Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

893

lifetime

Volume

$701.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$786

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-08 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

38% 0% $-300

Politics

27% 100% +$7,113

Other

22% — —

Crypto

14% 0% $-164

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	143	$217.4K	137,633	137,632	+0	open	—	07-04 08:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	100	$87.6K	54,524	42,080	+12,444	open	—	07-27 00:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	46	$44.4K	64,176	43,940	+20,236	Yes	+$7,113	05-02 23:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	41	$42.2K	30,000	20,000	+10,000	open	—	01-13 18:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	22	$40.2K	9,003	34,106	-25,103	open	—	06-29 02:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	61	$36.6K	38,630	32,617	+6,014	open	—	05-11 02:35
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$21.1K	28,500	0	+28,500	open	—	04-06 13:17
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	16	$20.1K	26,731	0	+26,731	open	—	03-09 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	73	$18.1K	35,227	25,226	+10,001	open	—	05-30 09:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	17	$17.9K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	05-18 02:14
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	38	$14.0K	20,223	0	+20,223	open	—	08-07 18:29
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	20	$12.0K	3,153	9,703	-6,551	open	—	08-08 12:35
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	18	$9.9K	10,563	0	+10,563	open	—	01-06 00:18
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	21	$7.4K	39,106	0	+39,106	open	—	04-04 22:41
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	27	$6.7K	9,448	0	+9,448	open	—	04-06 13:21
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$6.5K	5,906	5,906	+0	open	—	07-07 13:05
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	14	$6.5K	7,983	0	+7,983	open	—	01-07 04:30
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	8	$6.4K	7,244	0	+7,244	open	—	02-03 14:02
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	5	$6.2K	0	6,247	-6,247	open	—	06-22 21:54
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	6	$5.5K	6,180	0	+6,180	open	—	01-07 04:23
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	13	$5.1K	5,146	1,287	+3,860	open	—	03-17 03:09
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	9	$5.1K	6,308	0	+6,308	open	—	02-04 05:24
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	3	$4.6K	5,439	333	+5,106	open	—	07-23 02:59
will sam darnold win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$4.3K	9,773	0	+9,773	open	—	02-08 20:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$4.3K	4,338	4,338	-0	open	—	06-01 12:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	5	$3.9K	55	4,500	-4,445	open	—	06-07 08:19
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$3.6K	4,008	0	+4,008	open	—	03-05 10:34
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$3.5K	3,760	0	+3,760	open	—	01-08 06:33
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$3.3K	0	6,000	-6,000	open	—	03-21 03:03
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	9	$3.2K	2,091	2,091	+0	open	—	04-07 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 12:35:49	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0xede34c…
08-07 18:29:13	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0xbad1ad…
08-06 11:28:11	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xec6278…
08-05 09:33:33	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x0b28b3…
08-02 18:19:29	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0x88e184…
08-02 05:33:21	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	318	72¢	$229	0x812b90…
08-01 01:27:44	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	357	72¢	$257	0x1a5106…
07-31 08:38:06	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x7ebd15…
07-30 21:04:20	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	292	72¢	$210	0xa543a1…
07-30 20:51:23	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xcb9633…
07-30 20:51:17	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xff6e77…
07-30 20:50:51	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa2db2c…
07-30 20:50:11	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa50bb7…
07-30 20:50:09	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa43cd3…
07-30 20:50:09	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x64c6d3…
07-30 20:50:09	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2fbcc6…
07-30 03:33:48	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	72¢	$42	0x26cd69…
07-29 20:58:23	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	347	73¢	$253	0x3fa3d1…
07-29 20:16:02	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xaeed70…
07-29 17:19:06	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	393	73¢	$287	0x46debc…
07-27 16:05:15	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,751	91¢	$1,595	0x108095…
07-27 00:08:06	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,506	12¢	$185	0xf799ba…
07-27 00:05:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	91¢	$3,640	0x53c8fe…
07-23 02:59:04	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	333	87¢	$290	0x35593e…
07-22 23:24:28	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	347	72¢	$250	0xe7130b…
07-20 16:23:06	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	973	71¢	$691	0x12a480…
07-20 15:36:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xe07d01…
07-20 15:23:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2cd10f…
07-20 14:22:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc43fd9…
07-20 14:15:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x05aa42…
07-20 14:12:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x665164…
07-20 13:31:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xf52cf1…
07-20 13:31:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xc94560…
07-20 13:31:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9992ce…
07-20 13:31:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x253ffa…
07-20 13:31:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x224907…
07-20 13:31:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xa58517…
07-20 13:31:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x7e1775…
07-20 13:31:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x7ab3c3…
07-20 13:31:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6d7338…
07-20 13:31:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x1916c2…
07-20 13:31:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,516	91¢	$1,380	0x16b911…
07-20 13:20:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd1c7ce…
07-20 13:16:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x382506…
07-20 13:02:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x223b4b…
07-20 12:54:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	91¢	$127	0xe43157…
07-20 12:29:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	91¢	$197	0xc24fe7…
07-20 12:20:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x43f7bc…
07-20 12:06:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc95702…
07-20 11:30:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x5fed6a…
07-20 11:19:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa1620a…
07-20 11:10:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xcad54a…
07-20 10:58:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1ccce0…
07-20 10:50:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x526bf3…
07-20 10:46:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xe56273…
07-20 10:26:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x60f715…
07-20 10:19:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x522831…
07-20 09:47:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x5e86a7…
07-20 09:45:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x4e5eb8…
07-20 09:21:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,992	91¢	$1,813	0x1a7c98…
07-20 09:18:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0975d8…
07-20 09:16:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1727c6…
07-20 09:09:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x3d83ba…
07-20 08:38:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x290f3f…
07-20 08:22:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x3a552c…
07-20 08:05:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x2c3b14…
07-20 07:31:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xbd5415…
07-20 07:25:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xb31683…
07-20 07:20:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x9b74cd…
07-20 07:17:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2e2fbe…
07-20 07:11:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xd02016…
07-20 06:55:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x914ccc…
07-20 06:17:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6e5b37…
07-20 05:36:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$99	0x6c0765…
07-20 05:32:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x68e5a0…
07-20 05:31:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e50c9…
07-20 04:52:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xefcf3a…
07-20 04:39:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0xbfe371…
07-20 04:16:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb3ff48…
07-20 03:58:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0xf4a765…
07-20 03:16:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x21a07a…
07-20 03:12:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9a4f14…
07-20 03:05:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,047	91¢	$2,772	0xb9d098…
07-20 02:59:30	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x08aad3…
07-20 01:29:45	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xcad193…
07-19 15:26:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	2,200	3¢	$57	0xe0001c…
07-19 14:30:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	91¢	$2,275	0x977909…
07-19 14:30:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$21	0x484223…
07-19 14:11:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	4,000	3¢	$104	0xc9eee1…
07-19 14:08:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0x09b065…
07-16 05:23:29	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	4,813	80¢	$3,850	0x13f7e8…
07-16 05:22:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x4662a8…
07-16 05:22:01	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	626	80¢	$500	0xf887b5…
07-14 03:52:22	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,703	93¢	$2,519	0x20fa91…
07-14 03:49:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x2f11ba…
07-12 05:32:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	91¢	$2,275	0x1f5b9b…
07-12 05:30:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	91¢	$2,275	0xcdd73a…
07-12 01:42:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	321	28¢	$90	0x4d21d1…
07-10 03:30:52	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,137	44¢	$500	0xc563cf…
07-10 03:30:05	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0xc0a38b…