Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$85,488
$1,292 in 24h
Trades
1,389
Unique wallets
367
Liquidity
$39,688
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-07 02:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.6¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $47.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $152 | $13.3K | $13.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $1.3K | $12.9K | $11.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 145 | $1.0K | $14.3K | $13.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 171 | $752 | $4.1K | $3.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $587 | $1.3K | $759 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $664 | $3.1K | $2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $72 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| Median | 39 | $7 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
| Below median | 128 | $341 | $5.3K | $4.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $142 | $187 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $22 | $7.6K | $7.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $513 | $9.0K | $8.5K |
| unranked | 128 | $913 | $13.5K | $12.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +9,760 | $8,932 | $8,932 | 5 | 06-05 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +7,687 | $490 | $510 | 16 | 06-23 10:07 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +3,270 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-22 08:33 |
| Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | +2,286 | $2,058 | $2,058 | 16 | 06-05 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +2,044 | $1,870 | $1,870 | 5 | 06-05 09:43 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,986 | $1,887 | $1,887 | 1 | 06-14 21:28 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | +1,674 | $94 | $215 | 18 | 07-01 03:03 |
| Fragrant-Toot 0xf89c…464d | No | +1,597 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 2 | 06-10 12:33 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,455 | $117 | $117 | 18 | 06-24 02:31 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +1,069 | $973 | $973 | 19 | 06-06 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x770a…7d17 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-05 00:38 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-16 07:23 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,000 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 06-05 09:38 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 06-07 13:17 |
| Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 9 | 06-30 14:25 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +1,000 | $920 | $920 | 1 | 06-05 14:20 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +976 | $911 | $911 | 25 | 06-24 19:53 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +900 | $783 | $783 | 1 | 05-27 21:47 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +827 | $29 | $245 | 42 | 06-21 21:39 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +773 | $35 | $426 | 101 | 07-03 06:51 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +712 | $676 | $676 | 11 | 07-06 07:32 |
| Pungent-Step 0x1663…b827 | Yes | +707 | $57 | $57 | 3 | 06-05 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b88…86c4 | No | +700 | $658 | $658 | 10 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +678 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-28 20:32 |
| Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | +650 | $28 | $28 | 10 | 07-02 03:55 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +625 | $575 | $575 | 2 | 07-05 07:07 |
| Grand-Hunting 0xf128…b8d1 | Yes | +608 | $53 | $53 | 9 | 06-17 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x338a…2c3a | Yes | +559 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 15:26 |
| Common-Love 0x00ff…f7ad | No | +544 | $495 | $495 | 4 | 06-07 21:53 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +533 | $506 | $3,294 | 3 | 06-19 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +479 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 07-03 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3459…9000 | Yes | +445 | $28 | $28 | 6 | 06-10 22:08 |
| Sturdy-Jodhpurs 0x4aa4…81ea | Yes | +403 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-07 22:39 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +400 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-14 21:28 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +390 | $339 | $339 | 1 | 05-29 11:14 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +347 | $315 | $315 | 4 | 06-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fa…1ee4 | Yes | +321 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-27 21:47 |
| Snoopy-Brewer 0x4023…77c1 | No | +320 | $294 | $294 | 10 | 06-06 18:08 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +251 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Awful-Inheritance 0x4e57…f99f | No | +221 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xce7c…67f1 | Yes | +220 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x54f5…4594 | Yes | +218 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-04 01:23 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-08 03:40 |
| Unruly-Journalism 0x167c…3c96 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8197…8752 | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 04:28 |
| Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | +138 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-08 01:29 |
| Wide-Eyed-Extinction 0x4963…e0a5 | Yes | +133 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-29 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | +121 | $6 | $20 | 9 | 06-22 08:33 |
| Disloyal-Fork 0x6053…8908 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 20:51 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +109 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 12:09 |
| Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 03:55 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-14 09:45 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 21:28 |
| Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-30 17:52 |
| Melodic-Lynx 0xc582…853c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-03 06:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 02:40:53 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x0d65f5… |
| 07-07 02:40:53 | Unwelcome-Legging-Pantsuit 0x97d2…199c | No | SELL | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x0d65f5… |
| 07-06 19:38:31 | Unwelcome-Legging-Pantsuit 0x97d2…199c | No | BUY | 48 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xe8d551… |
| 07-06 19:38:31 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe8d551… |
| 07-06 07:32:37 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x769129… |
| 07-06 07:32:37 | Ragged-Spiral 0xd7e4…7137 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x769129… |
| 07-05 07:07:46 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x1d557c… |
| 07-05 07:07:46 | Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | BUY | 125 | 96¢ | $120 | 0x1d557c… |
| 07-05 07:07:46 | Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1d557c… |
| 07-05 07:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x0adf…41ed | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x1d557c… |
| 07-04 12:30:43 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xa1ab6c… |
| 07-04 12:30:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa1ab6c… |
| 07-04 12:30:43 | Grown-Exposure 0xcfca…9722 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa1ab6c… |
| 07-04 12:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…0f92 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa1ab6c… |
| 07-04 12:25:05 | Grown-Exposure 0xcfca…9722 | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x7e093b… |
| 07-04 12:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x7e093b… |
| 07-04 12:12:28 | Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | SELL | 133 | 96¢ | $127 | 0x5c822f… |
| 07-04 12:12:28 | Grown-Exposure 0xcfca…9722 | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $68 | 0x5c822f… |
| 07-04 12:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x0e46…0602 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x5c822f… |
| 07-04 12:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x5c822f… |
| 07-04 12:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xa552…2e67 | No | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $55 | 0x5c822f… |
| 07-03 23:26:29 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 199 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xa364ea… |
| 07-03 23:26:29 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 199 | 95¢ | $189 | 0xa364ea… |
| 07-03 19:20:23 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x0bc563… |
| 07-03 19:20:23 | Slushy-Annual 0xd010…a303 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x0bc563… |
| 07-03 15:31:52 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x7fa5a6… |
| 07-03 15:31:52 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x7fa5a6… |
| 07-03 15:15:19 | Slushy-Annual 0xd010…a303 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xf4f09c… |
| 07-03 15:15:19 | Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xf4f09c… |
| 07-03 12:22:13 | Upbeat-Graft 0xfd76…5a26 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x27ce93… |
| 07-03 12:22:13 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x27ce93… |
| 07-03 10:56:07 | Imperfect-Amusement 0x4568…70ff | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x5d6e75… |
| 07-03 10:56:07 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x5d6e75… |
| 07-03 07:21:53 | Upbeat-Graft 0xfd76…5a26 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x242a4c… |
| 07-03 07:21:53 | Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x242a4c… |
| 07-03 06:51:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1bcff3… |
| 07-03 06:51:40 | Melodic-Lynx 0xc582…853c | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x1bcff3… |
| 07-03 06:51:40 | Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x1bcff3… |
| 07-03 05:53:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf12fad… |
| 07-03 05:53:46 | Imperfect-Amusement 0x4568…70ff | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xf12fad… |
| 07-03 03:03:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9507fd… |
| 07-03 03:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xeab2…2351 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9507fd… |
| 07-02 03:55:52 | Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x29d5cb… |
| 07-02 03:55:52 | Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x29d5cb… |
| 07-02 03:55:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x29d5cb… |
| 07-01 20:58:49 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb6bcc2… |
| 07-01 20:58:49 | Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb6bcc2… |
| 07-01 10:33:34 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 187 | 95¢ | $177 | 0xf8483e… |
| 07-01 10:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 187 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xf8483e… |
| 07-01 08:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x4f95…0ae5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x484750… |
| 07-01 08:28:05 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x484750… |
| 07-01 06:47:32 | Cold-God 0xd909…3a43 | No | SELL | 64 | 95¢ | $61 | 0x1bf576… |
| 07-01 06:47:32 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 64 | 95¢ | $61 | 0x1bf576… |
| 07-01 03:22:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0452e0… |
| 07-01 03:22:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0452e0… |
| 07-01 03:22:47 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 82 | 95¢ | $78 | 0x0452e0… |
| 07-01 03:03:16 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff0ec… |
| 07-01 03:03:16 | Parallel-Permit 0xed4d…1a9d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff0ec… |
| 07-01 02:46:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 64 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x21e33c… |
| 07-01 02:46:56 | Cold-God 0xd909…3a43 | No | BUY | 64 | 95¢ | $61 | 0x21e33c… |
| 06-30 20:33:34 | Defiant-Monastery 0x00ec…918c | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0xa19234… |
| 06-30 20:33:34 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa19234… |
| 06-30 19:50:10 | Whole-Study-Originality 0xfb75…d717 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x49a8b7… |
| 06-30 19:50:10 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x49a8b7… |
| 06-30 18:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x289d52… |
| 06-30 18:03:46 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x289d52… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x4b88…86c4 | No | BUY | 253 | 94¢ | $238 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x8eb1…accb | No | SELL | 781 | 94¢ | $735 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 131 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:55 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 272 | 6¢ | $16 | 0x5bbd60… |
| 06-30 16:28:47 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xc83166… |
| 06-30 16:28:47 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xc83166… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | (anonymous) 0x5ae7…848b | No | BUY | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | SELL | 676 | 95¢ | $642 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 506 | 95¢ | $480 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 14:25:47 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x5c1e06… |
| 06-30 13:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x5537…6993 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8c733e… |
| 06-30 13:06:08 | Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8c733e… |
| 06-30 12:37:29 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 93 | 95¢ | $89 | 0x3293e5… |
| 06-30 12:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 93 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3293e5… |
| 06-30 12:31:13 | Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x856848… |
| 06-30 12:31:13 | Defiant-Monastery 0x00ec…918c | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x856848… |
| 06-30 11:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…0f92 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc60cda… |
| 06-30 11:56:35 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xc60cda… |
| 06-30 11:56:31 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xda7eee… |
| 06-30 11:56:31 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xda7eee… |
| 06-30 11:15:22 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x405604… |
| 06-30 11:15:22 | Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x405604… |
| 06-30 11:05:50 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xfe834c… |
| 06-30 11:05:50 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xfe834c… |
| 06-30 10:47:11 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…0f92 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x20d4ba… |
| 06-30 10:47:11 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x20d4ba… |
| 06-30 10:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x5537…6993 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2849ad… |
| 06-30 10:47:08 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x2849ad… |
| 06-30 10:47:08 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x127100… |