Ajar-Storey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

1,236

Trades

8,789

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

64% 41% -$273

Sports

18% 58% +$15

Crypto

7% 59% -$2

Politics

7% 59% -$18

Tech

3% 38% -$8

Pop-Culture

0% 57% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	+848	$2	0¢	$2	-$1	08-17 07:42
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-03 08:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	Yes	-109	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-22 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	141	$953	531	510	+20	Yes	+$15	02-25 21:33
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	395	$606	2,199	2,045	+154	No	-$30	04-05 01:26
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	122	$412	342	386	-43	Yes	-$17	05-08 19:24
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	63	$361	213	196	+18	No	+$6	04-12 22:42
will the golden state warriors make the nba playoffs 223	135	$360	533	545	-12	No	+$11	04-18 03:00
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt2 and 2pt4	65	$297	106	213	-107	No	-$1	03-12 18:09
will the brooklyn nets win more than 19pt5 regular season games in 202526	77	$294	461	411	+50	Yes	-$57	03-17 12:08
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	53	$284	165	151	+14	No	+$6	04-18 07:58
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	61	$270	164	172	-8	No	-$1	03-05 20:40
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	63	$255	173	179	-6	No	$0	03-17 05:54
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	104	$218	384	388	-3	No	-$2	03-02 09:02
will bodglimt advance to the round of 16	61	$215	192	210	-17	Yes	+$12	02-24 20:33
will the oklahoma city thunder finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba western conference	58	$214	151	122	+29	Yes	+$20	04-01 11:16
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	39	$183	104	98	+5	Yes	+$4	05-17 06:55
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	33	$182	102	101	+1	Yes	$0	03-03 16:19
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	34	$181	127	127	+1	Yes	-$2	05-04 11:40
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	60	$181	197	180	+17	Yes	-$7	05-18 15:16
sidemen charity match 2026 winner	48	$173	163	149	+14	Youtube Allstars	+$8	04-18 15:26
ethereum above 2000 on february 19	50	$172	139	137	+3	No	+$2	02-19 03:32
elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	57	$172	162	149	+14	No	-$4	04-11 18:26
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	48	$168	143	138	+5	cancelled	$0	05-14 11:21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	35	$163	120	121	-1	Yes	-$1	04-24 19:02
nba 2025 26 apg leader nikola jokic	34	$160	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	03-17 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	76	$155	259	259	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 06:05
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 56 57f	34	$150	92	92	+0	No	$0	03-17 02:03
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	251	$144	3,431	3,156	+274	Yes	+$0	01-28 21:57
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	57	$139	190	283	-93	No	+$1	03-17 13:19
will the toronto raptors make the nba playoffs 961	28	$135	81	77	+3	Yes	+$1	04-09 02:39
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	32	$133	96	91	+5	Yes	+$5	05-09 23:04
bitcoin above 68k on february 17	31	$126	182	182	+0	No	-$4	02-14 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:24:34	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x951b23…
10-29 11:23:23	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xf5f79c…
10-19 23:06:35	Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x38bd1a…
10-19 04:15:47	Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x1021fe…
10-18 23:31:57	Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb9f763…
10-06 18:25:24	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xcf04e6…
10-04 19:40:31	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc582b3…
09-28 01:37:54	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x054364…
09-15 04:44:03	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe4cb0e…
09-11 09:29:51	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x225b00…
09-09 15:22:22	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xfd92a7…
09-09 08:09:39	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa598c3…
09-05 12:03:37	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x340fa0…
09-04 22:25:16	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xfd5a04…
09-04 22:16:13	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x651121…
09-04 13:47:13	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x76eaa0…
09-04 12:34:33	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x7284f1…
09-04 10:27:31	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8dc9da…
09-04 10:27:13	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x35b8ac…
09-04 10:27:09	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x23cda2…
09-03 15:56:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x38c003…
09-02 16:55:37	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xdac80d…
09-02 15:40:49	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x15e634…
09-02 15:40:48	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe4f579…
09-02 15:40:46	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x202e6a…
09-01 22:39:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x58ba53…
09-01 14:16:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd05a0a…
09-01 11:35:45	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xcadea8…
09-01 11:35:45	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x8c87b9…
09-01 11:35:45	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x8210e8…
09-01 11:35:43	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd89c1a…
09-01 11:35:43	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x70b7a1…
09-01 06:11:21	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf13888…
09-01 06:11:15	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6a0e13…
08-31 16:49:37	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xdbb066…
08-31 16:21:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xb3807d…
08-30 01:14:06	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x1363c6…
08-30 01:09:51	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f47f5…
08-30 01:09:48	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b42eb…
08-24 17:37:00	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x995dc0…
08-24 15:41:33	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x378df3…
08-24 15:41:19	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa24e90…
08-24 11:34:10	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x061821…
08-23 17:33:15	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x8445d5…
08-23 06:11:49	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x33817d…
08-23 04:57:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x9e4656…
08-22 23:57:57	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x370e8c…
08-22 19:57:49	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xb5995c…
08-22 09:43:55	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd9d48e…
08-21 17:40:51	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd926da…
08-21 16:27:25	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x34f616…
08-21 14:30:07	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x80c04a…
08-21 13:33:27	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x335dd9…
08-21 09:46:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xae15c9…
08-20 01:22:54	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xca70f7…
08-20 00:58:45	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x0630b9…
08-19 15:47:00	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x84cde6…
08-19 14:01:43	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xc5110c…
08-19 11:58:25	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x15a7be…
08-19 03:05:33	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc3ab93…
08-19 02:19:43	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xa88196…
08-19 01:34:18	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x9d36d9…
08-18 01:46:37	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x20dbb8…
08-17 19:11:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc43454…
08-17 13:41:22	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x02e928…
08-17 09:12:37	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x847a99…
08-17 07:42:00	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6f8784…
08-17 04:05:36	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x78420e…
08-17 03:05:15	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6d4349…
08-16 09:38:40	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x8e87de…
08-15 10:01:58	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe87bfd…
08-15 09:55:30	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x37bf59…
08-15 09:49:06	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdb9aa9…
08-15 01:03:04	Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa6ffcf…
08-14 18:59:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x98fd74…
08-14 14:23:42	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xabe752…
08-14 02:19:27	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xc85f1b…
08-13 21:56:55	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x41b0da…
08-13 07:00:15	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8920b1…
08-12 21:43:46	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x0d2c9f…
08-12 17:19:25	Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x7e9432…
08-12 11:29:43	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x98f6d5…
08-12 09:45:57	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x955c8b…
08-12 04:48:58	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x26119d…
08-12 04:48:52	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x05dff5…
08-12 04:48:28	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x35158b…
08-12 04:47:27	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa52c27…
08-12 04:46:42	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xf98773…
08-12 04:41:12	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x78ca2a…
08-12 01:18:06	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x87a7db…
08-12 01:08:49	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa062da…
08-12 01:03:46	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x44b7fe…
08-12 01:01:34	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x988c1e…
08-12 00:58:33	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x81706d…
08-12 00:56:22	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x38113b…
08-11 20:28:25	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x6b0620…
08-11 20:22:24	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb837aa…
08-11 18:03:09	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xf19ac3…
08-11 15:16:06	Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb1df90…
08-11 14:56:31	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x1b4a75…