Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$5,375
$52 in 24h
Trades
71
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$25,163
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 15:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $3.7K | $58 | +$3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $37 | — | +$37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $859 | $212 | +$648 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $59 | $59 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| Median | 3 | $110 | — | +$110 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $100 | $8 | +$92 |
| unranked | 28 | $4.3K | $212 | +$4.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fruitful-Layout 0x0af5…2470 | Yes | +3,674 | $3,455 | $3,455 | 3 | 06-03 06:31 |
| Grimy-Selfconfidence 0xdae9…3be1 | No | +2,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x56b7…3b66 | No | +1,200 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-02 21:25 |
| Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | +1,140 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 06-04 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd17…42c6 | Yes | +110 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-03 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bb3…9542 | Yes | +109 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 06-03 19:49 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | +109 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-02 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c9…c109 | Yes | +108 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 06-03 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x58d6…825a | Yes | +105 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 06-15 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c31…a0c5 | Yes | +105 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 06-13 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3abf…91dc | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 10:10 |
| Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | +91 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 06-02 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd122…11e0 | Yes | +74 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-03 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c1f…20c8 | Yes | +60 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-03 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3b3…d547 | Yes | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xffe5…a5a3 | No | +37 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 15:21 |
| Smart-Tuxedo 0xb665…4994 | No | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 14:04 |
| Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-03 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0b2…8696 | Yes | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-15 13:54 |
| Agile-Toughguy 0xaf3e…b896 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-30 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-04 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x31c4…4aff | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd18a…f800 | Yes | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 18:15 |
| Lovely-Gang 0xf072…a089 | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0450…b08a | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-31 15:18 |
| Damaged-Blister 0x776d…1f81 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-31 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-08 03:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xf7e663… |
| 06-18 15:21:05 | (anonymous) 0xffe5…a5a3 | No | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xf7e663… |
| 06-18 15:21:05 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf7e663… |
| 06-15 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xd0b2…8696 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x59b838… |
| 06-15 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x59b838… |
| 06-15 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x58d6…825a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x59b838… |
| 06-13 14:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x9c31…a0c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8c3824… |
| 06-13 14:08:12 | Horrible-Hiccups 0x087b…713e | Yes | SELL | 104 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x8c3824… |
| 06-13 14:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x58d6…825a | Yes | BUY | 99 | 97¢ | $96 | 0x8c3824… |
| 06-11 10:10:45 | (anonymous) 0x3abf…91dc | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x815a55… |
| 06-11 10:10:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c31…a0c5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x815a55… |
| 06-08 03:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2fcfab… |
| 06-08 03:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xf6c1…c084 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x2fcfab… |
| 06-05 15:18:46 | Lovely-Gang 0xf072…a089 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xf6b6ae… |
| 06-05 15:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf6b6ae… |
| 06-04 13:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xf6c1…c084 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xfdfde1… |
| 06-04 13:58:31 | Horrible-Hiccups 0x087b…713e | Yes | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xfdfde1… |
| 06-04 00:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xf6c1…c084 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 94¢ | $102 | 0x24d2f4… |
| 06-04 00:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x24d2f4… |
| 06-04 00:16:18 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | BUY | 359 | 6¢ | $22 | 0x24d2f4… |
| 06-04 00:16:18 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 246 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x24d2f4… |
| 06-03 21:25:01 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | BUY | 128 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xec6f54… |
| 06-03 21:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x9c1f…20c8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0xec6f54… |
| 06-03 21:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xd3b3…d547 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xec6f54… |
| 06-03 21:25:01 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xec6f54… |
| 06-03 21:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xec6f54… |
| 06-03 19:49:48 | (anonymous) 0xbd17…42c6 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 97¢ | $107 | 0x76a81d… |
| 06-03 19:49:48 | (anonymous) 0x3bb3…9542 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 97¢ | $106 | 0x76a81d… |
| 06-03 19:49:48 | (anonymous) 0x10c9…c109 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 97¢ | $105 | 0x76a81d… |
| 06-03 19:49:48 | (anonymous) 0xd122…11e0 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 97¢ | $72 | 0x76a81d… |
| 06-03 19:49:48 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | BUY | 401 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x76a81d… |
| 06-03 19:49:42 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | BUY | 251 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x6a4cd7… |
| 06-03 19:49:42 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x6a4cd7… |
| 06-03 19:49:42 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 151 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x6a4cd7… |
| 06-03 14:04:58 | Smart-Tuxedo 0xb665…4994 | No | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9ee60e… |
| 06-03 14:04:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9ee60e… |
| 06-03 14:04:58 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9ee60e… |
| 06-03 06:31:17 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 223 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x5368e0… |
| 06-03 06:31:17 | Snoopy-Sensitivity 0x093d…637a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5368e0… |
| 06-03 06:31:17 | Fruitful-Layout 0x0af5…2470 | Yes | BUY | 2,332 | 95¢ | $2,215 | 0x5368e0… |
| 06-03 06:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x7544…38a2 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 95¢ | $85 | 0x5368e0… |
| 06-03 06:31:17 | Grimy-Selfconfidence 0xdae9…3be1 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x5368e0… |
| 06-02 21:25:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x0c049b… |
| 06-02 21:25:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0c049b… |
| 06-02 21:25:40 | Fruitful-Layout 0x0af5…2470 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x0c049b… |
| 06-02 21:25:10 | Improbable-Cormorant 0xb807…99cb | Yes | SELL | 151 | 94¢ | $142 | 0x0eafb2… |
| 06-02 21:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x31c4…4aff | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0eafb2… |
| 06-02 21:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x56b7…3b66 | No | BUY | 1,021 | 8¢ | $82 | 0x0eafb2… |
| 06-02 21:25:10 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x0eafb2… |
| 06-02 21:25:10 | Fruitful-Layout 0x0af5…2470 | Yes | BUY | 1,282 | 92¢ | $1,183 | 0x0eafb2… |
| 06-02 21:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x56b7…3b66 | No | BUY | 109 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x52a33a… |
| 06-02 21:17:49 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 92¢ | $100 | 0x52a33a… |
| 06-02 08:00:03 | Insidious-Meridian 0x59d4…b745 | No | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x056fa6… |
| 06-02 08:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x56b7…3b66 | No | BUY | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x056fa6… |
| 06-02 08:00:03 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x056fa6… |
| 06-01 12:24:56 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd27878… |
| 06-01 12:24:56 | Unhappy-Appearance 0xd3f7…4984 | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd27878… |
| 06-01 01:59:11 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xbbc370… |
| 06-01 01:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x59c3…882f | No | SELL | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xbbc370… |
| 05-31 18:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xd18a…f800 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xb0354c… |
| 05-31 18:15:38 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb0354c… |
| 05-31 18:04:26 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x67cdbd… |
| 05-31 18:04:26 | Damaged-Blister 0x776d…1f81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x67cdbd… |
| 05-31 15:18:39 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe71760… |
| 05-31 15:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x0450…b08a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xe71760… |
| 05-30 16:10:35 | agod 0xdf0e…f761 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe7578a… |
| 05-30 16:10:35 | Agile-Toughguy 0xaf3e…b896 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe7578a… |
| 05-29 17:46:16 | Husky-Stole 0x4217…fcce | Yes | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x9827b0… |
| 05-29 17:46:16 | Agile-Toughguy 0xaf3e…b896 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x9827b0… |
| 05-29 17:33:00 | Husky-Stole 0x4217…fcce | Yes | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x6be8b1… |
| 05-29 17:33:00 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | No | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6be8b1… |