Japan recession in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,360
$6 in 24h
Trades
168
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$539
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-17 23:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $26 | $33 | $7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $25 | $121 | $96 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $46 | $265 | $219 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $94 | $64 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $10 | $102 | $92 |
| Median | 8 | $24 | $116 | $91 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $35 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $19 | $14 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $9 | $16 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| unranked | 17 | $106 | $178 | $72 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | +165 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-07 08:31 |
| Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | +134 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 06-19 21:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +110 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-16 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | +108 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 07-24 10:54 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +91 | $29 | $29 | 20 | 08-08 19:55 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +90 | $53 | $143 | 8 | 08-17 23:06 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +62 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 00:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +46 | $13 | $13 | 6 | 08-03 08:58 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +44 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-17 23:06 |
| Expert-Morning 0xbf6b…7199 | Yes | +31 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 03:04 |
| Negligible-Landing 0x2f79…f250 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +20 | $-4 | $46 | 35 | 08-17 23:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-17 16:08 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-30 18:11 |
| Raw-Cultivator 0xb8b0…1281 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-30 14:32 |
| Soggy-Greatness 0x7999…1d86 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 01:54 |
| Beautiful-Limitation 0x1cea…f32a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 17:03 |
| Imperturbable-Hero 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-08 19:55 |
| Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 08-17 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xefaf…a659 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-08 17:24 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 17:10 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-18 03:29 |
| Grimy-Tongue 0xc823…9ec7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +2 | $-0 | $18 | 4 | 08-10 05:43 |
| Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-12 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x69fb…8280 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:46 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 17:15 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | +1 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 07-09 20:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 23:06:57 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 34¢ | $15 | 0x92efa7… |
| 08-17 23:06:57 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 57 | 66¢ | $38 | 0x92efa7… |
| 08-17 23:06:57 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x92efa7… |
| 08-17 23:06:57 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x92efa7… |
| 08-13 13:53:31 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe20f2f… |
| 08-13 13:53:31 | Pleasing-Fix 0xb629…6c8d | No | SELL | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xe20f2f… |
| 08-12 11:11:37 | Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xf9da4f… |
| 08-12 11:11:37 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xf9da4f… |
| 08-10 14:38:06 | Unrealistic-Hurdler 0x2fe7…0c14 | No | SELL | 1 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x4e260b… |
| 08-10 14:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x4e260b… |
| 08-10 09:37:06 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xf57e2f… |
| 08-10 09:37:06 | Unrealistic-Hurdler 0x2fe7…0c14 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xf57e2f… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 23¢ | $24 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 55 | 78¢ | $43 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 27 | 77¢ | $20 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-10 05:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd8a715… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x103903… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x103903… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | SELL | 56 | 62¢ | $35 | 0x103903… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x103903… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 27 | 58¢ | $15 | 0x103903… |
| 08-09 00:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x103903… |
| 08-08 19:55:45 | Imperturbable-Hero 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x1ca631… |
| 08-08 19:55:45 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x1ca631… |
| 08-08 19:55:43 | Imperturbable-Hero 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xb4996f… |
| 08-08 19:55:43 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb4996f… |
| 08-08 19:55:42 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x5cde7c… |
| 08-08 19:55:42 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5cde7c… |
| 08-08 19:54:21 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x150aed… |
| 08-08 19:54:21 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 65 | 65¢ | $42 | 0x150aed… |
| 08-08 17:24:55 | (anonymous) 0xefaf…a659 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x7cd6a6… |
| 08-08 17:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7cd6a6… |
| 08-08 17:24:55 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x7cd6a6… |
| 08-03 08:58:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xce7746… |
| 08-03 08:58:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xce7746… |
| 08-03 08:58:15 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xd1852a… |
| 08-03 08:58:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd1852a… |
| 08-03 08:56:06 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xd69df5… |
| 08-03 08:56:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd69df5… |
| 08-03 08:55:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x728921… |
| 08-03 08:55:42 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x728921… |
| 08-03 08:55:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb6684c… |
| 08-03 08:55:12 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xb6684c… |
| 07-31 08:06:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xce6caa… |
| 07-31 08:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xce6caa… |
| 07-30 18:11:29 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd4c3b2… |
| 07-30 18:11:29 | (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 20¢ | $21 | 0xd4c3b2… |
| 07-30 18:11:29 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xd4c3b2… |
| 07-30 18:11:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 24 | 44¢ | $10 | 0xd4c3b2… |
| 07-24 10:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x192c80… |
| 07-24 10:54:55 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x192c80… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 03:29:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x173ccc… |
| 07-18 03:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x173ccc… |
| 07-17 03:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x022c16… |
| 07-17 03:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x022c16… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 15:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5407c9… |
| 07-14 15:21:31 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5407c9… |
| 07-14 13:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2f710a… |
| 07-14 13:05:41 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2f710a… |
| 07-14 13:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa93032… |
| 07-14 13:01:50 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa93032… |
| 07-14 12:58:17 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd6588a… |
| 07-14 12:58:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd6588a… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x156533… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x156533… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x156533… |
| 07-12 10:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3729a4… |
| 07-12 10:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3729a4… |
| 07-11 16:00:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x437145… |
| 07-11 16:00:49 | Reckless-Mattock 0x0ddc…1ac4 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x437145… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-09 20:10:26 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x608f84… |
| 07-09 20:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x608f84… |
| 07-09 20:09:35 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x35b683… |
| 07-09 20:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x35b683… |
| 07-09 20:08:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc16ca0… |
| 07-09 20:08:29 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc16ca0… |
| 07-08 17:15:38 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7c1c07… |
| 07-08 17:15:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7c1c07… |
| 07-08 05:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd0035a… |
| 07-08 05:35:07 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xd0035a… |
| 07-08 05:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd079b… |
| 07-08 05:35:02 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd079b… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 165 | 91¢ | $150 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf883ed… |