Japan recession in 2026?
open
Total volume
$754
$6 in 24h
Trades
65
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$539
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-04 11:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $18 | $124 | $106 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $39 | $45 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $102 | $97 |
| Median | 5 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $6 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $9 | $16 | $7 |
| unranked | 8 | $27 | $13 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | +134 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 06-19 21:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +110 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-16 20:39 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +62 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 00:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-31 17:03 |
| Expert-Morning 0xbf6b…7199 | Yes | +31 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 03:04 |
| Negligible-Landing 0x2f79…f250 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 10:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-17 16:08 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 11:46 |
| Raw-Cultivator 0xb8b0…1281 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-30 14:32 |
| Soggy-Greatness 0x7999…1d86 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 01:54 |
| Beautiful-Limitation 0x1cea…f32a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 03:39 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:28 |
| Grimy-Tongue 0xc823…9ec7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +3 | $-6 | $22 | 13 | 06-19 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x69fb…8280 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 11:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x796edb… |
| 07-04 11:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x64d8…59a3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x796edb… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-29 10:29:23 | Negligible-Landing 0x2f79…f250 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xd6be45… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe75825… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 21:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x423d7c… |
| 06-19 03:39:53 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 85 | 75¢ | $64 | 0xf33745… |
| 06-19 03:39:53 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 85 | 75¢ | $64 | 0xf33745… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-19 03:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xed3af8… |
| 06-18 14:14:19 | Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 12¢ | $9 | 0xd4582c… |
| 06-18 14:14:19 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 78 | 88¢ | $69 | 0xd4582c… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-18 14:13:40 | Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x2d8f6f… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb6cfea… |
| 06-17 16:08:11 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x65dfdc… |
| 06-17 16:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x65dfdc… |
| 06-17 14:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x62dbe0… |
| 06-17 14:52:13 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x62dbe0… |
| 06-17 13:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x69fb…8280 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb4e6a4… |
| 06-17 13:46:22 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb4e6a4… |
| 06-17 13:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4bcb21… |
| 06-17 13:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4bcb21… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 48 | 90¢ | $43 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 20:39:41 | Physical-Preoccupation 0xcb69…361e | Yes | SELL | 115 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xc9f6fa… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-16 16:19:59 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xc6e472… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 173 | 90¢ | $156 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 29 | 77¢ | $22 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Left-Oleo 0xf678…a255 | Yes | SELL | 374 | 10¢ | $36 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 62 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-15 00:32:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xe7fdb7… |
| 06-09 06:55:37 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xc80dd7… |
| 06-09 06:55:37 | Grimy-Tongue 0xc823…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xc80dd7… |
| 06-05 03:04:43 | Expert-Morning 0xbf6b…7199 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 35¢ | $11 | 0x6979f6… |
| 06-05 03:04:43 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | BUY | 31 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x6979f6… |
| 05-31 17:10:17 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x973c51… |
| 05-31 17:10:17 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x973c51… |
| 05-31 17:03:31 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb4a481… |
| 05-31 17:03:31 | Beautiful-Limitation 0x1cea…f32a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb4a481… |
| 05-31 17:03:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x64b755… |
| 05-31 17:03:27 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x64b755… |
| 05-31 17:01:21 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xf68b1f… |
| 05-31 17:01:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xf68b1f… |
| 05-30 14:32:21 | Raw-Cultivator 0xb8b0…1281 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x6f85f7… |
| 05-30 14:32:21 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6f85f7… |
| 05-30 05:25:41 | Raw-Cultivator 0xb8b0…1281 | No | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0xc965e4… |
| 05-30 05:25:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xc965e4… |
| 05-29 01:54:56 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xe7bc31… |
| 05-29 01:54:56 | Soggy-Greatness 0x7999…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xe7bc31… |