Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
open
Total volume
$1,206
$11,555 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$19,990
Latest YES mid
89¢
Latest NO mid
11¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 05:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $1.1K | — | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $140 | $4 | +$136 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 9 | $64 | $4 | +$61 |
| Below median | 6 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1.1K | $4 | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +1,242 | $1,057 | $1,057 | 5 | 05-13 18:40 |
| These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | No | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:13 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | Yes | +35 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Obvious-Youngster 0x0ddd…5cf8 | No | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | Yes | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Wasteful-Someplace 0x747c…bfb5 | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | +18 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4878…42c0 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee6…0c63 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Murky-Wallaby 0x7e23…168b | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfb4…f279 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Pricey-Base 0xa7d9…3bfe | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:39:47 | Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x71a598… |
| 05-14 00:06:38 | (anonymous) 0xd41c…7efc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x07f47b… |
| 05-13 20:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x03089a… |
| 05-13 18:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x35b08e… |
| 05-13 18:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0d335b… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xed5c93… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 310 | 85¢ | $264 | 0x9c65a3… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | Yes | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x749df5… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | Yes | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9a0f1f… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb52711… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x612e65… |
| 05-13 18:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xc0b489… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 235 | 85¢ | $200 | 0xbae2e9… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8bfe56… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xcb19fd… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x4d76b0… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf78ee8… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x73e183… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x2ee6…0c63 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x10be3d… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Obvious-Youngster 0x0ddd…5cf8 | No | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x8388ab… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x9c3ab8… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x0945fa… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x12d618… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xcb8fac… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 193 | 85¢ | $164 | 0x9151c2… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb57321… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | (anonymous) 0xbfb4…f279 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x992942… |
| 05-13 18:40:44 | Murky-Wallaby 0x7e23…168b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x77ca40… |
| 05-13 18:40:42 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x23a646… |
| 05-13 18:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xb8cb88… |
| 05-13 18:40:42 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xbad2ff… |
| 05-13 18:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x4878…42c0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x31bef9… |
| 05-13 18:40:42 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 484 | 85¢ | $411 | 0x5d1b26… |
| 05-13 06:13:57 | Pricey-Base 0xa7d9…3bfe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe9599d… |
| 05-13 05:13:03 | These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | No | BUY | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb94ede… |
| 05-13 01:12:06 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf31ff5… |
| 05-13 01:11:22 | Wasteful-Someplace 0x747c…bfb5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf4503f… |
| 05-13 01:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc7996c… |
| 05-13 01:11:21 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x029d93… |
| 05-13 01:11:19 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x7abbe4… |