Realized P&L
-$18.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,286
lifetime
Volume
$760.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$18.7K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-13 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
41% 0% $-18,855
Crypto
34%
Other
24% 0% $-55
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -8,888 $-8,524 96¢ $-8542 $-18 06-11 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,933 $-2,492 84¢ $-2449 +$43 06-13 17:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2,000 $1,980 99¢ $2.0K +$3 06-13 21:38
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,975 $-962 50¢ $-977 $-15 06-06 22:26
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1,403 $-1,072 70¢ $-975 +$97 06-06 05:24
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2,703 $-901 33¢ $-892 +$9 06-03 19:51
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,949 $-760 44¢ $-857 $-97 05-31 19:42
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +1,189 $759 61¢ $725 $-33 06-02 21:07
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +500 $435 86¢ $432 $-2 06-11 13:54
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -271 $-230 86¢ $-231 $-1 06-06 13:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,750 $49 11¢ $191 +$142 06-14 02:08
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -181 $-148 80¢ $-144 +$5 06-06 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +556 $141 22¢ $125 $-16 06-01 09:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -150 $-44 51¢ $-76 $-33 06-03 08:56
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -400 $-44 16¢ $-66 $-22 06-05 19:01
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -40 $-33 82¢ $-33 +$0 05-29 02:24