Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$559

Unrealized P&L

-$216

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$754

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 10-26 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

46% 27% -$737

Crypto

45% 38% +$223

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% 67% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,576	$600	34¢	$544	-$56	10-25 14:27
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+823	$270	14¢	$115	-$154	10-23 16:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+358	$100	26¢	$95	-$5	10-26 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$2.6K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	08-22 00:37
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$2.0K	1,122	1,122	+0	Argentina	+$185	07-12 03:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	8	$1.9K	1,716	1,716	+0	No	-$48	07-12 02:48
bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	11	$1.4K	1,889	1,185	+704	Down	+$216	06-25 15:30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$1.4K	2,716	1,141	+1,576	open	—	10-25 14:27
ethereum up or down on june 26 2026	16	$1.2K	1,534	1,534	+0	Up	+$83	06-26 16:13
bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	5	$965	885	885	+0	Up	+$165	06-26 04:28
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$955	3,337	2,514	+823	open	—	10-23 16:34
ethereum up or down on june 24 2026	7	$585	1,728	400	+1,328	Down	-$135	06-24 15:50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$580	612	612	+0	open	—	08-05 17:33
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	5	$463	1,777	409	+1,367	Down	-$37	06-24 14:33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	4	$357	536	196	+340	No	-$143	06-25 20:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$275	889	889	+0	open	—	08-06 13:10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	4	$219	166	166	+0	Yes	-$1	07-03 21:01
ethereum up or down on june 25 2026	5	$215	10,855	182	+10,673	Down	-$45	06-25 15:31
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$213	154	154	+0	Yes	+$93	06-23 01:46
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$205	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$5	06-24 13:57
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$200	333	0	+333	Switzerland	-$200	07-05 13:34
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$200	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 05:11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	3	$187	208	208	+0	No	-$13	06-25 23:33
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	3	$178	200	200	+0	No	-$22	06-26 03:46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$162	172	172	+0	Yes	-$38	06-29 18:33
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$158	94	94	+0	Argentina	+$31	07-04 00:57
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	4	$158	123	123	+0	Yes	-$2	06-23 23:20
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$156	119	119	+0	Spain	-$4	07-06 19:01
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$150	16,667	16,667	+0	No	-$50	06-26 03:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$144	127	127	+0	Yes	+$41	10-20 20:45
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$144	125	125	+0	Yes	+$4	06-24 22:29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	4	$135	117	117	+0	Yes	-$5	06-23 23:21
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$134	116	116	+0	Brazil	+$34	06-29 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:01:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	358	28¢	$100	0x1a8b83…
10-25 14:27:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,141	33¢	$377	0xb44522…
10-25 02:25:50	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	885	34¢	$301	0x2ac687…
10-23 16:34:26	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	823	23¢	$187	0xd7d3da…
10-20 20:59:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	253	36¢	$91	0xb5b810…
10-20 20:45:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	127	73¢	$92	0x25d5d6…
10-20 18:55:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0x7dc8a0…
10-13 20:20:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,579	37¢	$584	0x13193c…
08-22 00:38:27	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,287	13¢	$297	0xdd697d…
08-22 00:37:46	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,250	48¢	$1,083	0x859488…
08-13 21:07:49	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x1923e6…
08-12 03:29:37	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	876	43¢	$377	0x3cde3a…
08-10 21:55:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,125	17¢	$191	0x6fa7de…
08-10 21:48:06	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,346	43¢	$577	0x5ca229…
08-10 01:13:49	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,162	16¢	$184	0xf3e300…
08-06 13:10:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	889	15¢	$133	0x391497…
08-05 17:33:23	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	227	20¢	$45	0xad2953…
08-05 17:33:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	612	46¢	$280	0x6700b6…
08-05 17:33:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	42¢	$125	0x129fa0…
08-05 16:02:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	889	16¢	$142	0xae6754…
08-05 16:01:29	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	353	43¢	$152	0x595b23…
08-01 23:55:36	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	653	44¢	$286	0xad3332…
08-01 23:51:14	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xc63282…
08-01 23:50:32	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xa30b04…
07-19 14:25:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	236	41¢	$97	0xc37149…
07-12 03:37:35	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	1,122	98¢	$1,094	0xd9aa66…
07-12 02:49:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,122	81¢	$909	0x9cba40…
07-12 02:48:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	858	32¢	$275	0x116e69…
07-12 01:32:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	858	77¢	$661	0xc3014f…
07-12 00:23:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3f6d91…
07-12 00:20:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	847	57¢	$483	0x4b3702…
07-12 00:19:50	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	391	11¢	$43	0x8c20bd…
07-11 19:55:59	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	411	10¢	$41	0xf8920a…
07-11 16:13:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	179	58¢	$104	0x33d6e5…
07-11 14:13:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	109	36¢	$39	0x45a96b…
07-10 21:15:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	227	58¢	$132	0x96e39c…
07-10 21:10:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	108	58¢	$63	0xefc5c0…
07-10 21:03:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x92ba67…
07-10 20:44:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xab2f26…
07-09 13:44:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xe0fc89…
07-08 21:19:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x95158e…
07-07 17:49:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x9e4f10…
07-06 19:01:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x828bf8…
07-06 19:01:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	119	64¢	$76	0xe2a026…
07-06 19:00:29	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x52a390…
07-05 13:38:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x07d204…
07-05 13:35:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xc052de…
07-05 13:34:41	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc42e9c…
07-05 13:34:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa3171d…
07-05 13:34:04	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x9ad202…
07-05 13:33:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xb1eddd…
07-05 13:31:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x434e0d…
07-05 13:30:14	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0x5ff838…
07-05 13:29:10	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xc39e8f…
07-05 13:27:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xe13813…
07-04 17:58:43	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	91	33¢	$30	0x084d4b…
07-04 15:15:17	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x28bab6…
07-04 00:57:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x049009…
07-04 00:30:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	94	67¢	$63	0x7d95b2…
07-03 23:37:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9cd1a5…
07-03 23:37:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xac4345…
07-03 21:55:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	65	30¢	$19	0x9b3d40…
07-03 21:01:13	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	87	68¢	$59	0x30eec8…
07-03 16:09:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lautaro martinez gte2	Yes	BUY	182	17¢	$30	0xfa9cf4…
07-03 16:06:19	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xedba0a…
07-03 16:05:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xb1d5a5…
07-03 16:04:17	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0x8beb7d…
06-30 02:08:35	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0xef925b…
06-30 02:08:26	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xba8922…
06-30 02:08:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0xe8c1fc…
06-30 02:08:10	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xba535b…
06-30 02:07:40	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	89	13¢	$12	0xe6953e…
06-30 02:07:25	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x05a63f…
06-30 02:07:14	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	61	29¢	$18	0x574b3c…
06-30 02:07:02	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	55	56¢	$31	0x45d040…
06-30 02:06:52	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	104	45¢	$47	0xf50622…
06-30 02:06:41	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	167	23¢	$38	0x123c76…
06-30 02:06:25	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0xa4b11e…
06-30 02:06:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	161	20¢	$33	0x40bdaf…
06-30 02:05:52	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	116	34¢	$40	0x0469e8…
06-30 02:05:14	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0x830d5c…
06-29 22:20:53	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb54348…
06-29 21:27:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0x37b987…
06-29 19:22:07	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x36c1bc…
06-29 18:35:55	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	116	72¢	$84	0x7eab31…
06-29 18:34:43	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?	Yes	SELL	69	47¢	$33	0x0fed26…
06-29 18:33:50	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	172	36¢	$62	0x87d23e…
06-29 17:53:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x5ee865…
06-29 02:49:58	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0xdced50…
06-29 02:48:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd908f6…
06-29 02:40:44	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x46646d…
06-29 02:38:47	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xcab0f7…
06-29 02:37:59	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xc2a1bd…
06-29 02:36:25	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x140844…
06-29 02:33:37	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x42304b…
06-29 02:32:35	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa3932b…
06-29 02:31:41	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xfb87eb…
06-29 02:30:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc330dc…
06-29 02:29:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x68be4e…
06-29 02:27:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x56613b…