Realized P&L
-$18.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.36K
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,488
lifetime
Volume
$838.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$187
Open exposure
$22.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-03 18:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-18,855
Crypto
32%
Other
24% 0% $-55
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -8,888 $-8,524 98¢ $-8688 $-164 06-11 21:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 $-4,800 90¢ $-4475 +$325 07-03 18:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,933 $-2,492 80¢ $-2361 +$131 06-13 17:19
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2,171 $-1,979 72¢ $-1574 +$405 06-20 12:37
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -4,000 $-1,342 31¢ $-1240 +$102 07-01 15:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,949 $-760 52¢ $-1004 $-244 05-31 19:42
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,000 $-947 96¢ $-955 $-8 06-22 00:12
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1,903 $-1,302 44¢ $-837 +$465 07-01 14:17
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -799 $-721 84¢ $-675 +$46 07-01 15:52
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +772 $500 56¢ $432 $-68 07-02 08:35
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -250 $-198 78¢ $-196 +$1 07-02 17:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -150 $-44 76¢ $-115 $-71 06-03 08:56
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -40 $-33 82¢ $-32 +$1 05-29 02:24
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -400 $-44 $-16 +$28 06-05 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3,844 $-901 $-10 +$892 06-17 21:48
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +25 $-512 15¢ $4 +$516 06-27 13:20