GHO depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$259
Trades
64
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$7,475
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-05 09:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $4 | $56 | $51 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $27 | $21 | +$6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $51 | — | +$51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $61 | $57 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $4 | $0 |
| Below median | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $10 | $12 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 3 | $51 | — | +$51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +103 | $-2 | $15 | 4 | 08-05 09:06 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-09 20:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +72 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 06:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +68 | $56 | $56 | 4 | 07-09 20:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 06:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-12 12:33 |
| Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | +15 | $1 | $7 | 4 | 07-09 20:59 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 20:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf687…1ddd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-12 12:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xee1ddb… |
| 08-05 09:06:54 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xee1ddb… |
| 07-12 12:33:32 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xade93f… |
| 07-12 12:33:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xade93f… |
| 07-12 12:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8c095d… |
| 07-12 12:32:31 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8c095d… |
| 07-09 21:35:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38112e… |
| 07-09 21:35:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38112e… |
| 07-09 21:31:26 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14f1a2… |
| 07-09 21:31:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14f1a2… |
| 07-09 21:16:53 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xea1ba0… |
| 07-09 21:16:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xea1ba0… |
| 07-09 21:16:53 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xea1ba0… |
| 07-09 21:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xea1ba0… |
| 07-09 21:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x01e88b… |
| 07-09 21:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x01e88b… |
| 07-09 21:06:01 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x01e88b… |
| 07-09 20:59:14 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x5aceb9… |
| 07-09 20:59:14 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5aceb9… |
| 07-09 20:59:14 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5aceb9… |
| 07-09 20:59:14 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5aceb9… |
| 07-09 20:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5aceb9… |
| 07-09 20:53:58 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x63bbeb… |
| 07-09 20:53:58 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x63bbeb… |
| 07-09 20:53:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x63bbeb… |
| 07-09 20:53:58 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x63bbeb… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:38 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 19¢ | $16 | 0x0293da… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4a5dfd… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4a5dfd… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4a5dfd… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x4a5dfd… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4a5dfd… |
| 07-09 20:48:38 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x34ccb7… |
| 07-09 20:48:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 31 | 84¢ | $26 | 0x34ccb7… |
| 07-09 20:41:25 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1751ef… |
| 07-09 20:41:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1751ef… |
| 07-09 20:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x2fd91b… |
| 07-09 20:40:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x2fd91b… |
| 07-09 20:40:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x491cfb… |
| 07-09 20:40:05 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x491cfb… |
| 07-09 20:40:05 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x491cfb… |
| 07-09 20:40:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x491cfb… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 43 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:39:43 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x552791… |
| 07-09 20:38:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x4ce5b2… |
| 07-09 20:38:25 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x4ce5b2… |
| 07-09 20:38:25 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4ce5b2… |
| 07-09 20:38:25 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x4ce5b2… |
| 06-06 23:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x0b6d8b… |
| 06-06 23:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xf687…1ddd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0b6d8b… |
| 06-02 06:46:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xdc31a0… |
| 06-02 06:46:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 72 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xdc31a0… |
| 06-02 06:46:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xdc31a0… |
| 06-02 06:46:07 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xdc31a0… |
| 06-02 06:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x16c3…d4b9 | Yes | SELL | 217 | 6¢ | $13 | 0xdc31a0… |