Realized P&L
-$541
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
47
Trades
22,181
lifetime
Volume
$486.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 06-30 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
50% 29% $-575
Politics
34% 40% +$34
Sports
5% 100% +$1
Crypto
5%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -225 $-213 100¢ $-225 $-12 06-16 01:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +345 $191 46¢ $157 $-34 06-30 19:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +152 $140 94¢ $142 +$2 06-30 10:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -157 $-140 86¢ $-135 +$4 06-30 08:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +101 $96 100¢ $101 +$5 06-15 07:49
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +158 $103 64¢ $100 $-3 06-30 10:02
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -100 $-82 89¢ $-89 $-7 06-09 16:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -88 $-89 100¢ $-88 +$1 06-17 08:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $73 86¢ $86 +$12 06-26 15:39
Ben Pasternak jailed? No -87 $-81 97¢ $-85 $-4 06-24 18:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -85 $-82 100¢ $-85 $-3 06-11 07:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +85 $64 100¢ $85 +$20 06-19 17:13
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +100 $74 77¢ $77 +$2 06-24 14:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +75 $73 96¢ $72 $-1 06-18 19:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +67 $63 100¢ $67 +$4 06-14 14:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +70 $65 95¢ $66 +$1 06-20 11:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +75 $62 88¢ $66 +$4 06-23 17:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +191 $122 31¢ $58 $-64 06-30 19:05
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -63 $-34 58¢ $-37 $-3 06-18 09:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $32 44¢ $33 +$1 06-16 16:25
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes -108 $-16 25¢ $-27 $-12 06-16 10:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +25 $23 100¢ $25 +$2 06-11 03:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +130 $15 16¢ $21 +$6 06-30 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +25 $21 84¢ $21 $-0 06-15 14:14
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 06-06 14:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +31 $41 44¢ $14 $-27 06-05 06:42
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -155 $-33 $-13 +$20 06-03 08:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +84 $14 12¢ $10 $-3 06-14 01:35
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +121 $9 $8 $-1 06-14 23:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +50 $9 $4 $-5 06-28 21:08