Realized P&L
+$18.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$908
Hit rate
92.3%
Resolved
746
Trades
11,725
lifetime
Volume
$11.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.01K
Open exposure
$93.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Politics
55% 92% +$21,701
Other
41% 91% +$1,289
Crypto
3% 78% -$5,706
Tech
1% 86% +$2,928
Sports
0% 33% -$1,289
Pop-Culture
0% 75% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 418 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +33,488 $26,302 83¢ $27.8K +$1,494 10-25 22:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7,600 $7,116 94¢ $7.1K -$10 10-23 07:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +6,475 $5,948 96¢ $6.2K +$278 08-07 03:20
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +5,700 $5,309 96¢ $5.5K +$171 10-25 22:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,655 $5,497 96¢ $5.4K -$60 10-26 09:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,661 $5,313 96¢ $5.4K +$124 10-21 20:57
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +5,521 $5,383 98¢ $5.4K +$44 10-24 13:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,010 $4,707 96¢ $4.8K +$97 10-20 21:08
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +4,644 $4,040 88¢ $4.1K +$70 10-13 16:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +3,111 $3,077 99¢ $3.1K +$18 10-26 05:24
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,600 $2,340 94¢ $2.5K +$117 09-28 23:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +2,029 $2,011 100¢ $2.0K +$18 10-26 02:47
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +4,155 $1,878 34¢ $1.4K -$486 10-03 04:53
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,713 $1,216 80¢ $1.4K +$146 10-02 17:19
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +4,250 $1,806 30¢ $1.3K -$552 10-02 11:34
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,234 $1,177 97¢ $1.2K +$23 08-19 14:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,740 $808 16¢ $890 +$81 10-27 02:23
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +822 $793 97¢ $800 +$6 10-05 03:42
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +800 $792 100¢ $798 +$5 09-28 22:09
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +907 $717 88¢ $794 +$77 10-03 04:04
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +2,615 $1,190 30¢ $771 -$418 10-03 04:31
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +800 $722 90¢ $716 -$6 10-14 06:49
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +763 $649 91¢ $694 +$45 09-30 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +637 $608 97¢ $615 +$7 09-20 22:32
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,222 $788 14¢ $570 -$218 10-13 19:16
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +600 $540 90¢ $537 -$3 10-03 04:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +605 $518 78¢ $472 -$46 10-23 13:23
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,813 $538 22¢ $399 -$139 10-03 04:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +400 $374 96¢ $384 +$10 10-18 09:16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +422 $367 90¢ $382 +$15 09-22 10:00