Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
open
Total volume
$742
Trades
88
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$1,770
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-15
last 07-28 07:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $64 | $57 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $15 | $361 | $345 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $30 | $41 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $65 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $9 | $175 | $166 |
| Median | 3 | $8 | $12 | $4 |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $31 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 17 | $29 | $184 | $155 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +172 | $157 | $157 | 7 | 07-28 07:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +81 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 07-10 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +75 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-21 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +74 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-22 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +67 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-14 20:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +49 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-19 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +39 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 07-17 20:06 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +37 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-10 11:25 |
| Remarkable-Chinchilla 0xebdb…5ac4 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-28 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ac2…5d97 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 01:07 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 07-26 16:12 |
| Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-10 11:24 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 12:59 |
| Quarrelsome-Attorney 0xacf6…c7da | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-28 02:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +3 | $-3 | $9 | 3 | 07-28 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x631f…4c9a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-27 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e93…d795 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $7 | 6 | 07-19 02:06 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 23:53 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 07:17:10 | Remarkable-Chinchilla 0xebdb…5ac4 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x005f31… |
| 07-28 07:17:10 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x005f31… |
| 07-28 07:17:10 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x005f31… |
| 07-28 02:06:49 | Quarrelsome-Attorney 0xacf6…c7da | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x51e767… |
| 07-28 02:06:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51e767… |
| 07-27 09:03:09 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99401c… |
| 07-27 09:03:09 | (anonymous) 0x631f…4c9a | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x99401c… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x6e93…d795 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | Victorious-Restaurant 0xf0ee…4b33 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 16:12:28 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe1ed4d… |
| 07-26 08:45:42 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x66f876… |
| 07-26 08:45:42 | (anonymous) 0x5355…a764 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x66f876… |
| 07-22 06:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x58555e… |
| 07-22 06:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x58555e… |
| 07-22 06:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x8dd916… |
| 07-22 06:04:03 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0x8dd916… |
| 07-21 21:26:54 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x930c0c… |
| 07-21 21:26:54 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x930c0c… |
| 07-21 18:40:45 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xfd7304… |
| 07-21 18:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xfd7304… |
| 07-21 18:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x996abd… |
| 07-21 18:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x996abd… |
| 07-19 02:06:37 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf40dd0… |
| 07-19 02:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf40dd0… |
| 07-19 02:06:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf40dd0… |
| 07-19 02:06:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xf40dd0… |
| 07-17 20:06:13 | Decimal-Globe 0xce3c…7df3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdd45d4… |
| 07-17 20:06:13 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xdd45d4… |
| 07-17 20:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xdd45d4… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | SELL | 101 | 16¢ | $17 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-14 20:05:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xc9ffc1… |
| 07-13 23:53:53 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x9b7fb4… |
| 07-13 23:53:53 | Lasting-Maintenance 0x8283…c52b | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x9b7fb4… |
| 07-11 12:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x2ba25a… |
| 07-11 12:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x2ba25a… |
| 07-10 11:26:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0x57517b… |
| 07-10 11:26:19 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0x57517b… |
| 07-10 11:25:56 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x003ff1… |
| 07-10 11:25:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x003ff1… |
| 07-10 11:25:05 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 37 | 80¢ | $29 | 0x5e4c23… |
| 07-10 11:25:05 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 65 | 80¢ | $52 | 0x5e4c23… |
| 07-10 11:25:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x5e4c23… |
| 07-10 11:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x5e4c23… |
| 07-10 11:25:05 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x5e4c23… |
| 07-10 11:24:47 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb17547… |
| 07-10 11:24:47 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb17547… |
| 07-10 11:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf9aae0… |
| 07-10 11:24:38 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf9aae0… |
| 07-10 11:24:28 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x8e0f27… |
| 07-10 11:24:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x8e0f27… |
| 07-08 20:31:53 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x8ff533… |
| 07-08 20:31:53 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 92 | 91¢ | $84 | 0x8ff533… |
| 07-08 20:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8ff533… |
| 07-08 20:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x734d7c… |
| 07-08 20:31:26 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x734d7c… |
| 07-08 20:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xbefc62… |
| 07-08 20:31:16 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 67 | 91¢ | $61 | 0xbefc62… |
| 07-08 20:31:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xbefc62… |
| 07-08 20:30:52 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xbd4812… |
| 07-08 20:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbd4812… |
| 07-08 20:30:31 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x2cb1ba… |
| 07-08 20:30:31 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2cb1ba… |
| 07-08 20:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8f79f8… |
| 07-08 20:29:25 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x8f79f8… |
| 06-30 19:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x5355…a764 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xf4bb18… |
| 06-30 19:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xf4bb18… |
| 06-30 05:33:25 | Second-Hand-Check 0x514e…0f64 | No | SELL | 1 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x478648… |
| 06-30 05:33:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 1 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x478648… |
| 06-30 05:03:16 | Second-Hand-Check 0x514e…0f64 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x051c08… |
| 06-30 05:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x051c08… |
| 06-29 01:07:50 | (anonymous) 0x8ac2…5d97 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xaaf685… |
| 06-29 01:07:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xaaf685… |
| 06-29 01:07:50 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xaaf685… |
| 06-22 22:00:32 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf05921… |
| 06-22 22:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x8f03…41ca | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf05921… |
| 06-17 08:26:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x669b7d… |
| 06-17 08:26:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x669b7d… |
| 06-15 03:53:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe3d0be… |
| 06-15 03:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x8f03…41ca | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe3d0be… |