Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
open
Total volume
$643
$28 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,499
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-20 17:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $28 | $51 | $23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $17 | $141 | $124 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $6 | $7 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $37 | $31 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $29 | $19 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $6 | $169 | $163 |
| Median | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 6 | $6 | $44 | $39 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +116 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-18 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | +60 | $50 | $229 | 8 | 06-19 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +35 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-20 17:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +27 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 06-17 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-29 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-18 09:01 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 00:59 |
| Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-19 05:42 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 05:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 04:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $3 | 3 | 06-16 01:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 17:43:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x8440f5… |
| 06-20 17:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x8440f5… |
| 06-19 05:58:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xbf11b1… |
| 06-19 05:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xbf11b1… |
| 06-19 05:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xbf11b1… |
| 06-19 05:42:53 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 27¢ | $21 | 0x62b8f1… |
| 06-19 05:42:53 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x62b8f1… |
| 06-19 05:42:53 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 87 | 73¢ | $63 | 0x62b8f1… |
| 06-19 05:42:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x2facde… |
| 06-19 05:42:43 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x2facde… |
| 06-18 15:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xa7ee76… |
| 06-18 15:54:55 | Physical-Taxpayer 0x091a…db09 | No | SELL | 48 | 72¢ | $34 | 0xa7ee76… |
| 06-18 15:54:55 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 28¢ | $11 | 0xa7ee76… |
| 06-18 09:01:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xabddac… |
| 06-18 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xabddac… |
| 06-18 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 37 | 79¢ | $29 | 0xabddac… |
| 06-18 08:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf4bbac… |
| 06-18 08:05:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 21¢ | $18 | 0xf4bbac… |
| 06-18 08:05:34 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 89 | 79¢ | $70 | 0xf4bbac… |
| 06-18 08:02:53 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x0766c9… |
| 06-18 08:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x0766c9… |
| 06-17 08:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xd0e2…2ad9 | No | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x5dbbf2… |
| 06-17 08:48:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x5dbbf2… |
| 06-17 00:59:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 78¢ | $13 | 0x5607e5… |
| 06-17 00:59:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 35 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x5607e5… |
| 06-17 00:59:14 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x5607e5… |
| 06-16 01:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x28a1ae… |
| 06-16 01:23:21 | Pointed-Cymbal 0xb7eb…87b5 | No | SELL | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x28a1ae… |
| 06-15 19:41:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xed3d6e… |
| 06-15 19:41:12 | Pointed-Cymbal 0xb7eb…87b5 | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xed3d6e… |
| 06-10 00:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7a4ecc… |
| 06-10 00:55:09 | Sinful-Disruption 0xe8ce…2232 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7a4ecc… |
| 06-07 19:43:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xab7849… |
| 06-07 19:43:22 | (anonymous) 0x525f…b707 | No | SELL | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0xab7849… |
| 06-07 19:43:22 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xab7849… |
| 06-05 06:08:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x405956… |
| 06-05 06:08:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x405956… |
| 06-05 06:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xa0b48c… |
| 06-05 06:07:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa0b48c… |
| 06-04 04:15:43 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xedd7db… |
| 06-04 04:15:43 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 35¢ | $28 | 0xedd7db… |
| 06-04 04:15:43 | Unaware-Ounce 0x8e8c…6657 | No | SELL | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xedd7db… |
| 06-04 04:15:43 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xedd7db… |
| 06-03 07:16:02 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x55c53e… |
| 06-03 07:16:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x55c53e… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x50f366… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x50f366… |
| 05-30 21:57:33 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xff50ea… |
| 05-30 21:57:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $18 | 0xff50ea… |
| 05-30 19:55:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x8362f4… |
| 05-30 19:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x8362f4… |
| 05-30 04:56:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $11 | 0x9483ab… |
| 05-30 04:56:52 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x9483ab… |
| 05-29 22:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x5e9d75… |
| 05-29 22:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x5e9d75… |
| 05-29 22:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x512cf0… |
| 05-29 22:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 26 | 71¢ | $19 | 0x512cf0… |
| 05-29 22:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x512cf0… |
| 05-29 22:37:16 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x512cf0… |