Japan recession in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,001
$6 in 24h
Trades
117
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$539
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-24 10:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $15 | $11 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $19 | $129 | $111 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $24 | $150 | $126 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $54 | $50 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $5 | $102 | $97 |
| Median | 7 | $24 | $1 | +$23 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $9 | $16 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| unranked | 11 | $48 | $168 | $120 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | +165 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-07 08:31 |
| Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | +134 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 06-19 21:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +110 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-16 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | +108 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 07-24 10:54 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | +74 | $8 | $16 | 10 | 07-24 10:54 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +62 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 00:32 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-09 20:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-31 17:03 |
| Expert-Morning 0xbf6b…7199 | Yes | +31 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 03:04 |
| Negligible-Landing 0x2f79…f250 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 10:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-17 16:08 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-08 05:35 |
| Raw-Cultivator 0xb8b0…1281 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-30 14:32 |
| Soggy-Greatness 0x7999…1d86 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 01:54 |
| Beautiful-Limitation 0x1cea…f32a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 17:03 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 17:10 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-18 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-18 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $-7 | $36 | 30 | 07-18 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:28 |
| Grimy-Tongue 0xc823…9ec7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x69fb…8280 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:46 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 2 | 07-07 08:31 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | +1 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 07-09 20:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 10:54:55 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x192c80… |
| 07-24 10:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x192c80… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 11:08:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8f8d2a… |
| 07-18 03:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x173ccc… |
| 07-18 03:29:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x173ccc… |
| 07-17 03:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x022c16… |
| 07-17 03:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x022c16… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 16:05:17 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2633ec… |
| 07-14 15:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5407c9… |
| 07-14 15:21:31 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5407c9… |
| 07-14 13:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2f710a… |
| 07-14 13:05:41 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2f710a… |
| 07-14 13:01:50 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa93032… |
| 07-14 13:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa93032… |
| 07-14 12:58:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd6588a… |
| 07-14 12:58:17 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd6588a… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x156533… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x156533… |
| 07-14 12:55:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x156533… |
| 07-12 10:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3729a4… |
| 07-12 10:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3729a4… |
| 07-11 16:00:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x437145… |
| 07-11 16:00:49 | Reckless-Mattock 0x0ddc…1ac4 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x437145… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3a30d5… |
| 07-09 20:10:26 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x608f84… |
| 07-09 20:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x608f84… |
| 07-09 20:09:35 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x35b683… |
| 07-09 20:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x35b683… |
| 07-09 20:08:29 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc16ca0… |
| 07-09 20:08:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc16ca0… |
| 07-08 17:15:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7c1c07… |
| 07-08 17:15:38 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7c1c07… |
| 07-08 05:35:07 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xd0035a… |
| 07-08 05:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd0035a… |
| 07-08 05:35:02 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd079b… |
| 07-08 05:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd079b… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-07 08:31:38 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 165 | 91¢ | $150 | 0xf883ed… |
| 07-04 11:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x796edb… |
| 07-04 11:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x796edb… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | Negligible-Landing 0x2f79…f250 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 03:39:53 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 85 | 75¢ | $64 | 0xf33745… |
| 06-19 03:39:53 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 85 | 75¢ | $64 | 0xf33745… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-18 14:14:19 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 78 | 88¢ | $69 | 0xd4582c… |
| 06-18 14:14:19 | Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 12¢ | $9 | 0xd4582c… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x65dfdc… |
| 06-17 16:08:11 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x65dfdc… |
| 06-17 14:52:13 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x62dbe0… |
| 06-17 14:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x62dbe0… |
| 06-17 13:46:22 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb4e6a4… |
| 06-17 13:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x69fb…8280 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb4e6a4… |
| 06-17 13:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4bcb21… |
| 06-17 13:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4bcb21… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Physical-Preoccupation 0xcb69…361e | Yes | SELL | 115 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 48 | 90¢ | $43 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Left-Oleo 0xf678…a255 | Yes | SELL | 374 | 10¢ | $36 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 62 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 29 | 77¢ | $22 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 173 | 90¢ | $156 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-09 06:55:37 | Grimy-Tongue 0xc823…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xc80dd7… |