Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
209
lifetime
Volume
$772
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$30
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-18 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
69%
Sports
27% 100% +$4
Politics
3% 100% +$8
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 00:02
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No -2 $-2 89¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 00:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 23:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 23:40
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 03:14
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 +$0 06-18 00:02
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? No -2 $-1 70¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:03
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:03
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:14
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:14
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 03:15
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:03
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 81¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:15
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:19
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:13
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 03:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 $-1 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 03:15