Realized P&L
-$5.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.2K
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved
285
Trades
190,330
lifetime
Volume
$1.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$108.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-28 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
38%
37%
-$3,066
Crypto
28%
31%
-$1,680
Sports
18%
46%
-$447
Politics
12%
50%
-$393
Tech
4%
80%
+$396
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 1278 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 2,909 | $21.7K | 33,746 | 10,757 | +22,989 | No | -$283 | 10-18 15:37 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 2,927 | $21.2K | 35,423 | 8,080 | +27,343 | open | — | 10-28 16:12 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 2,635 | $20.5K | 37,315 | 3,845 | +33,471 | No | -$2 | 09-18 15:35 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,078 | $18.2K | 29,325 | 9,795 | +19,530 | No | +$220 | 07-19 22:01 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,064 | $15.1K | 20,830 | 9,691 | +11,139 | No | -$98 | 07-14 20:52 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 967 | $14.8K | 21,755 | 7,761 | +13,994 | Yes | -$818 | 07-19 22:01 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 785 | $14.8K | 19,350 | 7,241 | +12,109 | No | +$583 | 07-15 20:52 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 3 | $13.6K | 7,452 | 7,452 | +0 | open | — | 05-12 23:38 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 2,229 | $13.3K | 21,541 | 5,872 | +15,669 | open | — | 10-28 21:11 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 1,798 | $13.3K | 13,460 | 12,956 | +504 | Yes | -$368 | 04-07 21:54 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 966 | $13.3K | 18,729 | 8,612 | +10,117 | No | -$7 | 07-06 20:58 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1,967 | $12.7K | 19,461 | 6,353 | +13,108 | open | — | 09-21 16:03 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1,915 | $12.6K | 21,002 | 4,340 | +16,662 | Yes | -$80 | 10-26 22:50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 764 | $12.4K | 24,657 | 0 | +24,657 | No | -$155 | 09-16 17:58 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 954 | $12.1K | 17,648 | 6,706 | +10,942 | Yes | -$1 | 10-18 18:11 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 3,170 | $11.9K | 12,832 | 12,148 | +684 | No | -$84 | 03-31 18:28 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | 1,807 | $11.8K | 20,908 | 2,152 | +18,756 | No | -$222 | 07-24 15:32 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 2,678 | $11.7K | 17,390 | 6,973 | +10,417 | open | — | 10-25 14:06 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 1,932 | $11.5K | 11,677 | 11,425 | +252 | Yes | +$219 | 04-07 21:48 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 1,289 | $11.4K | 19,243 | 3,593 | +15,650 | Yes | -$39 | 09-16 18:00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 724 | $11.3K | 22,723 | 0 | +22,723 | Yes | -$60 | 09-16 18:00 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 1,799 | $10.9K | 11,450 | 10,777 | +674 | Yes | -$577 | 04-08 01:13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1,367 | $10.8K | 16,046 | 5,041 | +11,005 | open | — | 09-21 16:02 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 1,712 | $10.8K | 19,013 | 2,023 | +16,990 | No | -$225 | 07-24 15:32 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 1,680 | $10.3K | 18,659 | 2,066 | +16,593 | No | +$127 | 07-24 15:32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1,442 | $10.2K | 15,864 | 4,818 | +11,046 | open | — | 09-21 16:04 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1,711 | $9.8K | 15,869 | 4,214 | +11,655 | No | -$35 | 10-26 22:50 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 2,024 | $9.8K | 10,490 | 10,422 | +68 | No | +$322 | 04-01 01:01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1,233 | $9.7K | 15,496 | 6,263 | +9,233 | open | — | 09-21 16:04 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 2,086 | $9.5K | 9,190 | 9,295 | -105 | Yes | +$121 | 06-30 17:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||