Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$3,087
$257,724 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,762,911
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $72 | $824 | $752 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 24 | $72 | $824 | $752 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-Effective 0xf748…c387 | Yes | +6,248 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 19:52 |
| Well-Worn-Cross 0xe639…b900 | Yes | +2,500 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 02:15 |
| Sugary-Neighbor 0xbdd6…30eb | No | +276 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 05-04 20:05 |
| Glistening-Pilgrim 0x7a10…a128 | No | +129 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-05 03:20 |
| Tall-Fear 0xee8a…0bff | No | +88 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-05 13:26 |
| Mixed-Injustice 0x7930…45e4 | No | +87 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-05 17:29 |
| Handy-Dig 0x7544…aa31 | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-05 12:50 |
| Unique-Kindness 0x07de…5a16 | No | +82 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-05 01:40 |
| Deserted-Textbook 0x752e…2482 | No | +75 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-05 11:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:00:08 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa30458… |
| 05-05 20:14:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x25eb86… |
| 05-05 20:01:38 | Free-Cashier 0x4213…b8ca | Yes | SELL | 33,333 | 1¢ | $233 | 0x5b472b… |
| 05-05 19:52:50 | Half-Effective 0xf748…c387 | Yes | BUY | 6,248 | 1¢ | $50 | 0x7eb627… |
| 05-05 19:44:56 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x9376ef… |
| 05-05 18:38:04 | Enraged-Boolean 0x643d…d307 | No | SELL | 84 | 99¢ | $83 | 0xe87590… |
| 05-05 18:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69d363… |
| 05-05 17:29:48 | Mixed-Injustice 0x7930…45e4 | No | BUY | 87 | 99¢ | $87 | 0x32600e… |
| 05-05 17:22:48 | (anonymous) 0xa317…cf4e | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab1ebd… |
| 05-05 17:22:42 | (anonymous) 0xa317…cf4e | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x54722a… |
| 05-05 17:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb99…401a | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x70b284… |
| 05-05 17:14:48 | (anonymous) 0xbb99…401a | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf7f2db… |
| 05-05 16:34:26 | Coarse-Optimisation 0x0b12…3483 | No | SELL | 235 | 99¢ | $233 | 0x550d31… |
| 05-05 13:26:56 | Tall-Fear 0xee8a…0bff | No | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xe1be5d… |
| 05-05 12:50:30 | Handy-Dig 0x7544…aa31 | No | BUY | 84 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x66466e… |
| 05-05 11:55:30 | Deserted-Textbook 0x752e…2482 | No | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x0d0eda… |
| 05-05 10:20:24 | Cloudy-Castle 0xaa6d…71a0 | No | SELL | 87 | 99¢ | $86 | 0x3d955f… |
| 05-05 07:55:16 | Spanish-Banking 0xef60…d6c2 | Yes | SELL | 2,500 | 1¢ | $17 | 0x3d3289… |
| 05-05 07:41:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6ebbd0… |
| 05-05 06:25:34 | Unfit-Pathway 0x6f82…bc1b | No | SELL | 1,039 | 99¢ | $1,031 | 0x8f3a8f… |
| 05-05 05:30:10 | Afraid-Ballet 0x401f…79bf | No | SELL | 84 | 99¢ | $83 | 0xe6b185… |
| 05-05 05:04:56 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2dc80b… |
| 05-05 05:00:10 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x9b68d1… |
| 05-05 04:35:00 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0840f3… |
| 05-05 03:20:38 | Glistening-Pilgrim 0x7a10…a128 | No | BUY | 129 | 99¢ | $128 | 0x392438… |
| 05-05 03:00:18 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x255858… |
| 05-05 02:45:02 | Trivial-Boxer 0x47cd…9a96 | No | SELL | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xe83b59… |
| 05-05 02:15:08 | Well-Worn-Cross 0xe639…b900 | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xb7e467… |
| 05-05 01:40:14 | Unique-Kindness 0x07de…5a16 | No | BUY | 82 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xed5760… |
| 05-04 22:19:38 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x026339… |
| 05-04 22:04:52 | Grandiose-Shrimp 0x24a5…5d07 | Yes | SELL | 11,111 | 1¢ | $78 | 0xe3b61a… |
| 05-04 21:14:32 | Jagged-Punch 0x38a5…ca1a | No | SELL | 247 | 99¢ | $245 | 0x9a3450… |
| 05-04 20:05:36 | Sugary-Neighbor 0xbdd6…30eb | No | BUY | 276 | 99¢ | $274 | 0xfe31bc… |