Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,982
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$130
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-21 23:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38%
Other
32%
Crypto
20%
Tech
10%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +169 $29 16¢ $26 $-3 07-21 19:15
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +109 $7 $10 +$3 06-23 03:08
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -170 $-9 $-7 +$2 07-21 21:03
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +240 $4 $7 +$3 07-19 10:14
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +8 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 07-16 16:51
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 07-21 05:38
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes +90 $3 $6 +$3 07-20 13:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -35 $-4 11¢ $-4 +$1 07-01 09:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $3 $4 +$1 07-19 16:25
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +5 $2 71¢ $4 +$1 07-03 14:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +10 $2 35¢ $3 +$1 07-20 22:15
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +73 $2 $3 +$1 07-10 10:53
Obama arrested before 2027? Yes +125 $3 $3 +$0 07-21 17:57
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +26 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 07-17 14:50
Discord IPO before 2027? No +4 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 07-01 22:09
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? No +9 $1 32¢ $3 +$2 06-28 23:47
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +11 $5 26¢ $3 $-2 06-25 13:06
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +3 $1 91¢ $3 +$2 06-08 14:24
Love Wins: 2026 Edition Yes +6 $3 41¢ $3 $-0 07-07 02:37
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 07-03 07:12
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes +26 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 07-19 03:33
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +8 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 07-07 02:17
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 $2 +$0 07-21 19:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-15 03:51
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? No +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 07-11 07:10
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 07-08 11:11
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? No +7 $2 25¢ $2 +$0 07-18 13:25
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes -39 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-21 05:34
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +32 $3 $2 $-2 07-07 16:54
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 06-06 06:30