Attached-Schedule 0xfe4132…e19f23
whale cold 9L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$696
Hit rate
26.3%
Resolved
2,770
Trades
80,644
lifetime
Volume
$3.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$5.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 10-31 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 252 days
Categories
Other
52% 22% -$29,430
Politics
38% 28% -$14,705
Sports
4% 47% -$1,315
Tech
3% 25% -$3,116
Crypto
2% 45% -$490
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 844 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +1,000 $956 93¢ $932 -$24 10-31 01:14
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +800 $744 90¢ $716 -$28 10-04 04:26
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +598 $554 87¢ $518 -$36 10-31 02:11
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +587 $438 72¢ $420 -$18 10-30 15:25
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +800 $408 52¢ $412 +$4 10-30 22:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +273 $248 96¢ $263 +$15 10-30 21:51
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +214 $197 92¢ $197 +$1 10-31 00:34
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +463 $174 42¢ $192 +$18 10-30 22:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +215 $186 86¢ $185 -$1 10-28 16:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +189 $195 94¢ $179 -$17 10-30 22:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +185 $153 86¢ $158 +$5 10-30 23:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +426 $173 36¢ $155 -$17 10-30 18:35
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +585 $224 23¢ $134 -$90 10-30 23:12
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +305 $184 43¢ $131 -$53 10-30 09:28
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +604 $131 20¢ $122 -$9 10-31 01:54
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +100 $93 93¢ $93 +$0 10-30 19:12
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +104 $113 87¢ $91 -$23 10-31 00:25
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +250 $99 29¢ $72 -$27 10-30 22:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +62 $61 99¢ $62 +$1 10-30 15:27
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +64 $60 96¢ $61 +$1 10-31 00:24
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +457 $176 12¢ $57 -$119 10-31 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +321 $64 18¢ $56 -$7 10-30 11:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +657 $53 8¢ $54 +$1 10-30 23:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +75 $74 68¢ $52 -$22 10-28 20:47
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +170 $95 28¢ $47 -$48 10-30 18:44
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +72 $66 62¢ $45 -$21 10-30 23:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +50 $73 88¢ $44 -$29 10-30 18:32
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Yes +622 $61 7¢ $44 -$18 10-26 15:40
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $105 14¢ $43 -$62 10-31 01:12
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +52 $110 70¢ $37 -$73 10-30 16:38