Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
413
Trades
41,340
lifetime
Volume
$189.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$319
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
61% 59% $-7
Politics
16% 75% +$17
Crypto
13% 72% +$19
Sports
7% 69% $-12
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? No -15 $-14 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-28 05:39
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -15 $-15 94¢ $-14 +$0 06-08 21:08
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -14 $-12 100¢ $-14 $-2 05-27 20:15
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No -14 $-13 95¢ $-13 $-0 06-09 10:27
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -13 $-12 98¢ $-13 $-0 06-07 23:47
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -14 $-10 89¢ $-12 $-2 05-30 09:07
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No -13 $-12 93¢ $-12 +$0 06-10 14:45
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No -12 $-10 99¢ $-12 $-2 05-29 17:37
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-15 06:16
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -14 $-11 83¢ $-12 $-0 05-28 17:16
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-1 06-07 20:28
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-13 100¢ $-11 +$2 06-13 11:58
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-11 90¢ $-11 $-0 06-23 11:47
3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-30 03:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No -12 $-11 87¢ $-10 +$0 05-30 19:20
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No -12 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-1 06-06 00:46
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +12 $10 85¢ $10 +$0 06-27 23:00
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -11 $-11 93¢ $-10 +$1 06-15 18:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 06-22 23:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 03:21
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 76¢ $10 +$0 06-29 14:47
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +14 $9 66¢ $9 $-0 06-27 22:44
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No +11 $7 84¢ $9 +$2 06-10 11:11
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -14 $-11 62¢ $-9 +$3 06-22 04:07
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No -12 $-9 72¢ $-9 +$0 06-02 08:45
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -12 $-9 72¢ $-9 +$1 06-30 10:13
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No -9 $-5 94¢ $-9 $-4 05-29 23:40
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +9 $7 88¢ $8 +$1 06-30 12:26
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-5 100¢ $-8 $-3 05-31 12:54
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? Yes -14 $-8 56¢ $-8 +$0 06-18 23:12