Gaseous-Bread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$420

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

122

Trades

851

lifetime

Volume

$342.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$403

Open exposure

$27.1K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-30 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

86% 99% -$3,772

Crypto

14% 100% +$809

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+18,568	$14,676	85¢	$15.8K	+$1,107	09-30 20:44
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+10,221	$9,256	93¢	$9.5K	+$250	08-09 14:17
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+3,770	$2,861	44¢	$1.7K	-$1,184	09-24 11:35
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+620	$763	28¢	$170	-$593	09-20 23:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	61	$14.7K	18,568	0	+18,568	open	—	09-30 20:44
italy nordio reform referendum passes	67	$13.0K	13,035	0	+13,035	No	+$74	03-23 17:14
sea juv pis 2026 03 07 juv	3	$11.6K	11,617	0	+11,617	Yes	+$25	03-07 21:16
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	13	$11.1K	11,579	0	+11,579	No	+$430	03-05 13:24
bun lei hof 2026 03 20 lei	10	$10.3K	10,333	0	+10,333	Yes	+$10	03-20 21:11
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	1	$10.0K	10,023	0	+10,023	No	+$10	03-17 21:45
fl1 rcl met 2026 03 08 rcl	13	$9.5K	9,552	0	+9,552	Yes	+$13	03-08 15:34
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	14	$9.3K	10,221	0	+10,221	open	—	08-09 14:17
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?	13	$8.3K	8,307	0	+8,307	No	+$23	05-21 18:13
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 mad	29	$8.2K	8,249	0	+8,249	No	+$54	03-22 22:58
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	11	$7.7K	7,727	0	+7,727	Yes	+$34	03-11 21:38
sea com pis 2026 03 22 com	27	$7.1K	7,134	0	+7,134	Yes	+$18	03-22 12:50
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	7	$7.0K	7,071	0	+7,071	No	+$71	05-23 19:48
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	14	$6.2K	6,249	0	+6,249	No	+$27	05-18 20:46
sea bol ver 2026 03 08 bol	6	$6.0K	5,966	0	+5,966	No	+$6	03-08 15:54
Will D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?	23	$5.7K	5,800	296	+5,504	Yes	-$5,726	05-24 01:44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	21	$5.6K	5,642	0	+5,642	No	+$63	05-19 20:22
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 bay	6	$5.5K	5,498	0	+5,498	Yes	+$11	03-21 15:50
sea udi juv 2026 03 14 juv	4	$5.2K	5,273	0	+5,273	Yes	+$73	03-14 21:14
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 ray	11	$5.2K	5,202	0	+5,202	No	+$25	03-22 14:53
sea tor par 2026 03 13 tor	7	$5.1K	5,180	0	+5,180	Yes	+$50	03-13 21:37
lal rso osa 2026 03 15 draw	5	$5.1K	5,120	0	+5,120	No	+$20	03-15 21:30
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	03-11 21:31
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?	8	$5.0K	4,987	0	+4,987	No	+$10	05-20 20:21
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$5.0K	7,540	3,770	+3,770	open	—	09-24 11:35
epl bou ars 2026 01 03 bou	1	$4.5K	4,534	0	+4,534	No	+$37	01-03 19:10
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 rso	7	$4.4K	4,413	0	+4,413	No	+$21	03-20 21:36
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 ata1	1	$4.4K	4,384	0	+4,384	No	+$4	03-18 21:17
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	20	$4.2K	6,299	6,299	+0	open	—	09-24 11:25
sea mil int 2026 03 08 int	11	$4.1K	4,090	0	+4,090	No	+$27	03-08 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 20:44:15	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0x107f69…
09-24 11:35:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,770	28¢	$1,056	0xfc2a8b…
09-24 11:25:30	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	770	8¢	$62	0x5ca7b2…
09-23 23:11:56	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xd8e619…
09-23 23:11:43	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0130d7…
09-23 23:11:31	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x837cf3…
09-22 14:26:55	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x5723cb…
09-22 11:19:42	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0c150f…
09-22 11:19:39	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	253	76¢	$192	0xb166e1…
09-21 13:19:20	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	919	76¢	$698	0x783306…
09-21 01:45:08	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	280	76¢	$212	0xe2cc72…
09-21 01:01:34	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,633	76¢	$1,241	0x5e2e86…
09-20 23:53:04	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	25¢	$19	0xcf90d0…
09-20 18:40:02	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xc1f2ad…
09-19 20:57:54	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	202	25¢	$51	0x7ae0a6…
09-19 20:57:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	613	25¢	$153	0xbcc522…
09-19 00:08:06	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x20af05…
09-18 23:22:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xa423fe…
09-18 21:26:22	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	184	39¢	$72	0x629596…
09-18 20:18:43	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	860	74¢	$636	0x0f6be5…
09-18 16:40:24	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0xbeee6b…
09-18 16:29:13	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x67454e…
09-18 16:28:52	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	409	13¢	$53	0xf49276…
09-18 16:03:48	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0xdfb663…
09-18 14:55:13	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,600	13¢	$208	0x89f479…
09-18 14:26:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x220e3e…
09-18 14:25:00	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0xe7c672…
09-18 10:19:25	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x762cd7…
09-18 09:14:04	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x365e23…
09-18 09:12:04	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8a033e…
09-18 09:11:49	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	75¢	$58	0xc354a6…
09-03 21:42:58	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	83¢	$43	0x7a6b1f…
09-02 00:18:31	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,896	85¢	$2,462	0x6c126a…
09-01 07:31:45	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x4defbf…
08-31 21:56:19	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	977	57¢	$557	0x6d4ba7…
08-31 18:15:31	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	323	57¢	$184	0x517743…
08-30 18:48:57	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,135	58¢	$1,238	0x6a5be2…
08-30 16:17:51	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	865	58¢	$502	0xc24f6c…
08-29 03:18:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	217	57¢	$124	0xf53a8e…
08-29 00:54:24	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x9d29b0…
08-28 08:39:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0xf7dc36…
08-27 20:54:19	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x13b384…
08-27 12:01:31	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x130f88…
08-26 16:35:55	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x98ded1…
08-26 03:08:07	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xebfe75…
08-25 18:56:22	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x82e6a5…
08-25 18:55:52	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	237	83¢	$197	0x09ec0f…
08-25 18:55:30	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x4db7ad…
08-25 18:55:24	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,500	20¢	$300	0x621fd5…
08-23 13:23:07	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	203	87¢	$176	0x1e06c0…
08-23 13:20:48	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	720	26¢	$187	0xd06fb6…
08-17 13:42:37	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xbe7be5…
08-16 07:07:55	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	132	67¢	$88	0x693742…
08-14 07:58:49	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x9f3218…
08-13 18:09:18	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	184	67¢	$123	0xb8bb38…
08-12 09:15:01	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	67¢	$61	0x5e6159…
08-11 22:11:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x8b9dad…
08-11 14:53:03	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2fae03…
08-10 22:12:30	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	244	83¢	$203	0xc4f6c8…
08-10 21:55:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	625	83¢	$519	0x6fa7de…
08-10 11:35:33	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0xdeef42…
08-10 01:13:49	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	951	84¢	$799	0xf3e300…
08-09 14:17:52	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	957	94¢	$900	0x76b3f8…
08-09 14:17:37	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x7fed72…
08-09 06:09:07	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x122ef4…
08-08 20:03:01	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	249	82¢	$204	0xf0452f…
08-07 21:37:55	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xffa327…
08-07 20:12:07	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	179	81¢	$145	0x24cf8a…
08-07 13:11:24	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xdd49b2…
08-06 19:51:12	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	650	80¢	$520	0x65ddeb…
08-06 19:50:36	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3,118	93¢	$2,900	0xa1a8ed…
08-01 13:20:41	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x6352d1…
08-01 07:30:59	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd97c10…
08-01 00:05:53	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x503b6f…
07-31 20:54:56	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x00b992…
07-31 19:15:51	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x851f3d…
07-31 14:07:15	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x250b10…
07-31 00:21:03	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	92	89¢	$82	0xe8e92c…
07-30 20:21:47	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	652	89¢	$580	0xb1fb8e…
07-21 01:40:25	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x905898…
07-20 21:05:36	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3767c7…
07-19 21:35:51	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	820	75¢	$615	0x259eaf…
07-19 15:36:45	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	75¢	$86	0x48c312…
07-19 14:45:19	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x55f1c1…
07-18 11:57:51	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	228	75¢	$172	0xe8783e…
07-18 11:57:42	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	245	74¢	$181	0x297e08…
07-17 04:20:40	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,389	79¢	$1,097	0x4272c9…
07-16 19:41:26	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x141338…
07-16 11:04:31	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x8c9f9e…
07-16 07:47:10	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x36fd4d…
07-15 23:21:25	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x9eb371…
07-15 17:29:47	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x32980a…
07-15 13:52:56	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x65e294…
07-15 13:52:43	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,022	89¢	$1,800	0xe1bc4e…
07-14 19:01:55	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x947eb4…
07-14 00:46:13	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4eee2b…
07-14 00:45:53	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0xf5e28a…
07-14 00:45:20	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,129	86¢	$971	0x204d64…
07-13 11:14:34	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	352	61¢	$215	0x949ea4…
07-13 11:07:38	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	74¢	$162	0x52c808…