Fortunate-Document 0xa17325…f73315
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$18.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.47K
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,561
lifetime
Volume
$862.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$189
Open exposure
$27.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-24 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-18,855
Crypto
31% — —
Other
24% 0% $-55
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -8,888 $-8,524 96¢ $-8573 $-49 06-11 21:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 $-4,800 92¢ $-4575 +$225 07-03 18:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,500 $3,510 70¢ $3.1K $-382 07-16 00:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,915 97¢ $-1938 $-23 07-18 19:59
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2,171 $-1,979 76¢ $-1661 +$318 06-20 12:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,933 $-2,492 52¢ $-1511 +$981 06-13 17:19
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,949 $-760 67¢ $-1306 $-546 05-31 19:42
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -4,000 $-1,342 27¢ $-1080 +$262 07-01 15:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-998 89¢ $-888 +$110 07-24 05:47
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -2,403 $-1,507 33¢ $-793 +$714 07-12 14:42
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -820 $-738 80¢ $-652 +$87 07-23 09:33
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +500 $331 55¢ $275 $-56 07-11 17:40
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -250 $-198 77¢ $-192 +$5 07-02 17:29
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,025 $-682 12¢ $128 +$810 07-20 12:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -150 $-44 82¢ $-124 $-80 06-03 08:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -507 $-146 21¢ $-106 +$40 07-24 05:44
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -407 $-114 21¢ $-86 +$28 07-19 13:09
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -95 $-77 84¢ $-80 $-3 07-12 12:03
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -40 $-33 82¢ $-33 +$0 05-29 02:24
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -15 $-14 95¢ $-14 +$0 07-18 19:59
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -400 $-44 3¢ $-14 +$30 06-05 19:01