United-Welcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

71,740

lifetime

Volume

$125.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

54% 45% $-71

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Sports

14% 75% +$8

Politics

11% 70% +$29

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	352	$1.6K	1,449	1,369	+80	open	—	05-24 16:38
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	506	$1.4K	2,694	1,993	+701	open	—	04-10 16:26
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	510	$922	2,917	3,353	-436	open	—	04-21 12:57
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	186	$835	1,175	1,290	-116	open	—	04-24 00:33
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	221	$652	2,419	2,830	-412	open	—	03-20 13:33
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	172	$615	1,047	886	+161	open	—	02-21 18:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	120	$611	967	1,046	-78	open	—	02-16 02:53
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	139	$604	1,291	1,358	-67	open	—	02-07 14:28
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	122	$575	400	420	-20	open	—	04-19 22:08
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	338	$549	3,272	2,670	+601	open	—	01-08 17:57
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	178	$507	1,053	978	+76	open	—	04-11 19:03
will seguro win all of portugals districts	134	$504	1,500	1,593	-93	open	—	02-08 20:52
ethereum above 2000 on february 9	89	$494	413	400	+13	open	—	02-09 11:21
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	149	$486	508	577	-69	Yes	$-44	05-12 17:12
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	259	$471	1,056	1,016	+40	open	—	04-28 10:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	186	$467	1,549	1,591	-41	open	—	06-29 00:14
will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	163	$460	992	1,069	-77	open	—	03-16 00:03
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	134	$458	646	657	-11	open	—	02-14 17:52
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	424	$457	2,778	2,679	+100	open	—	02-09 00:36
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	370	$446	11,949	15,740	-3,791	open	—	03-12 20:20
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	134	$446	1,818	1,970	-151	open	—	02-20 18:44
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	98	$431	535	464	+71	open	—	02-16 05:31
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 520 539	312	$420	2,566	2,119	+447	open	—	01-09 07:04
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	101	$391	493	420	+73	open	—	05-24 16:32
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	69	$385	223	216	+7	open	—	04-05 11:54
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	327	$383	2,749	2,670	+79	open	—	01-08 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	313	$380	2,240	2,249	-9	open	—	01-09 06:03
nba hou okc 2026 02 07	78	$375	433	421	+12	open	—	02-07 21:33
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	81	$364	435	393	+42	open	—	02-02 11:09
ethereum above 2000 on february 7	93	$363	696	601	+96	open	—	02-07 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 18:23:15	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xab2540…
08-14 15:32:07	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x23606d…
08-14 15:32:03	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x6d3c5a…
08-14 11:58:31	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xfc0d61…
08-14 10:25:39	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x527630…
08-14 08:44:36	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x4d5983…
08-14 05:04:46	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x73d0b6…
08-13 19:08:16	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xd1dafd…
08-13 19:03:19	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0xc312ba…
08-13 17:15:28	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9feee2…
08-13 16:08:54	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x369b51…
08-13 13:46:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xce0765…
08-13 11:05:51	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x432edd…
08-13 09:54:22	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xe0c21f…
08-13 09:15:49	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x2cb609…
08-13 09:12:43	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x91fd88…
08-13 09:09:37	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x47f607…
08-13 09:06:25	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x0f0cbc…
08-13 08:10:52	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x84a63c…
08-13 07:46:18	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xc4723b…
08-13 07:03:12	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x021c90…
08-13 06:37:58	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3d8533…
08-13 06:18:43	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x348f5a…
08-13 04:45:24	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfeacbf…
08-13 04:09:52	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xf9124e…
08-13 03:11:12	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x95595f…
08-13 02:49:21	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xe8a4e2…
08-13 02:49:15	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x3031b8…
08-13 02:49:07	Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xcdf7b2…
08-13 02:07:27	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x06eaac…
08-12 23:45:16	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd68d81…
08-12 23:27:36	Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x0d7b4a…
08-12 20:25:01	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x0d2cfb…
08-12 19:49:28	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7fa91e…
08-12 17:15:25	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0xe0685c…
08-12 17:12:01	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	2¢	$3	0x267ea9…
08-12 16:58:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x02e47c…
08-12 16:42:27	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x8024d0…
08-12 15:46:12	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x48c769…
08-12 14:24:27	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x31a54e…
08-12 14:23:09	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x05122a…
08-12 14:23:07	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x66b284…
08-12 14:12:58	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x10a45c…
08-12 13:12:15	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x07906e…
08-12 13:08:48	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x5dc186…
08-12 08:21:39	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x32e131…
08-12 05:56:09	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x7e3acb…
08-12 01:19:31	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x2d3163…
08-12 01:05:15	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xecbb0c…
08-12 00:19:03	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd29753…
08-12 00:15:28	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe86b26…
08-12 00:08:13	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xed9bb7…
08-11 19:29:42	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xd0c942…
08-11 18:32:57	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x57431f…
08-11 17:13:09	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x6b92d0…
08-11 14:55:31	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x394c7b…
08-11 13:56:40	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xcfb4ce…
08-11 13:26:36	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x11be07…
08-11 12:19:57	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb945b8…
08-11 10:33:03	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xf760ea…
08-11 10:29:22	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xad6ab2…
08-11 08:26:19	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xa4fde2…
08-11 08:10:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x25780f…
08-11 07:13:40	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x246cc7…
08-11 06:58:40	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x2be3ca…
08-11 04:18:34	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xba12ff…
08-11 01:56:54	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb93ad4…
08-11 01:28:22	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x196bd5…
08-11 00:48:51	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x342c42…
08-10 22:05:06	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x53f4b7…
08-10 19:38:30	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xae4cb2…
08-10 18:10:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x5ba463…
08-10 18:03:15	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2813d7…
08-10 17:30:03	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5531a9…
08-10 17:05:33	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdd91b4…
08-10 17:02:16	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x2697d3…
08-10 11:36:28	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xe78fb8…
08-10 10:24:09	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7efea9…
08-10 10:24:07	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x74f5e2…
08-10 10:02:52	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xaf4d0d…
08-10 05:27:31	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xd581d7…
08-10 05:19:12	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xdfad33…
08-10 05:02:06	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3f1b24…
08-10 04:37:57	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x3f0c49…
08-10 04:32:24	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xfc52ab…
08-10 01:05:52	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xb1048c…
08-10 00:25:34	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x0b76ed…
08-10 00:18:39	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x22dd63…
08-09 20:15:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x04180c…
08-09 19:33:24	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xc2ad10…
08-09 18:54:36	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xb19092…
08-09 17:09:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xcf9beb…
08-09 13:22:00	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xade8ad…
08-09 08:46:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x3cdb4a…
08-09 08:12:45	Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x85b49c…
08-09 08:09:48	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf3086f…
08-09 05:33:43	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x711b89…
08-09 01:11:54	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6cbcd4…
08-08 23:11:51	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcec453…
08-08 23:03:34	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x2121c9…