Attached-Schedule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$541

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

27,701

lifetime

Volume

$732.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-10 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

52% 29% $-575

Politics

35% 40% +$34

Sports

5% 100% +$1

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	652	$19.1K	18,372	18,322	+50	open	—	03-29 14:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	118	$11.3K	11,338	11,338	+0	open	—	08-07 09:15
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	318	$9.5K	8,033	7,933	+100	open	—	03-29 15:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	63	$8.2K	7,300	7,300	+0	open	—	08-08 06:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	471	$8.1K	7,747	8,363	-616	open	—	06-14 08:48
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	135	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	07-12 04:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	100	$6.9K	5,600	5,600	+0	open	—	03-21 23:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	29	$6.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	08-06 22:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	92	$6.0K	3,850	3,925	-75	open	—	08-06 06:26
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	73	$5.8K	4,400	4,200	+200	open	—	08-02 13:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	35	$5.5K	4,516	3,731	+785	open	—	08-10 11:01
will the us invade iran by march 31	102	$5.5K	5,064	5,064	+0	open	—	03-29 00:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	224	$5.4K	3,737	3,962	-225	open	—	06-28 11:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	54	$5.1K	4,587	4,587	+0	open	—	03-19 16:13
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	148	$4.9K	5,069	5,029	+40	open	—	07-27 13:20
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	106	$4.8K	4,550	4,498	+52	open	—	08-07 12:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	38	$4.0K	3,935	3,798	+137	open	—	08-10 11:24
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	59	$3.8K	3,436	3,436	+0	open	—	03-23 15:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	204	$3.7K	2,650	2,580	+70	open	—	07-01 23:48
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	96	$3.7K	3,699	3,799	-100	open	—	03-24 19:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	111	$3.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	07-05 06:41
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	38	$3.6K	3,080	3,044	+37	open	—	07-29 19:47
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	110	$3.6K	4,893	4,893	+0	open	—	03-23 02:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	168	$3.6K	2,750	2,740	+10	open	—	05-12 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	125	$3.5K	3,220	3,181	+39	open	—	08-10 04:08
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	107	$3.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	07-28 11:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	304	$3.5K	4,900	4,981	-81	open	—	06-19 13:10
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	93	$3.5K	3,018	3,018	+0	open	—	03-29 15:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	43	$3.4K	2,461	2,461	+0	open	—	03-27 20:09
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	72	$3.4K	1,997	1,997	+0	open	—	03-16 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:24:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xcd6898…
08-10 11:23:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xc29845…
08-10 11:22:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xcd7e39…
08-10 11:17:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xf5c2b2…
08-10 11:01:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x79209e…
08-10 11:00:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0x75c047…
08-10 10:42:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$165	0xa092c3…
08-10 10:34:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0x8c9efe…
08-10 10:33:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$829	0x2d240c…
08-10 10:21:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xb1ad26…
08-10 10:19:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x1f7ab6…
08-10 10:16:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x0f74f2…
08-10 09:49:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	177	97¢	$172	0xc49943…
08-10 09:37:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xd6f0ea…
08-10 09:34:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x373080…
08-10 09:31:31	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x454f41…
08-10 09:30:57	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x777315…
08-10 08:52:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x95b770…
08-10 08:46:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x5c1657…
08-10 08:29:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x199a02…
08-10 08:26:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9470c1…
08-10 08:21:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0xd2d1c3…
08-10 08:09:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x89d262…
08-10 08:06:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x1e2e26…
08-10 07:54:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	156	83¢	$130	0xb78a03…
08-10 07:46:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x59eb0d…
08-10 07:44:34	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x51a5ca…
08-10 07:05:31	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xe581ac…
08-10 07:00:55	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xdd9833…
08-10 06:59:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x059416…
08-10 06:37:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$167	0xd9389a…
08-10 06:01:49	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0x632b87…
08-10 05:49:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x68a2b5…
08-10 05:37:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	160	3¢	$6	0xb69dc6…
08-10 05:14:42	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x72047e…
08-10 05:13:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd10928…
08-10 04:53:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x546ebd…
08-10 04:53:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xe0e449…
08-10 04:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	91	51¢	$46	0xf8812e…
08-10 03:59:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x78e6f1…
08-10 03:05:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xce2cab…
08-10 03:05:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xf3a3ff…
08-10 02:58:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x9e2e8f…
08-10 02:51:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x41f8c7…
08-10 02:51:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x568a69…
08-10 02:49:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x803ff0…
08-10 02:47:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x49574f…
08-10 02:42:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xadcaa8…
08-10 02:20:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	320	51¢	$163	0x1cd827…
08-10 02:09:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x91ebc7…
08-10 02:06:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	109	83¢	$91	0x0cc504…
08-10 02:05:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	91	83¢	$76	0xe09b13…
08-10 00:53:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xbc89d1…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbd4b1d…
08-10 00:37:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x86ce99…
08-10 00:35:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xd323b6…
08-10 00:09:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x7554d6…
08-10 00:06:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$831	0x976e06…
08-09 23:31:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xda2027…
08-09 23:20:49	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0x2135bc…
08-09 23:05:51	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x58547a…
08-09 23:03:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x16cff1…
08-09 23:02:01	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x62e603…
08-09 23:00:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xcb6cf0…
08-09 22:47:55	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xec6670…
08-09 22:30:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	555	71¢	$394	0x7999f5…
08-09 22:21:18	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7a830a…
08-09 22:12:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0xf9565a…
08-09 21:22:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb743b8…
08-09 21:14:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xf83099…
08-09 21:10:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x134d0d…
08-09 21:09:07	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xa24cc4…
08-09 21:03:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xdbfb23…
08-09 20:54:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x3b43be…
08-09 20:18:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x45f6fe…
08-09 20:13:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	81	31¢	$25	0xacaad3…
08-09 19:15:25	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdcb7f1…
08-09 18:48:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	922	30¢	$277	0x7c9e03…
08-09 18:22:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x05d9f5…
08-09 18:07:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x3d4908…
08-09 17:41:42	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0xcdabc3…
08-09 17:11:15	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x80c37d…
08-09 17:06:01	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x3e843b…
08-09 16:56:19	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x734612…
08-09 16:43:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x04fd32…
08-09 16:38:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	178	18¢	$32	0x95408b…
08-09 16:33:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xbd66c1…
08-09 16:29:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0xaba6e1…
08-09 16:18:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x8520dc…
08-09 16:13:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xe8b56c…
08-09 16:07:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x1bfc3b…
08-09 16:01:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0x7bf3b8…
08-09 15:59:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xbc7df7…
08-09 15:50:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xdc7d70…
08-09 15:45:15	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x1c6efc…
08-09 15:44:39	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x02bb3c…
08-09 15:34:52	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xa3cf88…
08-09 15:34:51	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x42a335…
08-09 15:31:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0xc27820…
08-09 15:28:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x4e47a3…