Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

31,137

Trades

138,159

lifetime

Volume

$757.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$149

30 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-26 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

71% 71% +$531

Politics

14% 69% +$904

Crypto

7% 50% -$144

Sports

6% 71% +$466

Tech

2% 67% +$121

Pop-Culture

1% 64% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 753 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	No	-11	-$7	96¢	$-11	-$3	06-13 19:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+12	$10	86¢	$10	+$0	10-19 16:10
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$8	81¢	$10	+$2	10-18 12:26
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+12	$10	76¢	$9	-$1	10-20 07:49
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	No	-11	-$11	80¢	$-9	+$2	10-07 04:07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	-8	-$7	91¢	$-7	$0	05-04 02:59
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	08-06 22:19
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$2	07-28 13:17
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+6	$7	80¢	$5	-$2	10-18 19:55
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$1	07-20 13:10
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	90¢	$4	+$1	07-01 16:14
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+5	$1	93¢	$4	+$3	07-24 05:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	+4	$3	95¢	$4	+$1	05-16 03:01
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+4	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	07-21 20:05
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	80¢	$-4	+$1	06-30 15:24
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+6	$4	68¢	$4	$0	09-17 04:10
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	+4	$3	91¢	$4	+$1	05-19 18:21
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	+4	$3	90¢	$4	+$1	07-07 04:40
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	96¢	$4	+$1	09-21 13:08
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	+4	$4	92¢	$4	+$0	07-21 17:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$3	98¢	$4	+$0	05-24 20:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+4	$3	94¢	$4	+$1	06-07 02:47
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	+4	$3	90¢	$4	+$0	06-05 05:48
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+4	$3	98¢	$3	+$1	06-17 14:10
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$1	06-10 23:26
Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	+4	$1	90¢	$3	+$2	06-17 16:23
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	+3	$3	95¢	$3	+$1	05-17 12:58
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	-10	-$9	33¢	$-3	+$6	06-08 09:09
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$3	62¢	$-3	+$0	04-28 18:32
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$1	09-19 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	84	$521	352	352	+0	No	+$6	09-06 14:34
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	122	$481	304	304	+0	open	—	06-10 13:51
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	67	$407	274	274	+0	Yes	+$12	05-28 18:17
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	39	$354	214	218	-4	No	+$4	07-02 11:55
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	58	$344	239	239	+0	No	+$12	05-28 19:43
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	50	$324	199	199	+0	No	+$5	09-01 20:08
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	45	$324	202	202	+0	No	+$8	07-03 17:26
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	66	$318	215	212	+3	No	+$4	08-24 19:49
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	54	$313	203	203	+0	No	+$3	07-02 22:06
iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	45	$306	218	188	+29	Yes	+$6	06-27 21:50
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	55	$302	202	202	+0	Yes	+$9	05-20 03:08
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?	61	$300	218	200	+18	No	+$16	06-23 01:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	63	$298	206	206	+0	Yes	+$11	06-09 14:02
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	63	$294	202	202	+0	No	+$11	05-20 04:21
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	58	$288	196	186	+10	No	+$5	06-26 06:20
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	41	$285	189	188	+1	open	—	08-02 13:32
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?	62	$284	189	189	+0	open	—	05-17 09:57
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	68	$283	194	194	+0	No	+$8	06-20 16:16
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	43	$282	176	176	+0	No	+$14	04-28 18:30
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	55	$274	200	170	+29	Yes	-$2	06-10 16:29
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	76	$266	191	189	+2	Yes	+$6	06-20 17:27
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	51	$258	158	165	-7	Yes	+$18	05-27 17:03
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	46	$257	163	163	+0	No	+$5	09-10 04:51
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	42	$255	171	171	+0	No	+$6	05-30 08:55
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	42	$250	171	171	+0	Yes	-$7	09-01 12:08
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	59	$242	158	152	+6	open	—	10-13 19:59
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	41	$238	157	157	+0	Yes	+$5	07-01 01:12
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	38	$236	144	144	+0	No	+$8	09-01 04:22
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	45	$235	167	173	-6	Yes	$0	06-24 00:22
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	52	$234	165	161	+4	No	+$1	05-05 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:13:21	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 10.5%+?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdad260…
10-26 19:12:57	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf13e8b…
10-26 16:01:29	Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf37776…
10-26 13:52:11	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in October?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8158de…
10-26 08:41:38	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 2% and 3%?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x252a44…
10-26 00:08:50	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4ea709…
10-25 20:37:32	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x517112…
10-25 03:49:14	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x767877…
10-25 03:49:14	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3b9dea…
10-25 03:06:20	Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa944ee…
10-25 03:06:15	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf85a1f…
10-25 02:27:27	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x79583d…
10-25 02:08:36	Will Colorado State have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x80240f…
10-24 21:11:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x704660…
10-23 16:40:18	Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 19 above $155?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd3b32d…
10-23 15:31:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x80e575…
10-23 15:17:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xed3505…
10-23 13:30:47	Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 19 above $160?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x812ced…
10-23 13:05:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa1203f…
10-22 20:06:08	Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,250 koz?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x01f1c9…
10-22 18:30:59	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 16?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x694c22…
10-22 17:00:09	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1427da…
10-22 13:39:02	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4abff8…
10-22 13:13:59	Will Procter & Gamble say "China" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7ac906…
10-22 10:00:03	Will Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q3 Building Automation sales be above $2B?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf21c89…
10-21 21:43:29	Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c9e60…
10-21 21:33:45	Will Tesla say "SpaceX" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x31bffc…
10-21 14:57:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4334a7…
10-21 14:54:03	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe55de6…
10-21 14:48:48	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa819d3…
10-21 10:49:08	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x657eaf…
10-21 10:48:56	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $152.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6ed8bf…
10-21 10:43:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38fa18…
10-21 10:30:03	Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32.4B?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x1ac20f…
10-21 10:30:03	Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32.4B?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x17a611…
10-21 10:25:08	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd04bbf…
10-21 10:25:08	Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f69b2…
10-21 10:00:03	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2% to 4%?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xec5398…
10-21 07:38:45	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe18928…
10-21 02:02:12	Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc3562f…
10-20 20:00:27	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢ to 20¢?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa35b8a…
10-20 17:43:44	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcc1202…
10-20 09:27:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x2bc668…
10-20 09:20:44	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc1684f…
10-20 09:13:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0cb0a7…
10-20 09:11:41	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x3c2122…
10-20 09:10:53	Will Josh Allen have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9ce874…
10-20 09:04:59	Will Procter & Gamble say "China" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x60aa0a…
10-20 09:00:43	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1a5a8e…
10-20 08:54:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x94aa1d…
10-20 08:53:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x8d82ca…
10-20 08:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x50b7af…
10-20 08:46:38	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x22e187…
10-20 08:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x1f87fb…
10-20 08:36:34	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xc584f2…
10-20 08:35:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9ef057…
10-20 08:35:53	North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x51ec5f…
10-20 08:31:34	Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9b728a…
10-20 08:31:08	North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xad1564…
10-20 08:24:37	Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xd741e2…
10-20 08:23:02	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x218e58…
10-20 08:21:43	Will Chris Godwin have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xf362fd…
10-20 08:19:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x6d3f7b…
10-20 08:17:20	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa58bd5…
10-20 08:14:10	Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x5aff31…
10-20 08:12:41	Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x7f1d93…
10-20 08:12:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xb92728…
10-20 08:12:26	GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe4d77a…
10-20 08:12:25	Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x22f7e9…
10-20 08:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3212c8…
10-20 08:11:04	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf6676c…
10-20 08:05:31	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2f9b49…
10-20 07:52:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,300,000 and 2,450,000?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf34a2f…
10-20 07:52:44	Will 90 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xa2331e…
10-20 07:52:43	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x49e90b…
10-20 07:49:43	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe04f68…
10-20 07:45:05	Will Romeo Doubs have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xca0acd…
10-20 07:41:19	Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb57370…
10-20 07:40:40	Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by October 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xadfcb1…
10-20 07:36:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x387da4…
10-20 07:19:59	Will Chris Godwin have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb8910b…
10-20 07:12:59	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf3b259…
10-20 07:09:11	North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf66474…
10-20 07:07:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x272abf…
10-20 07:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x8825aa…
10-20 06:52:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xd4a9ee…
10-20 06:50:50	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x555569…
10-20 06:47:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x9b746d…
10-20 06:45:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xa88b0b…
10-20 06:44:05	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x98dec0…
10-20 06:43:44	Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4a29a0…
10-20 06:42:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x22d946…
10-20 06:41:05	Will Vest launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x700195…
10-20 06:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xe4f2c3…
10-20 06:28:20	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x1593ce…
10-20 06:22:05	Will Cameron Ward have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x7218d7…
10-20 06:18:50	Will Romeo Doubs have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x54f527…
10-20 06:16:05	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x580abe…
10-20 06:12:49	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0e4770…
10-20 06:06:56	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc9d694…