Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
415
Trades
46,863
lifetime
Volume
$224.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$322
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-20 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
60% 59% $-7
Politics
16% 75% +$17
Crypto
13% 73% +$20
Sports
8% 69% $-12
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +29 $25 83¢ $24 $-1 07-20 17:34
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +21 $17 86¢ $18 +$1 07-18 09:57
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No -21 $-13 82¢ $-17 $-4 07-10 15:29
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +18 $14 89¢ $16 +$2 07-20 14:39
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -15 $-15 92¢ $-14 +$0 06-08 21:08
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -14 $-10 96¢ $-13 $-3 05-30 09:07
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No -14 $-13 93¢ $-13 +$0 06-09 10:27
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No -13 $-12 94¢ $-12 +$0 06-10 14:45
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-10 100¢ $-12 $-1 06-07 20:28
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -14 $-11 80¢ $-11 +$0 05-28 17:16
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-11 91¢ $-11 $-0 06-23 11:47
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No -12 $-9 90¢ $-11 $-1 06-06 00:46
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No -12 $-11 88¢ $-11 +$0 05-30 19:20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +15 $10 70¢ $10 $-0 07-20 17:16
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $12 86¢ $10 $-2 07-15 06:08
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -12 $-9 78¢ $-9 +$0 06-30 10:13
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No -12 $-9 77¢ $-9 $-0 06-02 08:45
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 84¢ $-9 +$1 07-01 09:20
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +11 $8 81¢ $9 +$0 07-17 15:39
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -11 $-11 79¢ $-9 +$2 06-15 18:47
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No +11 $7 77¢ $8 +$2 06-10 11:11
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $9 72¢ $8 $-2 07-15 11:36
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 82.5 -8 $-7 98¢ $-8 $-0 06-02 07:41
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -9 $-6 86¢ $-8 $-2 06-22 06:46
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +10 $7 77¢ $8 +$0 07-20 02:07
Discord IPO before 2027? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 07-20 07:32
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 63¢ $7 $-1 06-30 15:24
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 07-12 13:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 84¢ $7 +$2 06-15 13:44
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? Yes -16 $-8 43¢ $-7 +$2 06-15 19:48