(anonymous) 0xb8e2ce…9cae8e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$89
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
86
lifetime
Volume
$17.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$3.56K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-19 00:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82% — —
Crypto
16% — —
Other
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -8,710 $-2,613 30¢ $-2656 $-44 07-18 19:49
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,767 $619 33¢ $583 $-36 07-19 00:43
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +583 $250 45¢ $263 +$13 07-19 00:46
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +321 $47 12¢ $37 $-10 07-19 00:45
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +328 $37 7¢ $24 $-13 07-19 00:44