Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
563
lifetime
Volume
$398
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$69
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-10 06:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
29%
Crypto
12%
Tech
11%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miami Heretics finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? Yes +47 $2 20¢ $9 +$8 06-10 05:38
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No +14 $3 31¢ $4 +$1 06-07 01:57
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +59 $4 $4 $-1 06-09 01:56
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +8 $3 48¢ $4 +$1 06-06 02:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +34 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 06-10 07:34
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +10 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 06-08 19:01
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +5 $1 51¢ $3 +$1 06-06 18:57
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +36 $2 $2 +$1 06-10 03:53
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 24¢ $2 +$1 06-10 05:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +7 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-09 23:54
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes +8 $2 26¢ $2 +$1 06-10 00:55
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? Yes +14 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 06-10 06:58
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:49
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +8 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 06-07 03:55
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +14 $1 15¢ $2 +$1 06-09 19:48
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +7 $2 29¢ $2 $-0 06-08 22:36
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Yes +105 $1 $2 +$1 06-10 03:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -13 $-2 15¢ $-2 +$0 06-09 15:55
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +10 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 06-08 22:24
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +4 $1 46¢ $2 +$0 06-05 05:56
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +6 $2 28¢ $2 $-0 06-06 06:30
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +4 $2 33¢ $1 $-0 06-08 14:13
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 06-07 13:30
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? Yes +94 $0 $1 +$1 06-09 16:08
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$1 06-10 05:13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -7 $-1 17¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 09:08
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 16:19
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes +81 $0 $1 +$1 06-09 19:05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-06 09:06
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 06-04 12:58