Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,287
lifetime
Volume
$1.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$144
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-01 00:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
37%
Politics
36%
Crypto
16%
Tech
10%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +158 $28 21¢ $33 +$5 06-30 18:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +15 $4 100¢ $15 +$12 06-14 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +12 $-4 99¢ $12 +$16 06-28 22:04
Obama arrested before 2027? Yes +205 $7 $8 +$1 07-01 01:11
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +109 $7 $7 $-0 06-23 03:08
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +5 $1 100¢ $5 +$4 06-06 18:57
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$1 06-11 11:22
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +272 $3 $4 +$1 06-30 05:46
Sam Altman in jail by June 30? Yes +104 $0 $4 +$4 06-30 16:24
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 06-25 14:26
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes +17 $3 22¢ $4 +$1 06-29 12:10
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $3 $4 +$1 06-30 18:52
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +11 $5 32¢ $4 $-2 06-25 13:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +3 $-3 97¢ $3 +$6 06-29 10:55
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 26¢ $3 +$0 06-30 20:13
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -42 $-3 $-3 +$0 07-01 02:06
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +8 $2 34¢ $3 +$0 06-28 22:02
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -3 $0 100¢ $-3 $-3 06-15 09:11
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 $-2 +$0 06-15 03:51
New Half-Life game by June 30? Yes -183 $-0 $-2 $-2 06-26 23:06
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $1 48¢ $2 +$1 06-07 13:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +8 $2 23¢ $2 +$0 06-15 14:18
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? No +9 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-28 23:47
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +14 $2 13¢ $2 $-0 06-30 00:50
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 11¢ $2 +$0 06-27 02:27
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes -734 $-1 $-1 $-1 06-27 05:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -14 $-2 11¢ $-1 +$1 06-30 11:27
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +11 $1 12¢ $1 +$1 06-25 22:35
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? OpenAI +14 $2 $1 $-1 06-13 02:33
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -311 $-11 $-1 +$10 06-20 01:59