Realized P&L
-$541
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
47
Trades
25,420
lifetime
Volume
$586.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 07-21 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
50% 29% $-575
Politics
34% 40% +$34
Sports
6% 100% +$1
Tech
5%
Crypto
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +351 $369 94¢ $330 $-40 07-20 14:02
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +320 $297 91¢ $292 $-5 07-20 16:08
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +440 $311 56¢ $244 $-67 07-21 00:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +336 $226 66¢ $223 $-2 07-20 18:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +220 $193 90¢ $197 +$4 07-20 21:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +189 $190 93¢ $176 $-14 07-21 01:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -157 $-148 92¢ $-143 +$5 07-02 13:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +130 $111 72¢ $94 $-18 07-21 05:20
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -100 $-82 89¢ $-89 $-7 06-09 16:33
Ben Pasternak jailed? No -87 $-81 99¢ $-86 $-5 06-24 18:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +87 $78 95¢ $83 +$5 07-11 13:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $73 74¢ $74 +$2 06-26 15:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +75 $73 96¢ $72 $-0 06-18 19:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +169 $43 41¢ $69 +$26 07-21 05:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $67 +$2 06-20 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +147 $68 44¢ $65 $-2 07-20 11:47
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -63 $-34 60¢ $-37 $-3 06-18 09:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $32 36¢ $27 $-5 06-16 16:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +25 $21 88¢ $22 +$1 06-15 14:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +50 $80 42¢ $21 $-60 07-12 23:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +84 $14 12¢ $10 $-3 06-14 01:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -155 $-32 $-10 +$22 07-13 09:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +31 $41 30¢ $10 $-31 06-05 06:42
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes -108 $-16 $-9 +$6 06-16 10:29
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +18 $-10 40¢ $7 +$17 07-20 13:14
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +51 $11 10¢ $5 $-6 07-15 07:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +17 $17 24¢ $4 $-12 06-14 14:16
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -90 $-5 $-4 +$1 07-19 21:53
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -72 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-23 02:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +25 $2 $1 $-1 06-04 21:01