Realized P&L
+$2.85K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
8,773
Trades
57,770
lifetime
Volume
$200.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$12
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 09-14 12:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
83% 59% +$2,237
Sports
9% 57% +$282
Politics
6% 66% +$294
Crypto
1% 56% -$1
Tech
1% 70% +$17
Pop-Culture
0% 69% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $4 95¢ $4 +$1 06-27 14:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 06-21 15:45
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 06-01 02:19
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 Yes +5 $1 25¢ $1 $0 07-05 23:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +1 $0 89¢ $0 +$0 08-05 13:06
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +2 $1 26¢ $0 $0 08-02 17:31
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 05-22 04:52
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +0 -$2 34¢ $0 +$2 08-02 00:45