(anonymous) 0x9de646…abe7f0 Create alert
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$229
Unrealized P&L
-$182
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
797
Trades
12,247
lifetime
Volume
$115.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-06 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
59% 76% -$177
Politics
16% 83% -$42
Sports
9% 100% +$0
Tech
8% 81% -$1
Crypto
7% 45% -$11
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +350 $285 76¢ $264 -$21 11-05 13:15
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? No +150 $120 78¢ $117 -$2 11-04 14:08
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +151 $116 74¢ $112 -$4 11-05 02:33
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +160 $122 54¢ $86 -$36 11-05 01:50
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? No +100 $84 84¢ $84 +$0 11-02 20:26
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027? No +90 $76 84¢ $76 -$1 11-05 14:56
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? No +101 $76 75¢ $76 $0 11-04 04:33
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? No +150 $82 47¢ $70 -$11 11-03 08:18
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +201 $79 34¢ $67 -$12 10-28 00:26
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? No +100 $64 66¢ $66 +$2 11-03 17:35
Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +64 $50 78¢ $50 +$0 11-05 06:15
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No +61 $47 76¢ $47 +$0 11-05 23:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? No +80 $53 52¢ $41 -$12 10-31 22:54
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +101 $48 38¢ $38 -$10 11-03 16:50
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +52 $39 68¢ $36 -$4 11-05 20:00
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +40 $33 87¢ $35 +$2 11-05 23:38
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +40 $37 85¢ $34 -$3 11-04 22:56
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +50 $36 68¢ $34 -$2 11-05 08:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-04 05:50
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? No +50 $38 65¢ $33 -$6 11-02 03:43
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $30 58¢ $29 -$1 11-05 14:23
Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? No +40 $30 66¢ $27 -$3 11-04 20:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +120 $44 20¢ $25 -$19 10-30 09:04
Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? No +40 $27 57¢ $23 -$4 11-03 17:58
Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? No +40 $22 56¢ $22 +$0 11-05 10:49
Next Israeli government a minority government? No +50 $38 44¢ $22 -$15 11-03 06:49
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +23 $18 81¢ $19 +$1 10-28 09:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +100 $30 18¢ $18 -$12 10-28 19:07
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 11-04 12:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +50 $22 30¢ $15 -$7 11-02 13:36