Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
58
Trades
70,575
lifetime
Volume
$122.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$192
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
55% 45% $-71
Crypto
18% 100% +$0
Sports
15% 75% +$8
Politics
11% 70% +$29
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -44 $-6 30¢ $-13 $-7 07-05 14:04
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -14 $-10 74¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 15:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 06-27 23:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +42 $6 22¢ $9 +$3 07-03 18:35
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 77¢ $-7 $-3 06-30 15:28
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -8 $-5 95¢ $-7 $-2 06-04 10:40
Obama arrested before 2027? No +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$0 05-29 15:00
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -7 $-7 97¢ $-7 $-0 06-15 03:32
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -7 $-7 91¢ $-7 +$0 05-28 11:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-7 $-1 05-28 01:32
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -7 $-6 93¢ $-6 +$0 06-25 02:08
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-6 +$0 06-06 15:50
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -6 $-4 99¢ $-6 $-2 06-01 12:58
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 20:20
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 16:53
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026 No -6 $-5 89¢ $-6 $-1 06-24 23:25
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026? No -6 $-6 91¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 17:26
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-6 18¢ $-6 +$0 07-01 17:05
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes -362 $-4 $-5 $-1 07-04 03:42
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? Yes -8 $-6 70¢ $-5 +$1 06-18 13:39
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 07-04 23:13
USD0 depeg by December 31? No -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 04:14
EU debt downgrade before 2027? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-5 +$0 07-03 21:07
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $4 37¢ $5 +$1 07-05 07:08
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 08:25
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -7 $-5 72¢ $-5 +$0 05-29 02:18
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-4 70¢ $-5 $-1 05-29 04:10
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? No -6 $-5 75¢ $-5 $-0 06-27 21:18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 01:50
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -25 $-6 19¢ $-5 +$1 06-30 03:11