Realized P&L
-$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$887
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
18,833
lifetime
Volume
$6.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$329
Open exposure
$22.6K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 11:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 52% $-8,103
Other
8% 100% +$2
Politics
2% 0% $-2,670
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5,000 $2,550 54¢ $2.7K +$125 06-20 01:58
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -3,001 $-2,701 88¢ $-2641 +$60 06-12 11:21
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3,476 $2,501 73¢ $2.5K +$36 06-26 00:53
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +3,696 $2,221 60¢ $2.2K +$15 06-30 22:23
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5,998 $1,831 34¢ $2.1K +$238 06-27 13:29
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,823 $1,534 88¢ $1.6K +$62 06-26 20:08
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -2,005 $-1,494 76¢ $-1513 $-20 07-01 12:55
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2,000 $1,300 70¢ $1.4K +$110 05-29 17:09
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,530 $-1,331 88¢ $-1346 $-15 06-30 17:35
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,000 $-960 96¢ $-955 +$5 07-01 09:38
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -952 $-935 98¢ $-933 +$2 07-01 09:37
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $713 75¢ $822 +$109 06-30 03:18
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +723 $584 82¢ $593 +$9 06-26 07:24
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +478 $397 82¢ $392 $-5 06-05 05:58
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,530 $-398 21¢ $-321 +$77 06-01 12:03
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +257 $232 91¢ $235 +$3 06-10 00:04
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +528 $111 24¢ $124 +$13 06-18 07:05
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2,044 $70 $124 +$54 06-30 12:30
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -41 $-39 93¢ $-38 +$1 06-30 03:40
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +122 $13 16¢ $20 +$7 06-27 15:49
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 +$0 06-27 22:02