Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
58
Trades
69,845
lifetime
Volume
$120.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$196
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
55% 45% $-71
Crypto
17% 100% +$0
Sports
15% 75% +$8
Politics
11% 70% +$29
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -44 $-8 27¢ $-12 $-4 05-31 15:36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -14 $-10 70¢ $-10 +$0 06-02 15:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $13 20¢ $8 $-5 06-01 14:06
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-0 05-27 20:14
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 58¢ $8 $-1 06-01 16:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +9 $5 81¢ $7 +$2 06-01 15:13
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -7 $-7 92¢ $-7 $-0 05-28 11:12
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -8 $-5 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-04 10:40
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +7 $6 95¢ $7 +$0 06-01 22:40
Obama arrested before 2027? No +7 $6 93¢ $7 +$0 05-29 15:00
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -7 $-7 94¢ $-7 $-0 06-15 03:32
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +7 $6 93¢ $7 +$0 05-28 21:06
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-7 $-0 06-06 15:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$2 06-02 00:02
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $7 +$0 06-01 14:02
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No +7 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 06-01 14:23
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +25 $2 26¢ $6 +$4 06-13 05:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 05-28 01:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-01 13:33
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? No -6 $-6 97¢ $-6 $-0 05-28 18:28
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +18 $5 30¢ $6 +$1 05-31 14:42
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein? No -6 $-6 98¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 08:39
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -6 $-4 87¢ $-5 $-1 06-01 12:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 05-30 16:02
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 05-31 15:46
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-01 19:33
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-01 13:59
Will Miami Heretics finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 22:58
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 05:59
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 08:25