Realized P&L
+$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
7,029
Trades
83,152
lifetime
Volume
$155.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$188
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 14:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Other
51% 42% -$405
Crypto
15% 43% +$402
Sports
15% 58% +$500
Politics
15% 53% +$753
Tech
2% 52% +$44
Pop-Culture
1% 53% +$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No -20 -$2 63¢ $-12 -$10 09-29 09:19
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? No -16 -$9 79¢ $-12 -$4 06-11 20:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +12 $0 94¢ $11 +$11 06-24 14:45
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $6 84¢ $8 +$3 07-29 01:02
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 93¢ $8 +$6 07-20 20:40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 04-30 17:21
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +7 $5 98¢ $7 +$2 08-07 03:54
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $4 88¢ $7 +$2 08-17 23:17
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +7 $4 87¢ $6 +$2 09-09 04:06
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 08-22 08:13
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 08-22 08:24
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -7 $0 82¢ $-6 -$5 08-11 19:29
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8 $5 66¢ $6 +$1 08-14 06:04
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-06 03:08
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 08-13 07:03
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +6 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 08-24 18:28
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-22 05:03
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-17 19:02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 08-11 06:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-23 13:54
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 08-07 23:54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-11 08:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 08-05 23:04
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$0 08-10 05:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 08-12 10:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 $0 08-12 23:21
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 08-07 12:57
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 05-10 17:47
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $4 64¢ $5 +$1 08-11 08:45
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 09-06 11:33