Realized P&L
-$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
18,899
lifetime
Volume
$6.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$329
Open exposure
$29.7K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 52% $-8,103
Other
8% 100% +$2
Politics
2% 0% $-2,670
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -3,882 $-3,838 99¢ $-3828 +$10 07-10 10:09
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5,000 $2,550 55¢ $2.7K +$175 06-20 01:58
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -3,001 $-2,701 89¢ $-2671 +$30 06-12 11:21
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2,619 $-2,514 97¢ $-2528 $-14 07-04 09:41
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +4,500 $2,703 55¢ $2.5K $-228 07-03 00:25
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -3,000 $-2,270 80¢ $-2415 $-145 07-17 11:36
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3,476 $2,501 65¢ $2.3K $-242 06-26 00:53
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5,998 $1,831 30¢ $1.8K $-61 06-27 13:29
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,823 $1,534 89¢ $1.6K +$87 06-26 20:08
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,512 $-1,455 97¢ $-1470 $-16 07-04 21:31
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2,000 $1,300 72¢ $1.4K +$150 05-29 17:09
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,530 $-1,331 87¢ $-1331 +$0 06-30 17:35
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +799 $645 81¢ $647 +$2 07-19 15:26
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +2,528 $471 23¢ $581 +$111 07-03 00:20
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $713 49¢ $536 $-177 06-30 03:18
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +478 $397 85¢ $406 +$10 06-05 05:58
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,530 $-398 18¢ $-268 +$130 06-01 12:03
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -344 $-285 76¢ $-260 +$26 07-04 21:31
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +257 $232 93¢ $239 +$7 06-10 00:04
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,067 $117 15¢ $155 +$38 07-17 22:05
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +795 $-1 $26 +$27 07-02 05:38
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No -20 $-17 82¢ $-16 +$0 07-21 20:37
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-27 22:02