Realized P&L
+$30.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.24K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
905
Trades
7,905
lifetime
Volume
$1.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$2.90K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
81% 65% -$33,327
Sports
14% 65% +$63,722
Politics
4% 100% +$10
Tech
0% 0% -$198
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +13,365 $2,556 22¢ $2.9K +$318 10-22 01:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -25 $222 12¢ $-3 -$225 10-07 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 08-12 09:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 06-17 23:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 08-12 09:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4 -$190 39¢ $-1 +$189 08-29 23:42
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1 -$20 97¢ $-1 +$19 08-13 00:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 $3,631 57¢ $-1 -$3,632 08-13 00:13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 -$8 96¢ $-1 +$6 09-01 02:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 -$103 94¢ $-1 +$101 08-13 00:12
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2 -$1 64¢ $-1 $0 06-18 00:03
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-18 03:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-18 03:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 08-29 22:10
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-19 23:05
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-18 03:19
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-18 03:19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 $8 98¢ $-1 -$9 08-12 09:08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 06-18 03:13
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 08-31 17:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 05:10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 34¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 21:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3 $10 17¢ $-0 -$10 08-29 22:42
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -143 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-19 23:04