Sturdy-Jodhpurs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$806

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$75

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-14 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$152

Other

22% 100% +$654

Politics

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,445	$100	3¢	$45	$-55	06-07 22:38
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+403	$36	4¢	$16	$-20	06-07 22:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Yes	-434	$-13	3¢	$-14	$-1	06-14 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	6	$1.3K	1,647	1,647	+0	Yes	+$654	04-21 17:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$485	426	426	+0	open	—	05-20 14:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$346	9,924	0	+9,924	open	—	02-28 16:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	2	$279	189	189	+0	open	—	05-25 06:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$270	11,904	0	+11,904	open	—	02-28 07:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$261	175	175	+0	Yes	+$61	05-06 07:59
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$255	208	208	+0	open	—	02-28 07:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	2	$250	668	0	+668	open	—	06-01 08:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$238	214	214	+0	open	—	02-28 07:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	2	$218	338	338	+0	No	+$18	05-06 07:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	4	$209	358	358	+0	open	—	05-30 07:04
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	2	$177	287	287	+0	open	—	05-16 20:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	2	$170	294	294	+0	open	—	05-18 15:15
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	1	$150	857	0	+857	open	—	04-23 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$150	577	0	+577	open	—	04-23 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$150	268	0	+268	open	—	04-23 20:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	2	$150	347	0	+347	open	—	05-30 07:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	3	$150	1,246	0	+1,246	open	—	06-01 08:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	1	$100	172	0	+172	Yes	+$72	05-04 17:40
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	1,445	0	+1,445	open	—	06-07 22:38
btc updown 15m 1770494400	1	$100	159	0	+159	open	—	02-07 20:03
btc updown 15m 1770488100	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	02-07 18:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$84	263	263	+0	open	—	05-20 14:49
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	2	$80	5,050	5,050	+0	open	—	02-11 18:11
btc updown 15m 1770486300	1	$75	164	0	+164	open	—	02-07 17:41
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	2	$65	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-11 18:11
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$61	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	02-10 18:38
Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 25-31?	2	$54	263	263	+0	open	—	05-30 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$50	567	0	+567	open	—	05-16 20:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	1	$50	374	0	+374	open	—	05-23 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 03:32:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	434	3¢	$13	0xee62f9…
06-07 22:39:51	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	9¢	$36	0xde6885…
06-07 22:38:36	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,445	7¢	$100	0xf2593e…
06-01 08:41:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	499	10¢	$50	0xfc4ffc…
06-01 08:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xfd325a…
06-01 08:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0xb04479…
05-30 07:10:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x40b9f8…
05-30 07:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xd51dad…
05-30 07:08:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x97dffc…
05-30 07:04:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x6db3dc…
05-30 07:04:04	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$4	0x5e7d16…
05-30 07:02:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0xd447c1…
05-30 06:59:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	246	20¢	$50	0xd7d9eb…
05-30 06:59:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x1a5f53…
05-28 07:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x1689bb…
05-28 07:34:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	175	54¢	$95	0x9140e3…
05-26 01:00:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	806	6¢	$50	0x0ee4a6…
05-26 01:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0x068d55…
05-26 01:00:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xf0380d…
05-26 00:58:51	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x20c18c…
05-25 06:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	189	95¢	$179	0xcdd2de…
05-23 20:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	374	13¢	$50	0x033f3d…
05-23 20:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x50a768…
05-20 14:49:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	263	13¢	$34	0xbe766b…
05-20 14:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	426	67¢	$285	0xb58405…
05-18 15:15:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	294	41¢	$120	0x6cf9ce…
05-16 20:36:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x55004f…
05-16 20:35:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,039	5¢	$50	0x54b93f…
05-16 20:34:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xbf3c8a…
05-16 20:32:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	567	9¢	$50	0x588285…
05-16 20:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xcdda64…
05-16 20:28:28	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	287	27¢	$77	0x7f968d…
05-06 07:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	175	92¢	$161	0xeb6eba…
05-06 07:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	338	35¢	$118	0x0c51d5…
05-04 17:41:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	338	30¢	$100	0xc850a9…
05-04 17:40:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x665758…
05-04 17:40:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc86557…
05-04 17:38:34	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0xa0e695…
04-23 20:18:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0xceb310…
04-23 20:17:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	577	26¢	$150	0x25db74…
04-23 20:17:24	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	857	18¢	$150	0x18f670…
04-21 17:52:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	1,647	58¢	$954	0x225c8f…
02-28 16:56:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	658	8¢	$50	0x6d6d5e…
02-28 16:55:29	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x7ed626…
02-28 07:18:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,111	5¢	$50	0xd698b4…
02-28 07:17:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	676	7¢	$50	0xf5cb8e…
02-28 07:16:09	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	98¢	$205	0xe2b7eb…
02-28 07:15:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0x6db88a…
02-16 04:30:49	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	445	2¢	$7	0xc3e26e…
02-16 04:29:45	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xcdf105…
02-16 04:29:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0x95cb59…
02-16 04:26:35	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x5556cb…
02-16 04:26:23	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,136	1¢	$10	0xee9d94…
02-16 04:25:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xb3bafd…
02-16 04:23:35	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,352	1¢	$20	0xbbddcb…
02-11 18:15:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	490	5¢	$26	0x7a21cd…
02-11 18:14:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0x71530e…
02-11 18:11:39	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	5,050	1¢	$30	0x4719e6…
02-11 18:11:27	will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	Yes	SELL	1,020	1¢	$15	0xab0b4d…
02-10 18:39:07	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	818	3¢	$27	0x9e9dd1…
02-10 18:38:39	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$26	0xa1f7e8…
02-10 18:37:51	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$35	0x0257b3…
02-07 20:03:23	btc updown 15m 1770494400	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xb7ea12…
02-07 18:19:15	btc updown 15m 1770488100	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc25d4a…
02-07 17:41:03	btc updown 15m 1770486300	Up	BUY	164	46¢	$75	0x5fb882…
02-07 17:29:35	btc updown 15m 1770485400	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x04537d…
02-07 17:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770484500	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xe983a9…
02-06 23:06:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xec3aac…
02-06 06:29:15	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	248	20¢	$50	0xef6abb…
02-06 06:28:21	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x926b65…
02-06 06:26:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,185	3¢	$100	0xc3db25…
02-06 06:26:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,067	5¢	$100	0xdbae57…
02-04 05:27:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	260	19¢	$50	0xc576d9…
02-04 05:26:10	will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0xab7d70…
02-04 05:25:52	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	BUY	5,050	1¢	$50	0x31bebd…
02-03 03:18:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$50	0x116bcf…
02-03 03:08:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$50	0x6b5cbc…
02-03 03:06:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	679	15¢	$100	0xa2e4ea…
02-03 02:59:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,590	2¢	$100	0x541929…