Fortunate-Document 0xa17325…f73315
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$18.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.99K
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
281
Trades
6,902
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$184
Open exposure
$30.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-22 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
41% 59% -$8,217
Crypto
24% 62% +$31,294
Other
20% 59% -$4,803
Sports
14% 65% +$1,444
Tech
0% 50% -$880
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5,956 -$1,830 90¢ $-5331 -$3,500 05-31 19:42
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,200 $4,495 86¢ $4.5K -$5 10-22 09:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -3,333 -$3,156 99¢ $-3288 -$132 07-18 19:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,250 $2,529 82¢ $2.6K +$119 09-10 16:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,018 $2,057 46¢ $2.3K +$236 10-21 18:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,800 $1,972 46¢ $2.2K +$212 10-21 19:14
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,853 -$933 93¢ $-1722 -$789 05-11 17:47
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,314 -$999 94¢ $-1228 -$229 05-21 14:35
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,325 $716 70¢ $921 +$205 10-05 19:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,022 -$785 86¢ $-876 -$91 06-26 05:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +700 $581 91¢ $635 +$54 10-01 18:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -600 -$450 96¢ $-578 -$128 08-10 20:57
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +700 $504 81¢ $567 +$63 10-08 06:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $510 50¢ $495 -$15 09-20 14:18
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,000 -$150 46¢ $-460 -$309 09-27 21:31
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -455 -$377 98¢ $-444 -$66 05-29 02:24
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -277 -$269 100¢ $-277 -$7 07-24 06:49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,400 $259 18¢ $259 +$0 10-11 10:08
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -4,000 -$402 6¢ $-252 +$150 05-27 09:40
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2,162 -$252 12¢ $-249 +$3 07-01 15:24
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +176 $126 95¢ $167 +$41 07-12 12:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,500 $207 4¢ $166 -$40 09-15 22:20
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No -150 -$98 85¢ $-128 -$30 05-04 21:40
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,230 -$250 8¢ $-93 +$157 07-31 01:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +96 $167 97¢ $93 -$74 08-20 02:48
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -816 -$224 9¢ $-73 +$151 07-19 13:09
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +46 $7 90¢ $41 +$34 07-31 08:21
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,976 -$15 1¢ $-16 -$1 10-06 19:28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +24 $14 55¢ $13 -$1 09-28 13:54
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 07-28 13:35