P&L
+$365
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
184
Trades
577
lifetime
Volume
$13.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$588
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-24 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
49% 66% +$175
Politics
45% 49% +$407
Sports
6% 27% -$253
Tech
0% 100% +$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +169 $116 94¢ $160 +$44 07-08 12:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +231 $101 43¢ $99 -$2 10-15 18:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +103 $52 60¢ $61 +$9 08-22 08:06
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +134 $56 39¢ $52 -$4 08-06 20:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +46 $23 96¢ $44 +$21 09-23 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +51 $30 77¢ $39 +$9 10-01 07:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $40 19¢ $38 -$2 07-25 06:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +159 $31 22¢ $34 +$3 07-31 11:55
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +118 $31 14¢ $16 -$14 08-16 07:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +20 $15 78¢ $15 +$0 10-10 04:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +49 $10 22¢ $11 +$1 09-17 17:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +102 $10 5¢ $5 -$5 07-03 20:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 $6 16¢ $5 -$1 09-03 16:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $5 72¢ $5 $0 10-01 12:34
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +30 $13 12¢ $3 -$10 08-06 21:30