Realized P&L
+$6.65K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.26K
Hit rate
99.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
624
lifetime
Volume
$532.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$853
Open exposure
$66.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Sports
30% 0% $-300
Politics
28% 100% +$7,113
Other
27%
Crypto
16% 0% $-164
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -25,103 $-23,538 94¢ $-23509 +$30 06-29 02:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +22,420 $20,202 86¢ $19.3K $-921 06-28 22:59
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +11,589 $7,828 66¢ $7.6K $-180 06-30 04:03
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No -6,247 $-6,201 100¢ $-6240 $-40 06-22 21:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4,445 $-3,779 90¢ $-3978 $-199 06-07 08:19
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +3,153 $2,898 92¢ $2.9K +$18 06-05 15:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -10,300 $-927 10¢ $-978 $-51 06-16 13:53
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +1,985 $754 40¢ $784 +$30 06-07 11:29
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? No -500 $-495 100¢ $-499 $-4 06-25 04:26
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $342 89¢ $355 +$13 06-03 02:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,032 $258 30¢ $304 +$46 06-09 06:39