Attached-Schedule 0xfe4132…e19f23
whale cold 9L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$874
Hit rate
26.3%
Resolved
2,770
Trades
80,443
lifetime
Volume
$3.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 10-30 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 252 days
Categories
Other
53% 22% -$29,430
Politics
38% 28% -$14,705
Sports
4% 47% -$1,315
Tech
3% 25% -$3,116
Crypto
2% 45% -$490
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 844 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +800 $744 90¢ $716 -$28 10-04 04:26
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,000 $510 50¢ $505 -$5 10-30 15:27
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +587 $438 72¢ $420 -$18 10-30 15:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +299 $294 86¢ $256 -$37 10-30 18:35
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +579 $222 42¢ $240 +$18 10-29 22:44
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +215 $186 86¢ $185 -$1 10-28 16:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +164 $156 96¢ $157 +$1 10-30 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +426 $173 36¢ $155 -$17 10-30 18:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +161 $156 91¢ $146 -$10 10-30 20:02
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +305 $184 44¢ $136 -$49 10-30 09:28
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $117 90¢ $98 -$19 10-30 18:51
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$2 10-30 19:12
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +255 $101 29¢ $74 -$27 10-30 19:05
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +86 $145 81¢ $70 -$75 10-30 10:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +62 $61 99¢ $62 +$1 10-30 15:27
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +321 $64 18¢ $56 -$7 10-30 11:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +75 $74 68¢ $52 -$22 10-28 20:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +90 $328 57¢ $51 -$277 10-30 19:37
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +170 $95 28¢ $47 -$48 10-30 18:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +50 $73 88¢ $44 -$29 10-30 18:32
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +800 $56 5¢ $44 -$13 10-27 21:56
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Yes +622 $61 7¢ $44 -$18 10-26 15:40
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +52 $110 72¢ $38 -$72 10-30 16:38
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +974 $48 4¢ $35 -$13 10-30 17:33
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +1,235 $93 3¢ $35 -$59 10-26 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +145 $28 24¢ $34 +$6 10-30 18:30
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +149 $100 20¢ $31 -$69 10-30 19:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +35 $44 86¢ $30 -$14 10-30 18:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -200 -$65 15¢ $-29 +$36 07-08 20:02
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +194 $39 15¢ $28 -$11 10-30 17:43