Realized P&L
+$117
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
291
Trades
36,255
lifetime
Volume
$123.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$18
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-20 15:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
76% 57% +$91
Sports
13% 47% +$34
Politics
8% 71% +$1
Crypto
2% 50% $-9
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 320 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +4 $2 98¢ $4 +$2 07-01 12:13
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-27 14:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$1 06-21 15:45
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -2 $-1 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 14:50
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? Yes +3 $1 70¢ $2 +$0 06-15 12:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +9 $5 19¢ $2 $-3 06-15 14:14
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 $-0 06-18 14:34
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $1 84¢ $0 $-1 07-07 13:47
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +0 $-0 68¢ $0 +$1 06-16 08:25
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 89¢ $0 $-2 07-06 15:34