Realized P&L
-$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
18,811
lifetime
Volume
$6.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$329
Open exposure
$17.3K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 52% $-8,103
Other
8% 100% +$2
Politics
2% 0% $-2,670
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -3,001 $-2,701 90¢ $-2686 +$15 06-12 11:21
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5,000 $2,550 52¢ $2.6K +$75 06-20 01:58
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3,476 $2,501 72¢ $2.5K $-16 06-26 00:53
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +3,500 $2,103 60¢ $2.1K $-21 06-26 00:55
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5,998 $1,831 32¢ $1.9K +$119 06-27 13:29
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,823 $1,534 86¢ $1.6K +$26 06-26 20:08
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2,000 $1,300 70¢ $1.4K +$100 05-29 17:09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-740 74¢ $-745 $-5 06-30 02:02
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +723 $584 82¢ $593 +$9 06-26 07:24
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +478 $397 84¢ $399 +$2 06-05 05:58
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,530 $-398 22¢ $-329 +$69 06-01 12:03
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +257 $232 91¢ $235 +$2 06-10 00:04
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +528 $111 24¢ $127 +$16 06-18 07:05
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +122 $13 14¢ $17 +$4 06-27 15:49
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +406 $12 $15 +$3 06-15 02:01
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 $-0 06-27 22:02