Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c19…73d88c
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,224
lifetime
Volume
$1.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$295
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-30 03:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
18% — —
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -115 $-57 76¢ $-87 $-30 06-14 17:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -40 $-16 52¢ $-21 $-5 06-15 21:00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -35 $-15 40¢ $-14 +$1 06-29 14:22
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes -42 $-10 30¢ $-13 $-2 06-22 08:19
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -45 $-17 28¢ $-12 +$4 06-11 14:22
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-14 35¢ $-11 +$3 06-17 03:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -45 $-6 24¢ $-11 $-4 06-24 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -55 $-11 18¢ $-10 +$1 06-19 15:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -35 $-10 26¢ $-9 +$1 06-17 04:30
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -75 $-7 12¢ $-9 $-2 06-22 14:21
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -9 $-2 97¢ $-9 $-6 06-09 20:36
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -30 $-5 22¢ $-7 $-1 06-23 10:42
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? No -15 $-3 42¢ $-6 $-3 06-26 04:00
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +16 $6 38¢ $6 $-0 06-27 22:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +6 $0 100¢ $6 +$6 05-31 12:27
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -15 $-6 40¢ $-6 +$0 06-19 12:03
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -14 $-8 41¢ $-6 +$2 06-13 13:52
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -10 $-6 50¢ $-5 +$1 06-15 15:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes -24 $-6 20¢ $-5 +$1 06-27 09:20
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -15 $-7 32¢ $-5 +$2 06-29 12:58
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -15 $-14 31¢ $-5 +$9 06-10 18:20
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -15 $-8 30¢ $-5 +$3 06-21 21:26
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-4 29¢ $-4 $-0 06-22 09:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No -10 $-4 44¢ $-4 $-0 06-15 09:27
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -15 $-5 27¢ $-4 +$1 06-25 06:11
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $6 24¢ $4 $-2 06-15 03:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-2 34¢ $-3 $-1 06-18 05:47
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 06-21 13:49
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 06-12 11:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -34 $-9 10¢ $-3 +$6 06-17 23:24