Unsteady-Agency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$98.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-29 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% — —

Politics

12% 100% +$8

Sports

3% 100% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	88	$26.7K	42,139	2	+42,137	open	—	07-28 22:31
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	2	$9.7K	10,072	0	+10,072	open	—	07-19 19:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	22	$9.6K	10,490	1	+10,489	open	—	07-28 18:14
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half total 2pt5	2	$8.4K	9,478	0	+9,478	open	—	07-10 18:52
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	21	$6.9K	9,143	9,143	+0	open	—	07-19 21:43
nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	9	$3.5K	4,369	0	+4,369	open	—	07-29 21:22
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	2	$3.4K	3,222	3,222	+0	open	—	07-14 20:49
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	2	$2.5K	3,098	0	+3,098	open	—	07-11 07:32
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	12	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-15 20:15
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	3	$1.7K	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	07-19 19:57
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$1.5K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	07-15 04:45
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-03 21:09
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	2	$1.4K	1,993	0	+1,993	open	—	07-19 19:33
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	2	$1.2K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	07-11 22:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	11	$972	1,018	2	+1,016	open	—	07-28 00:14
Databricks IPO before 2027?	1	$950	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	07-28 00:13
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$950	997	0	+997	open	—	07-19 19:26
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	1	$934	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	07-11 07:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$922	1,000	2	+998	open	—	07-27 20:29
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	1	$907	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	07-19 19:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	3	$882	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	07-27 20:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	1	$857	997	0	+997	open	—	07-19 19:24
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 4pt5	1	$856	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	07-10 03:57
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	3	$852	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	07-27 23:09
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	1	$850	1,012	0	+1,012	open	—	07-19 19:29
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	1	$828	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	07-11 07:23
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 3pt5	1	$700	1,014	0	+1,014	open	—	07-10 03:59
nwsl tho got 2026 07 24 total 4pt5	16	$636	774	0	+774	open	—	07-25 02:42
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 4pt5	3	$599	675	0	+675	open	—	07-09 20:10
will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$505	600	0	+600	open	—	07-15 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 23:14:32	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x691a97…
07-29 23:05:14	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc655e4…
07-29 22:14:30	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc3f6e1…
07-29 22:14:30	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x488f5a…
07-29 22:14:29	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xc214d5…
07-29 22:14:27	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x715890…
07-29 22:08:21	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8e89df…
07-29 21:22:18	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x29b732…
07-29 21:22:14	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	146	79¢	$115	0xdbd45c…
07-29 21:22:14	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	754	79¢	$596	0x6002bc…
07-29 21:21:35	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x79dc63…
07-29 21:21:17	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2ce264…
07-29 21:21:09	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x7f7235…
07-29 21:20:57	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8180bd…
07-29 21:20:56	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x8c315c…
07-29 21:20:53	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x825bc0…
07-29 21:20:51	nwsl kcc rac 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3,049	81¢	$2,458	0x0f373a…
07-29 20:43:39	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5bc420…
07-29 19:09:54	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb791ee…
07-29 16:34:53	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9f14ad…
07-29 14:09:44	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xae8a3a…
07-29 12:26:09	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 154 20260725195253869	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0b0fcc…
07-29 12:26:00	nwsl bay got 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xbf88a2…
07-29 12:21:27	nwsl bay got 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x56cc5e…
07-29 11:36:21	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x86c84b…
07-29 11:03:47	nwsl bay got 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd5629d…
07-29 09:53:35	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1b5f33…
07-29 09:31:29	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x960e1a…
07-29 09:21:27	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x1d78af…
07-29 09:19:53	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x19f908…
07-28 22:31:25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x17c5b0…
07-28 18:14:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	169	92¢	$156	0xf86f8a…
07-28 17:05:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	210	92¢	$193	0x9435cc…
07-28 17:02:56	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf20af5…
07-28 10:45:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6f5c8b…
07-28 10:45:08	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x3a071c…
07-28 07:36:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3e575a…
07-28 05:39:33	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	620	92¢	$570	0x555697…
07-28 00:53:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x79f4cd…
07-28 00:53:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	89	66¢	$59	0x54718c…
07-28 00:14:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	734	95¢	$700	0x862632…
07-28 00:13:46	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1,002	95¢	$950	0x359ed9…
07-27 23:09:54	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xb03d97…
07-27 23:09:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x5121a7…
07-27 23:08:42	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x526911…
07-27 23:07:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x05d5ff…
07-27 23:07:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x791b85…
07-27 23:07:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x05fae5…
07-27 23:06:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xd798ff…
07-27 23:06:27	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x5d3ef9…
07-27 23:06:12	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	198	70¢	$138	0x5dc092…
07-27 23:06:12	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	163	69¢	$113	0x46f6a7…
07-27 23:06:07	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	494	70¢	$346	0xb8f471…
07-27 23:06:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0x7a4374…
07-27 23:06:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	104	70¢	$73	0x77d604…
07-27 23:06:03	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	207	70¢	$145	0xbe9eab…
07-27 23:05:58	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6945b9…
07-27 23:05:58	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x13d1d0…
07-27 23:05:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf6b0ce…
07-27 23:05:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	130	70¢	$91	0x2057d9…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	174	70¢	$122	0xa814dc…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa59775…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x79d0f1…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x6a190e…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	123	70¢	$86	0x39593e…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0x2d97a6…
07-27 23:05:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x142bbc…
07-27 23:05:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	207	70¢	$145	0xef601d…
07-27 23:05:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xcab294…
07-27 23:05:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18,882	66¢	$12,544	0x92f626…
07-27 23:05:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x4d6330…
07-27 22:27:18	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc81e53…
07-27 21:37:36	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x7817bf…
07-27 20:30:22	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xaf6544…
07-27 20:29:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x028ddf…
07-27 20:29:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	997	92¢	$917	0x1692a3…
07-27 19:43:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	228	64¢	$146	0x65cc6e…
07-27 19:27:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3a5787…
07-27 19:27:27	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x51cbae…
07-27 19:27:06	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	64¢	$69	0x772d99…
07-27 19:26:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	824	64¢	$525	0x7d95e2…
07-27 19:26:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x4222d0…
07-27 19:25:21	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,144	62¢	$2,562	0x429fc7…
07-27 19:21:03	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3324ac…
07-27 19:20:48	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9e69b5…
07-27 19:20:39	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xcd7089…
07-27 19:20:39	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xc73c8e…
07-27 19:20:39	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x9991a9…
07-27 19:20:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x084490…
07-27 19:20:36	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,548	60¢	$2,729	0x4bb02c…
07-27 19:20:25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9ffad5…
07-27 19:20:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,157	59¢	$1,863	0xaf9a90…
07-27 19:19:49	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,496	58¢	$1,448	0xeee69f…
07-27 19:19:49	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	724	57¢	$413	0xacd9ae…
07-27 19:18:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8,856	92¢	$8,148	0x1ce11f…
07-27 19:07:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x4a8c3a…
07-27 19:05:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2be623…
07-27 19:04:48	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	445	56¢	$249	0x2d3307…
07-27 18:56:51	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	295	56¢	$165	0x48a5e8…
07-27 16:12:06	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x20368c…