Realized P&L
-$108
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
68
Trades
206
lifetime
Volume
$6.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$630
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-11 17:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 78% +$59
Sports
22% 29% -$143
Other
10% 60% -$24
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +375 $305 95¢ $354 +$49 11-11 17:02
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +263 $168 36¢ $93 -$75 06-15 00:06
Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +56 $50 88¢ $49 -$1 10-23 18:05
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $48 69¢ $41 -$7 10-23 07:44
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch Yes +82 $58 43¢ $35 -$22 06-04 00:04
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +78 $27 26¢ $20 -$7 06-04 00:04
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +14 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 06-01 14:02
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-02 00:07
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$6 99¢ $-7 -$1 05-18 14:19
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 55¢ $3 -$1 10-23 01:08
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +45 $20 4¢ $2 -$19 06-12 01:45
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 19¢ $2 -$2 05-26 23:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 05-19 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-20 00:13