Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$174,163
$1,292 in 24h
Trades
2,421
Unique wallets
598
Liquidity
$39,688
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 15:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.6¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $2.7K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $94.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 32 | $192 | $30.3K | $30.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $1.4K | $35.2K | $33.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 178 | $1.4K | $18.0K | $16.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 335 | $1.2K | $7.1K | $5.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $618 | $2.1K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $694 | $6.9K | $6.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $80 | $4.8K | $4.7K |
| Median | 77 | $335 | $4.1K | $3.7K |
| Below median | 184 | $412 | $6.3K | $5.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $163 | $305 | $142 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $28 | $8.7K | $8.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $513 | $14.0K | $13.5K |
| unranked | 236 | $1.4K | $43.6K | $42.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +9,760 | $8,932 | $8,932 | 5 | 06-05 16:02 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +9,020 | $8,601 | $21,957 | 32 | 08-11 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +7,687 | $490 | $510 | 16 | 06-23 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | +7,276 | $293 | $293 | 6 | 08-04 04:51 |
| Excited-Bond 0x9ef9…2052 | Yes | +6,476 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 07-30 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +5,189 | $4,994 | $4,994 | 3 | 08-17 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +5,000 | $4,790 | $4,790 | 3 | 08-02 06:11 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +3,270 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-22 08:33 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +2,825 | $2,707 | $2,707 | 2 | 08-13 02:10 |
| Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | +2,286 | $2,058 | $2,058 | 16 | 06-05 09:28 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +2,086 | $1,973 | $1,973 | 5 | 08-10 10:40 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +2,055 | $140 | $140 | 35 | 08-16 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +2,044 | $1,870 | $1,870 | 5 | 06-05 09:43 |
| Fragrant-Toot 0xf89c…464d | No | +1,597 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 2 | 06-10 12:33 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,487 | $1,401 | $1,401 | 32 | 08-12 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +1,153 | $1,152 | $2,972 | 13 | 08-13 02:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,136 | $1,093 | $1,093 | 6 | 08-15 22:49 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +1,069 | $973 | $973 | 19 | 06-06 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | +1,039 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-24 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x770a…7d17 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-05 00:38 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-16 07:23 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,000 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 06-05 09:38 |
| Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 9 | 06-30 14:25 |
| Keen-Ranger 0x60ec…f09c | Yes | +993 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-18 12:52 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +827 | $29 | $245 | 42 | 06-21 21:39 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +773 | $34 | $435 | 103 | 07-07 17:46 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +746 | $714 | $714 | 2 | 08-13 02:10 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +725 | $671 | $671 | 3 | 07-22 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b88…86c4 | No | +700 | $658 | $658 | 10 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +678 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-28 20:32 |
| Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | +650 | $28 | $28 | 10 | 07-02 03:55 |
| Grand-Hunting 0xf128…b8d1 | Yes | +608 | $53 | $53 | 9 | 06-17 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x338a…2c3a | Yes | +559 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 15:26 |
| Common-Love 0x00ff…f7ad | No | +544 | $495 | $495 | 4 | 06-07 21:53 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +533 | $506 | $3,294 | 3 | 06-19 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f9…baeb | Yes | +505 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-28 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0bb…1d43 | Yes | +486 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-11 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +479 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 07-03 23:26 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +455 | $16 | $41 | 8 | 08-16 12:29 |
| Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | +454 | $-59 | $1,050 | 150 | 08-17 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3459…9000 | Yes | +445 | $28 | $28 | 6 | 06-10 22:08 |
| International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | +431 | $412 | $412 | 6 | 07-21 15:25 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +406 | $17 | $52 | 95 | 08-16 12:29 |
| Sturdy-Jodhpurs 0x4aa4…81ea | Yes | +403 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-07 22:39 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +400 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-14 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fa…1ee4 | Yes | +395 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 08-10 15:56 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +390 | $339 | $339 | 1 | 05-29 11:14 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +347 | $315 | $315 | 4 | 06-08 00:47 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +345 | $328 | $759 | 74 | 08-14 10:27 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +285 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 07-28 20:35 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +275 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 07-12 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | +260 | $250 | $250 | 2 | 08-14 08:56 |
| Partial-Plum 0xa00b…8450 | Yes | +256 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-15 16:20 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +251 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +238 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xce7c…67f1 | Yes | +220 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa02…4238 | No | +208 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-25 22:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:25:00 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 993 | 97¢ | $959 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x8b02…d17b | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x0b7e…d78f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,383 | 97¢ | $1,336 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:25:00 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xb237a6… |
| 08-17 15:24:54 | Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x2a6951… |
| 08-17 15:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x2a6951… |
| 08-17 15:24:54 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 993 | 97¢ | $958 | 0x2a6951… |
| 08-17 15:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,036 | 97¢ | $999 | 0x2a6951… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 288 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 1,632 | 96¢ | $1,567 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | Striking-Sparerib 0xc4fc…20b4 | Yes | SELL | 2,188 | 4¢ | $86 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 12:29:12 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 78 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x64bd7a… |
| 08-16 09:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x48dc17… |
| 08-16 09:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x56df…afcd | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x48dc17… |
| 08-16 04:42:36 | Grave-Fertilizer 0x7fc8…dccc | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x32c06b… |
| 08-16 04:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x32c06b… |
| 08-15 22:49:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 510 | 96¢ | $490 | 0x1b8c9d… |
| 08-15 22:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 510 | 96¢ | $490 | 0x1b8c9d… |
| 08-15 16:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x70be9a… |
| 08-15 16:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xc08286… |
| 08-15 16:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc08286… |
| 08-15 16:28:55 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x70be9a… |
| 08-15 16:28:54 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x25c5aa… |
| 08-15 16:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7f6363… |
| 08-15 16:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7f6363… |
| 08-15 16:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x25c5aa… |
| 08-15 16:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x615305… |
| 08-15 16:27:37 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x652546… |
| 08-15 16:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x652546… |
| 08-15 16:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x615305… |
| 08-15 16:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x74e95e… |
| 08-15 16:27:34 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x237a29… |
| 08-15 16:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x237a29… |
| 08-15 16:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x74e95e… |
| 08-15 16:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfe7e89… |
| 08-15 16:21:01 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe7e89… |
| 08-15 16:20:58 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x93fe75… |
| 08-15 16:20:58 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x93fe75… |
| 08-15 16:18:01 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc32471… |
| 08-15 16:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc32471… |
| 08-15 16:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc32471… |
| 08-15 16:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…9fa3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xddefc6… |
| 08-15 16:18:01 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xddefc6… |
| 08-15 15:36:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x604b80… |
| 08-15 15:36:46 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x604b80… |
| 08-15 15:16:45 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1fc8fa… |
| 08-15 15:16:45 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1fc8fa… |
| 08-15 12:10:21 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 91 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7df7a2… |
| 08-15 12:10:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7df7a2… |
| 08-15 12:10:21 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | SELL | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x7df7a2… |
| 08-15 12:10:21 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x7df7a2… |
| 08-14 23:32:15 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | SELL | 160 | 96¢ | $154 | 0xbbe103… |
| 08-14 23:32:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 160 | 96¢ | $154 | 0xbbe103… |
| 08-14 10:27:10 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe0c490… |
| 08-14 10:27:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe0c490… |
| 08-14 10:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xe0c490… |
| 08-14 08:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd23181… |
| 08-14 08:56:21 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd23181… |
| 08-14 08:55:06 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 208 | 96¢ | $200 | 0xec600c… |
| 08-14 08:55:06 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | SELL | 208 | 96¢ | $200 | 0xec600c… |
| 08-13 18:49:25 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x79f353… |
| 08-13 18:49:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x79f353… |
| 08-13 18:49:25 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x79f353… |
| 08-13 17:15:55 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x72ba9d… |
| 08-13 17:15:55 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x72ba9d… |
| 08-13 17:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd8b8ee… |
| 08-13 17:15:46 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd8b8ee… |
| 08-13 16:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x01dd84… |
| 08-13 16:43:34 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x01dd84… |
| 08-13 16:43:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x01dd84… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 667 | 96¢ | $640 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | Pungent-Step 0x1663…b827 | Yes | SELL | 1,142 | 4¢ | $46 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 12:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdfc84c… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | Kindly-Noodles 0x8c68…219f | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 2,131 | 96¢ | $2,045 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 159 | 96¢ | $152 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | BUY | 153 | 96¢ | $146 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x771a…3659 | No | SELL | 3,022 | 96¢ | $2,899 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $287 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-13 02:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x341fa6… |
| 08-12 22:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb8de4e… |