Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c19…73d88c
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,758
lifetime
Volume
$2.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$319
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-20 18:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
18% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -115 $-57 82¢ $-95 $-38 06-14 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -55 $-11 46¢ $-25 $-14 06-19 15:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -40 $-16 62¢ $-25 $-9 06-15 21:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -45 $-6 39¢ $-18 $-11 06-24 11:50
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -35 $-15 36¢ $-13 +$2 06-29 14:22
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -14 $-8 68¢ $-10 $-2 06-13 13:52
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-14 29¢ $-9 +$5 06-17 03:11
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -75 $-7 11¢ $-8 $-1 06-22 14:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -34 $-9 22¢ $-7 +$1 06-17 23:24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $6 73¢ $7 +$1 07-18 15:34
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -35 $-10 20¢ $-7 +$3 06-17 04:30
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? No -15 $-3 48¢ $-7 $-4 06-26 04:00
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes -42 $-10 16¢ $-7 +$3 06-22 08:19
Discord IPO before 2027? No -10 $-4 72¢ $-7 $-3 06-15 09:27
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -40 $-8 16¢ $-7 +$1 07-17 13:29
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -10 $-6 66¢ $-7 $-1 06-15 15:37
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-5 62¢ $-6 $-1 06-30 17:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -20 $-4 30¢ $-6 $-2 07-09 07:16
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No +15 $7 36¢ $5 $-2 07-18 14:10
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -15 $-8 36¢ $-5 +$2 06-21 21:26
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -15 $-5 31¢ $-5 +$0 06-25 06:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes -20 $-5 23¢ $-5 +$0 07-18 06:37
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-6 38¢ $-4 +$2 07-15 17:05
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +15 $4 24¢ $4 $-0 07-16 16:45
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -25 $-5 14¢ $-4 +$1 07-20 17:47
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +15 $4 24¢ $4 $-0 07-17 12:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -5 $-2 70¢ $-3 $-1 06-18 08:06
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 23¢ $3 +$0 07-20 15:54
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -30 $-5 12¢ $-3 +$2 06-23 10:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-4 22¢ $-3 +$1 06-22 09:43