Realized P&L
+$77.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.1K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
327
Trades
7,492
lifetime
Volume
$2.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$335
Open exposure
$144.8K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
42% 70% +$35,649
Politics
40% 66% +$8,799
Tech
13% 83% +$33,982
Sports
6% 38% -$861
Crypto
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +89,124 $36,375 32¢ $28.1K -$8,301 10-26 14:37
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +20,507 $14,777 88¢ $18.1K +$3,372 08-28 14:35
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +17,382 $7,964 87¢ $15.1K +$7,159 10-26 13:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +19,383 $14,833 74¢ $14.2K -$586 09-10 19:57
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +18,070 $15,193 72¢ $13.1K -$2,101 10-20 11:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +12,751 $5,332 96¢ $12.2K +$6,845 10-26 13:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12,510 $9,776 94¢ $11.7K +$1,921 10-22 05:22
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31,820 $12,073 32¢ $10.0K -$2,049 10-19 15:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6,806 $1,857 64¢ $4.3K +$2,472 10-26 08:51
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +4,249 $634 96¢ $4.1K +$3,437 10-25 05:03
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +4,143 $3,786 94¢ $3.9K +$129 10-25 21:57
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +13,755 $3,545 20¢ $2.8K -$725 10-24 18:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3,484 $2,269 76¢ $2.6K +$379 10-07 21:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +1,559 $1,189 100¢ $1.6K +$362 10-24 21:25
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,516 $1,127 81¢ $1.2K +$102 10-24 07:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +1,029 $843 97¢ $998 +$155 10-22 11:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +354 $300 73¢ $258 -$42 10-19 12:44
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +311 $221 80¢ $251 +$30 08-14 12:28
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +101 -$89 86¢ $87 +$176 10-21 00:57
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by october 31 No +50 $43 99¢ $50 +$6 08-22 21:01
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +0 -$9,003 92¢ $0 +$9,003 09-02 01:06
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +0 -$397 88¢ $0 +$397 08-30 19:39