Substantial-Bore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

800

lifetime

Volume

$74.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-09 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 50% $-58

Other

34% 100% +$9

Sports

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	32	$9.2K	6,067	6,067	+0	open	—	04-30 10:55
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	8	$5.2K	2,939	2,939	+0	open	—	03-05 08:55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	22	$3.0K	1,987	1,987	+0	open	—	04-23 02:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	15	$2.8K	2,665	2,665	+0	open	—	04-30 11:08
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	5	$2.4K	1,242	1,242	+0	open	—	01-28 20:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	21	$2.4K	1,328	1,628	-300	open	—	04-24 07:00
over 1m committed to the cambria public sale	16	$1.8K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	03-04 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-24 17:23
will paradex launch a token on march 5	5	$1.6K	969	969	+0	open	—	03-05 18:14
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	2	$1.6K	810	810	+0	open	—	01-11 16:05
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	9	$1.5K	634	1,050	-416	open	—	01-24 20:34
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.4K	956	949	+7	Yes	$-88	04-24 14:05
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	15	$1.4K	1,924	1,742	+181	open	—	03-31 20:04
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	11	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-12 02:14
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	18	$1.3K	920	920	+0	open	—	03-20 19:52
will there be 20 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750576	2	$1.2K	666	666	+0	open	—	06-18 10:27
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-21 14:18
Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$933	433	533	-100	open	—	04-29 14:58
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$907	332	654	-321	open	—	01-09 01:22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$887	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 12:41
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$812	1,016	613	+403	open	—	02-07 18:29
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	9	$807	650	650	+0	open	—	03-27 10:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	7	$769	437	437	+0	open	—	05-05 05:34
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$732	430	430	+0	open	—	02-03 18:20
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$728	200	600	-400	open	—	02-05 01:37
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$716	450	450	+0	open	—	03-08 17:36
Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$700	405	405	+0	open	—	01-23 13:05
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	5	$696	400	400	+0	open	—	01-10 16:02
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$681	802	802	+0	open	—	03-23 19:46
Immunefi FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$600	311	311	+0	open	—	01-23 13:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 16:44:54	standx fdv above 50m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x558bf7…
08-09 16:44:12	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	69	33¢	$23	0x9096a3…
08-05 18:49:39	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x2f61cc…
08-04 13:07:17	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xd23c09…
08-03 07:35:24	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	125	69¢	$86	0x1ecfd2…
08-03 07:20:00	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	209	91¢	$190	0x03b9cf…
07-30 05:16:39	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x02c68a…
07-25 02:40:18	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xfd6a65…
07-24 23:00:10	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x188985…
07-24 21:29:03	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x761d20…
07-24 21:07:22	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x4e3710…
07-24 21:05:43	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x92471a…
07-24 21:04:48	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x4d70d4…
07-24 21:00:51	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	89	91¢	$81	0xa9f21d…
07-18 22:18:16	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	142	71¢	$101	0xf2dd17…
07-18 07:58:31	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xdd85ce…
07-18 07:33:25	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	87	91¢	$79	0x5a3d3d…
07-09 14:01:29	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	101	64¢	$64	0x7d3690…
07-08 21:46:17	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x4516cc…
07-02 08:05:38	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x497fa8…
06-30 12:20:13	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0xcc9d6d…
06-29 18:58:19	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	174	17¢	$30	0xd07325…
06-25 01:45:23	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x634b8e…
06-18 10:27:01	will there be 20 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750576	No	SELL	666	96¢	$639	0x723b64…
06-12 16:48:21	will there be 20 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750576	No	BUY	666	81¢	$539	0xf34188…
06-12 16:22:36	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	Yes	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0xc1a043…
06-12 15:22:27	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	351	37¢	$129	0x028793…
06-12 14:27:42	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x2a5627…
06-12 14:27:34	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x5a505f…
06-11 19:32:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	666	73¢	$486	0xb0e100…
06-11 19:05:03	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0x637328…
06-11 19:04:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	184	39¢	$72	0x984267…
06-11 18:09:34	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xfbabb3…
06-10 20:12:06	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0xd4ea65…
06-10 20:10:22	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x302828…
06-10 19:11:07	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x9c57ad…
06-10 19:11:01	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x15b2a1…
06-10 19:09:22	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	333	49¢	$163	0x34b226…
06-02 16:20:56	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	398	35¢	$139	0xa219c5…
06-01 21:28:43	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	156	63¢	$98	0x27fab9…
05-30 21:54:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	22¢	$33	0x926090…
05-27 16:27:57	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	222	16¢	$36	0xb46114…
05-27 15:15:32	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	111	17¢	$19	0xaf7b51…
05-27 14:49:20	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	111	24¢	$27	0x41d7fb…
05-25 14:16:34	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	116	92¢	$107	0x6a1792…
05-25 13:35:40	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	413	50¢	$207	0x57a6d0…
05-17 13:05:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$25	0xf19c17…
05-16 15:51:44	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xc16baa…
05-16 13:51:41	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x305845…
05-13 19:13:43	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xf4c24d…
05-06 02:15:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	242	69¢	$167	0x4ad0b6…
05-05 22:52:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	408	25¢	$102	0xa48ebd…
05-05 21:29:18	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0xb76b75…
05-05 05:34:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	437	84¢	$368	0x7cfbd9…
05-04 16:33:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc36d6f…
05-04 16:31:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	104	93¢	$97	0x76a5d9…
05-04 16:31:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4c3d08…
05-04 16:31:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0xcf8f4f…
05-04 16:31:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcc811a…
05-04 16:31:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	153	90¢	$138	0x56a232…
05-04 14:07:48	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	195	61¢	$119	0xb60df3…
05-04 13:58:40	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0xc1c41f…
05-04 13:58:22	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	129	56¢	$72	0xb42b11…
05-04 10:07:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x355762…
05-04 09:31:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xdae2cf…
05-04 08:28:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	119	68¢	$81	0xbc9f27…
05-04 08:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x3a475a…
05-04 07:50:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x6a6f21…
05-04 07:42:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	68¢	$23	0x89b27b…
05-02 23:05:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	444	67¢	$297	0x5f415f…
05-02 10:27:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x1fb0b1…
05-02 06:10:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0xb498b1…
05-02 05:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8e9430…
05-02 05:45:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x4abf1c…
05-01 17:40:40	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x0bc8fa…
05-01 15:33:00	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8b2c6a…
05-01 15:32:54	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	78	85¢	$66	0x66f589…
05-01 13:19:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xfab56a…
05-01 13:03:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	208	28¢	$58	0x248426…
05-01 12:41:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	92¢	$108	0x6b8a33…
05-01 12:35:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	92¢	$118	0x113a09…
05-01 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x4da8cb…
05-01 06:36:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd4680d…
05-01 06:11:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x24e4da…
05-01 05:36:26	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	72¢	$45	0x8817f7…
05-01 05:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	91¢	$150	0xb65de8…
05-01 04:40:32	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x34b521…
05-01 04:35:42	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x5f2889…
05-01 03:43:06	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb253e4…
05-01 03:36:50	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x29c8b6…
05-01 03:36:40	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9484e9…
05-01 03:36:32	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d542a…
05-01 03:36:22	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b8eb2…
05-01 03:36:12	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11a386…
05-01 03:36:04	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb9d3e…
05-01 03:35:56	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb1bb1…
05-01 03:35:48	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa155c0…
05-01 03:35:36	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54f1a5…
05-01 03:35:28	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x359d85…
05-01 03:35:20	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xacb0f5…