Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$25,903
$568 in 24h
Trades
271
Unique wallets
84
Liquidity
$15,871
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 17:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.5¢
(top1%: 83% YES on $911
vs crowd: 45% YES on $16.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $86 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $2.9K | $2.9K | +$38 |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $2.8K | $2.3K | +$536 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $1.8K | $2.6K | $786 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $754 | $158 | +$596 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $330 | $325 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $74 | $1 | +$73 |
| Median | 7 | $703 | $17 | +$685 |
| Below median | 10 | $191 | $1.2K | $985 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $462 | $512 | $50 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $463 | $13 | +$450 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| unranked | 39 | $5.0K | $4.9K | +$109 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | +5,351 | $2,051 | $2,051 | 7 | 06-16 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | No | +2,176 | $1,335 | $1,335 | 5 | 06-16 17:09 |
| hose 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | +1,985 | $754 | $754 | 10 | 06-07 11:29 |
| Hilarious-Lot 0x99f6…37fc | No | +1,856 | $1,099 | $1,099 | 10 | 06-04 18:09 |
| Weak-Path 0xebc0…5aaf | Yes | +1,694 | $644 | $644 | 1 | 05-29 15:36 |
| Fruitful-Layout 0x0af5…2470 | Yes | +1,427 | $564 | $564 | 3 | 06-02 21:24 |
| Whispered-Lead 0x6fbb…a41a | Yes | +1,233 | $454 | $454 | 9 | 06-01 21:52 |
| Slow-Profit 0x10ba…10b8 | No | +1,215 | $742 | $1,463 | 5 | 06-13 06:40 |
| Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | +1,189 | $759 | $811 | 4 | 06-02 21:07 |
| Sharp-Permit 0xbcbd…ef5e | Yes | +930 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 06-03 04:16 |
| Whispered-Lead 0x6fbb…a41a | No | +718 | $416 | $416 | 3 | 06-03 04:16 |
| Another-Pass 0xa659…1eaa | No | +635 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-05 19:29 |
| Unsteady-Rice 0x22d3…c969 | No | +501 | $305 | $305 | 2 | 06-03 04:34 |
| Dull-Tandem 0x12c8…8cf5 | Yes | +420 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 06-02 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b84…9ba4 | Yes | +400 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-05 10:22 |
| Substantial-Bore 0x4e53…6ba9 | Yes | +398 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-02 16:20 |
| Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | +367 | $151 | $277 | 3 | 06-08 22:50 |
| Oddball-Casement 0x4656…93af | Yes | +259 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-09 14:45 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +200 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 06-03 19:50 |
| Thirsty-Contrary 0xe49e…de35 | Yes | +169 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 06-16 10:17 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | Yes | +164 | $56 | $160 | 5 | 06-08 17:43 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +118 | $69 | $171 | 5 | 06-14 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9187…abb5 | No | +100 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-29 15:36 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | +100 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 06-02 23:26 |
| Burly-Perfume 0x6cc7…fe1c | No | +100 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 06-02 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | +90 | $39 | $1,704 | 16 | 06-16 10:17 |
| Impractical-Surname 0x6d29…414d | No | +83 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 08:30 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +61 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 06-02 21:24 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +53 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-06 05:25 |
| Internal-Blogger 0x2ae5…a2a0 | Yes | +50 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-05 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ccd…df8d | Yes | +42 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 06-12 15:20 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 23:32 |
| Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-09 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 23:26 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +17 | $5 | $144 | 12 | 06-16 10:17 |
| Knobby-Neck 0x2bea…5522 | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-31 05:12 |
| Smart-Tuxedo 0xb665…4994 | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-15 00:06 |
| Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe650…591e | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 17:08 |
| Sweet-Wait 0xffb1…f54e | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x020d…118b | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-02 21:24 |
| Questionable-Landform 0xd761…12de | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xadd0…875f | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 18:14 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 05:12 |
| Aromatic-Grand 0xda47…e15d | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 05:25 |
| Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:53 |
| Required-Eaves 0x9fb9…6a07 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 15:49 |
| Frosty-Rethinking 0xc15d…f980 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4b1…d99f | No | +2 | $-6 | $844 | 19 | 06-13 06:19 |
| Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 05:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 17:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x0298e1… |
| 06-16 17:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | No | BUY | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x0298e1… |
| 06-16 17:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 26 | 42¢ | $11 | 0x2b4c3d… |
| 06-16 17:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | No | BUY | 26 | 58¢ | $15 | 0x2b4c3d… |
| 06-16 10:17:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 42¢ | $16 | 0x1b4177… |
| 06-16 10:17:07 | Powerless-Listing 0xce53…834b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x1b4177… |
| 06-16 10:17:07 | Thirsty-Contrary 0xe49e…de35 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 42¢ | $20 | 0x1b4177… |
| 06-16 10:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x1b4177… |
| 06-15 18:24:04 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | No | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x003fdb… |
| 06-15 18:24:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x003fdb… |
| 06-15 17:23:04 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x4d3863… |
| 06-15 17:23:04 | Powerless-Listing 0xce53…834b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x4d3863… |
| 06-15 00:06:27 | Smart-Tuxedo 0xb665…4994 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x4080e1… |
| 06-15 00:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xf434…384d | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x4080e1… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 82 | 62¢ | $51 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 39¢ | $18 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | Celebrated-Spectrum 0x34b0…d620 | No | SELL | 325 | 63¢ | $205 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | SELL | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xf434…384d | No | SELL | 476 | 64¢ | $304 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 21:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x8824…30ba | Yes | SELL | 1,428 | 37¢ | $530 | 0x71e79d… |
| 06-14 20:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | No | BUY | 73 | 59¢ | $43 | 0x1b2bf1… |
| 06-14 20:06:25 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 73 | 41¢ | $30 | 0x1b2bf1… |
| 06-14 20:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 218 | 40¢ | $87 | 0xf5fa8b… |
| 06-14 20:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xf5fa8b… |
| 06-14 20:06:06 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 118 | 60¢ | $70 | 0xf5fa8b… |
| 06-13 06:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x3ce971… |
| 06-13 06:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x3ce971… |
| 06-13 06:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | SELL | 192 | 62¢ | $119 | 0x3ce971… |
| 06-13 06:40:36 | Slow-Profit 0x10ba…10b8 | No | BUY | 392 | 62¢ | $243 | 0x3ce971… |
| 06-13 06:19:37 | Slow-Profit 0x10ba…10b8 | No | BUY | 564 | 62¢ | $350 | 0x48ea2c… |
| 06-13 06:19:37 | (anonymous) 0xb4b1…d99f | No | SELL | 84 | 62¢ | $52 | 0x48ea2c… |
| 06-13 06:19:37 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x48ea2c… |
| 06-13 06:19:37 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x48ea2c… |
| 06-13 06:19:37 | (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | SELL | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0x48ea2c… |
| 06-13 03:23:51 | United-Configuration 0x9ddd…53eb | Yes | SELL | 120 | 38¢ | $46 | 0xd3b853… |
| 06-13 03:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xb4b1…d99f | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0xd3b853… |
| 06-13 03:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | SELL | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xd3b853… |
| 06-13 02:19:24 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x9ef343… |
| 06-13 02:19:24 | United-Configuration 0x9ddd…53eb | Yes | BUY | 60 | 40¢ | $24 | 0x9ef343… |
| 06-13 02:18:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 39¢ | $23 | 0xaea4e6… |
| 06-13 02:18:37 | United-Configuration 0x9ddd…53eb | Yes | BUY | 60 | 39¢ | $23 | 0xaea4e6… |
| 06-12 15:20:06 | Frosty-Rethinking 0xc15d…f980 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x2c1f54… |
| 06-12 15:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x4ccd…df8d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x2c1f54… |
| 06-10 06:57:57 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x394106… |
| 06-10 06:57:57 | Expensive-Anklet 0xd584…2187 | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x394106… |
| 06-10 03:10:00 | Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x3ccb3b… |
| 06-10 03:10:00 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 12 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x3ccb3b… |
| 06-09 22:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 39¢ | $39 | 0x82bb9a… |
| 06-09 22:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x82bb9a… |
| 06-09 22:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x2df3af… |
| 06-09 22:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xb4b1…d99f | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x2df3af… |
| 06-09 22:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xf538…55b8 | Yes | SELL | 598 | 39¢ | $233 | 0x2df3af… |
| 06-09 22:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 898 | 39¢ | $350 | 0x2df3af… |
| 06-09 22:31:51 | Brisk-Intellect 0x2e35…7447 | Yes | SELL | 2,870 | 38¢ | $1,091 | 0x952142… |
| 06-09 22:31:51 | (anonymous) 0xd03a…b7b9 | No | BUY | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0x952142… |
| 06-09 22:31:51 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | BUY | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x952142… |
| 06-09 22:31:51 | (anonymous) 0xba2d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 4,025 | 38¢ | $1,529 | 0x952142… |
| 06-09 22:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x952142… |
| 06-09 14:45:03 | Slow-Profit 0x10ba…10b8 | No | BUY | 259 | 63¢ | $163 | 0x01d155… |
| 06-09 14:45:03 | Oddball-Casement 0x4656…93af | Yes | BUY | 259 | 37¢ | $96 | 0x01d155… |
| 06-09 06:40:06 | (anonymous) 0xf434…384d | No | SELL | 781 | 64¢ | $500 | 0xc26c93… |
| 06-09 06:40:06 | Stingy-Faucet 0x2a99…a499 | No | BUY | 781 | 64¢ | $500 | 0xc26c93… |
| 06-09 04:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x2862fb… |
| 06-09 04:27:27 | Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x2862fb… |
| 06-08 22:50:37 | Celebrated-Spectrum 0x34b0…d620 | No | BUY | 285 | 62¢ | $177 | 0x8b29c8… |
| 06-08 22:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x8b29c8… |
| 06-08 22:50:37 | Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 38¢ | $114 | 0x8b29c8… |
| 06-08 21:53:10 | Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xae1c62… |
| 06-08 21:53:10 | Celebrated-Spectrum 0x34b0…d620 | No | BUY | 4 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xae1c62… |
| 06-08 17:43:52 | (anonymous) 0x4ccd…df8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xbb36a1… |
| 06-08 17:43:52 | Loyal-Archrival 0x383b…f075 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xbb36a1… |
| 06-08 17:43:52 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xbb36a1… |
| 06-08 08:39:21 | Celebrated-Spectrum 0x34b0…d620 | No | BUY | 26 | 62¢ | $16 | 0xb29652… |
| 06-08 08:39:21 | Thirsty-Contrary 0xe49e…de35 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 38¢ | $10 | 0xb29652… |
| 06-07 14:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x4ccd…df8d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xa16e3b… |
| 06-07 14:29:01 | Celebrated-Spectrum 0x34b0…d620 | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xa16e3b… |
| 06-07 11:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xf538…55b8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x6089d1… |
| 06-07 11:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x4ccd…df8d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x6089d1… |
| 06-07 11:29:00 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | SELL | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x08e2b2… |
| 06-07 11:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xae8d…ef7a | No | SELL | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x08e2b2… |
| 06-07 11:29:00 | hose 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 37¢ | $54 | 0x08e2b2… |
| 06-07 11:29:00 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 35¢ | $54 | 0x08e2b2… |
| 06-07 11:29:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 36¢ | $252 | 0x08e2b2… |
| 06-06 15:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xaf54b1… |
| 06-06 15:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xadd0…875f | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xaf54b1… |
| 06-06 14:16:10 | Questionable-Landform 0xd761…12de | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x524976… |
| 06-06 14:16:10 | hose 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x524976… |
| 06-06 05:25:39 | Aromatic-Grand 0xda47…e15d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x5c3ab2… |
| 06-06 05:25:39 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x5c3ab2… |
| 06-06 03:51:48 | hose 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 37¢ | $16 | 0xa4d54f… |
| 06-06 03:51:48 | Idle-Kindness 0xcef6…353f | Yes | SELL | 44 | 37¢ | $16 | 0xa4d54f… |
| 06-06 03:13:13 | hose 0xcc29…7774 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 37¢ | $20 | 0xb0bdc8… |
| 06-06 03:13:13 | Idle-Kindness 0xcef6…353f | Yes | SELL | 54 | 37¢ | $20 | 0xb0bdc8… |
| 06-06 01:12:52 | Expensive-Anklet 0xd584…2187 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x5692d5… |
| 06-06 01:12:52 | Slow-Profit 0x10ba…10b8 | No | SELL | 588 | 61¢ | $360 | 0x5692d5… |
| 06-06 01:12:52 | (anonymous) 0x9b09…fa67 | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x5692d5… |
| 06-06 01:12:52 | Clear-Balloon 0xb512…aba5 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 38¢ | $66 | 0x5692d5… |
| 06-06 01:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xb4b1…d99f | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x5692d5… |