Realized P&L
+$71.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.92K
Hit rate
87.9%
Resolved
469
Trades
19,470
lifetime
Volume
$6.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$325
Open exposure
$76.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Crypto
90%
62%
+$24,741
Other
8%
56%
+$55,944
Politics
2%
45%
-$10,759
Tech
0%
100%
+$1,144
Sports
0%
83%
+$483
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk
• peak 31 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -15,000 | -$13,142 | 86¢ | $-12975 | +$167 | 10-24 06:12 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +16,135 | $11,943 | 74¢ | $11.9K | -$84 | 10-26 09:56 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -14,479 | -$10,524 | 68¢ | $-9918 | +$606 | 08-21 21:34 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +22,096 | $13,390 | 42¢ | $9.4K | -$3,999 | 10-27 14:18 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +26,103 | $14,490 | 28¢ | $7.2K | -$7,312 | 10-26 03:26 | |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -6,687 | -$6,164 | 94¢ | $-6286 | -$121 | 10-26 15:41 | |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +4,332 | $3,595 | 86¢ | $3.7K | +$148 | 09-02 15:49 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | -3,000 | -$2,270 | 95¢ | $-2851 | -$581 | 07-17 11:36 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +18,342 | $7,184 | 13¢ | $2.4K | -$4,799 | 10-28 09:13 | |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -1,638 | -$1,523 | 95¢ | $-1563 | -$40 | 05-24 17:44 | |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,433 | $1,226 | 97¢ | $1.4K | +$169 | 08-12 11:14 | |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +1,196 | $967 | 98¢ | $1.2K | +$209 | 07-19 15:26 | |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -1,000 | -$780 | 98¢ | $-982 | -$202 | 10-06 19:39 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | -1,020 | -$949 | 89¢ | $-908 | +$41 | 08-18 19:55 | |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +897 | $810 | 99¢ | $891 | +$81 | 06-10 00:04 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -2,027 | -$1,715 | 34¢ | $-685 | +$1,030 | 05-09 06:45 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -693 | -$656 | 76¢ | $-523 | +$133 | 05-09 06:45 | |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | +431 | $237 | 99¢ | $425 | +$188 | 08-19 15:57 | |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +5,775 | $1,713 | 6¢ | $364 | -$1,349 | 10-26 07:34 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | -3,188 | -$1,038 | 8¢ | $-271 | +$767 | 10-28 00:36 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -9,889 | -$2,664 | 2¢ | $-198 | +$2,467 | 10-27 13:11 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -2,164 | -$878 | 4¢ | $-97 | +$781 | 10-27 23:32 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -430 | -$335 | 18¢ | $-77 | +$258 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | -3,074 | $205 | 2¢ | $-77 | -$282 | 10-27 18:03 | |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -1,000 | -$73 | 5¢ | $-51 | +$22 | 08-09 22:02 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -5,793 | -$1,448 | 1¢ | $-35 | +$1,414 | 06-01 12:03 | |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | -1,019 | -$120 | 2¢ | $-16 | +$104 | 08-20 12:35 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | -1,781 | -$178 | 0¢ | $-7 | +$171 | 05-01 07:46 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | -1,717 | -$99 | 0¢ | $-6 | +$93 | 05-06 08:05 | |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +3 | $2 | 94¢ | $3 | +$1 | 10-27 12:29 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026 | 1,460 | $720.3K | 366,170 | 380,258 | -14,087 | No | +$2,713 | 01-31 15:20 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 588 | $420.6K | 213,907 | 210,787 | +3,120 | No | +$367 | 03-01 02:13 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 207 | $233.8K | 131,072 | 104,428 | +26,643 | No | +$393 | 03-01 01:38 |
| will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298 | 369 | $215.1K | 100,713 | 115,798 | -15,086 | No | +$240 | 02-28 06:37 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026 | 270 | $214.1K | 128,612 | 90,803 | +37,809 | No | +$974 | 04-01 06:02 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026 | 516 | $181.3K | 96,121 | 89,092 | +7,030 | No | +$514 | 03-31 10:27 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 218 | $179.7K | 98,485 | 81,963 | +16,522 | No | +$139 | 02-23 13:30 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026 | 339 | $169.8K | 92,470 | 78,088 | +14,382 | No | +$151 | 02-22 14:55 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026 | 344 | $169.7K | 91,630 | 80,161 | +11,469 | No | +$392 | 03-31 00:36 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026 | 320 | $161.7K | 81,181 | 82,124 | -942 | No | +$251 | 03-30 05:23 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026 | 332 | $147.9K | 77,104 | 72,330 | +4,774 | No | +$134 | 03-25 07:43 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222 | 309 | $139.2K | 71,312 | 69,096 | +2,216 | No | +$109 | 02-26 04:58 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026 | 208 | $132.0K | 71,872 | 63,522 | +8,350 | No | +$2,215 | 01-28 19:01 |
| will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026 | 328 | $131.4K | 67,124 | 65,408 | +1,716 | No | +$154 | 03-25 10:49 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026 | 337 | $122.0K | 65,150 | 60,364 | +4,786 | No | +$487 | 03-27 05:08 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 327 | $116.0K | 58,204 | 66,176 | -7,971 | No | +$304 | 03-28 12:26 |
| will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738 | 161 | $104.8K | 59,245 | 46,627 | +12,619 | No | +$186 | 02-22 09:40 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793 | 114 | $103.9K | 55,301 | 50,376 | +4,925 | No | +$310 | 02-23 13:02 |
| will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026 | 179 | $97.3K | 48,904 | 48,790 | +114 | No | +$79 | 02-19 00:04 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988 | 124 | $83.0K | 47,721 | 35,823 | +11,898 | No | +$133 | 02-28 14:26 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694 | 97 | $81.8K | 42,206 | 42,434 | -228 | No | -$113 | 02-28 14:09 |
| will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026 | 210 | $79.4K | 40,056 | 39,661 | +394 | No | +$75 | 03-13 11:48 |
| will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026 | 138 | $70.4K | 39,002 | 31,738 | +7,265 | No | +$68 | 02-12 03:46 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 186 | $69.7K | 38,950 | 35,374 | +3,576 | No | -$1,330 | 02-26 18:11 |
| will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026 | 44 | $69.1K | 34,763 | 34,763 | +0 | No | +$7 | 02-10 12:33 |
| over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942 | 83 | $68.4K | 37,859 | 35,850 | +2,010 | Yes | +$241 | 01-06 13:21 |
| will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026 | 104 | $63.1K | 31,632 | 31,632 | +0 | No | $0 | 03-07 11:17 |
| will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026 | 268 | $60.3K | 26,713 | 34,093 | -7,380 | No | -$21 | 03-11 07:39 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026 | 101 | $60.2K | 29,551 | 31,474 | -1,923 | No | +$58 | 03-27 04:12 |
| will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026 | 35 | $51.0K | 25,583 | 25,583 | +0 | No | +$0 | 01-24 02:06 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||