Tough-Hammer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$827

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,905

lifetime

Volume

$9.79M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.42K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$827

Other

26% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	2	$215.8K	108,018	108,018	+0	open	—	06-30 03:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	75	$210.6K	123,566	115,205	+8,362	open	—	06-16 16:53
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	83	$109.8K	58,482	51,527	+6,955	open	—	03-12 10:42
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	5	$79.2K	79,293	0	+79,293	open	—	06-21 15:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	102	$77.5K	68,528	15,514	+53,015	open	—	05-31 21:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	44	$75.0K	35,932	40,197	-4,265	open	—	04-01 06:04
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	9	$73.5K	36,934	36,934	+0	open	—	03-09 14:43
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	29	$70.2K	35,504	35,504	+0	open	—	06-27 04:56
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	18	$65.2K	32,692	32,688	+4	open	—	04-16 01:05
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	20	$64.6K	45,782	19,000	+26,782	open	—	03-09 05:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	27	$64.0K	32,168	35,168	-3,000	open	—	06-07 07:33
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	25	$61.7K	57,039	4,840	+52,199	open	—	06-23 16:01
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	33	$61.0K	62,577	64	+62,513	open	—	06-20 16:00
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	16	$60.0K	30,042	30,042	+0	open	—	03-13 04:41
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 21	7	$59.6K	39,793	19,897	+19,897	open	—	03-22 05:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	22	$59.4K	30,586	30,586	+0	open	—	02-15 13:07
bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	45	$58.3K	58,430	0	+58,430	open	—	06-22 14:46
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	6	$56.9K	45,419	12,000	+33,419	open	—	03-18 15:51
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	34	$56.9K	37,551	20,741	+16,810	open	—	02-19 16:01
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	4	$56.8K	28,764	28,764	+0	open	—	01-28 05:46
bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	34	$55.7K	56,038	0	+56,038	open	—	06-28 16:15
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	7	$54.6K	27,365	27,365	+0	open	—	03-30 15:41
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	67	$54.4K	27,288	27,282	+6	open	—	04-13 06:34
bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	7	$54.4K	54,413	0	+54,413	open	—	06-19 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 21	11	$54.1K	54,207	0	+54,207	open	—	06-22 03:31
bitcoin above 70k on march 23	7	$52.2K	36,595	15,778	+20,817	open	—	03-23 16:00
bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	10	$50.1K	50,102	0	+50,102	open	—	06-29 16:11
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	12	$49.1K	49,375	0	+49,375	open	—	06-29 03:28
bitcoin above 62k on march 3	14	$48.7K	24,452	24,452	+0	open	—	03-03 15:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	47	$47.9K	24,049	24,048	+0	open	—	03-04 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:01:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	900	100¢	$899	0xde6816…
07-20 06:56:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x78a0a1…
07-20 06:56:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x488ab7…
07-20 03:16:54	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0xfa88aa…
07-20 00:56:46	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x23d108…
07-20 00:56:30	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	773	100¢	$773	0x1d8bf2…
07-20 00:55:52	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa1c98b…
07-20 00:55:45	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb4afc7…
07-19 03:44:24	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xba9c6f…
07-19 03:18:33	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	239	99¢	$236	0x0c0c6d…
07-19 03:16:48	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x24505c…
07-19 03:16:40	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe58912…
07-19 03:15:28	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd0d058…
07-19 03:13:21	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xd6d6ac…
07-19 03:09:43	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x17455e…
07-19 03:04:28	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaa305b…
07-19 03:03:54	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x534cd7…
07-19 03:01:30	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6e50e8…
07-19 02:57:27	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xe25003…
07-19 02:52:43	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5ca30a…
07-19 00:56:37	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 18	No	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0xa2f7e4…
07-19 00:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa22ccc…
07-17 03:51:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x00b04f…
07-17 03:25:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x348f4f…
07-17 03:24:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 16	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xdac856…
07-17 03:23:18	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	BUY	320	99¢	$317	0x73ec3e…
07-17 03:23:03	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x073dc5…
07-17 02:32:37	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 16	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x1434e3…
07-17 02:09:00	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 16	No	BUY	780	100¢	$776	0x49a6ba…
07-16 00:31:38	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3286f5…
07-15 01:31:16	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	BUY	925	99¢	$920	0x0b5e3b…
07-15 01:30:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xba5fde…
07-15 01:29:49	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x2b5d44…
07-14 15:53:02	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	363	100¢	$363	0x01b8ae…
07-14 15:35:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4a0318…
07-14 15:35:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x1dd720…
07-14 15:35:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4d6c55…
07-14 15:35:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x0abd24…
07-14 15:35:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x350ea8…
07-14 15:27:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xe16073…
07-14 14:51:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x14579d…
07-14 14:50:55	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x7f1a84…
07-14 12:58:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1,023	100¢	$1,022	0x5886ed…
07-14 05:46:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0xf491c8…
07-14 05:45:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8ed0d…
07-14 05:45:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bdb3c…
07-14 04:26:53	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	766	98¢	$754	0x1881e0…
07-14 01:08:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	No	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,006	0xb40bcd…
07-13 15:51:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	487	100¢	$486	0xb1b8d0…
07-13 15:51:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xf0b6ed…
07-13 01:02:11	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	954	100¢	$951	0x088024…
07-12 16:01:17	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xed2fc7…
07-12 16:01:11	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x73cf8d…
07-12 15:58:29	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa4bd6e…
07-12 15:53:26	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xeb7377…
07-12 15:51:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xdeff38…
07-12 15:51:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	470	98¢	$463	0xa48186…
07-12 13:55:14	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	900	100¢	$899	0x2da2c5…
07-12 08:25:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	900	99¢	$893	0x9c68a6…
07-10 16:00:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	822	95¢	$781	0x76dee5…
07-05 13:52:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xd1264f…
07-05 05:52:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$338	0x630147…
07-05 02:28:32	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x80138c…
07-05 02:19:38	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x12fc1a…
07-05 00:59:56	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85d4ee…
07-04 12:43:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd5250b…
07-04 01:55:22	will kanye west attend taylor swifts wedding	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2a8d76…
07-04 01:54:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1531cd…
07-03 01:24:47	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 2	No	BUY	529	100¢	$528	0xd1fd05…
07-02 20:56:43	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	402	97¢	$390	0xa0c58b…
07-02 20:56:43	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d6bf4…
07-02 20:56:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x373626…
07-02 20:56:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x1e54c9…
07-02 20:56:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x15e93d…
07-02 20:56:22	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0xf45403…
07-02 20:56:22	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	423	97¢	$410	0x413fa2…
07-02 20:56:13	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0xb4092b…
07-02 20:56:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	833	97¢	$808	0xb39358…
07-02 20:53:38	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x9c34fd…
07-02 20:53:20	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x19ec8c…
07-02 20:53:13	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaa6425…
07-02 20:53:13	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	1,031	100¢	$1,028	0xa87f18…
07-02 20:51:32	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x47604f…
07-02 20:51:20	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	283	92¢	$260	0x39f84a…
07-02 20:51:17	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xd934d2…
07-02 20:50:50	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	2,767	89¢	$2,472	0xec9c23…
07-02 20:50:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	2,233	99¢	$2,210	0xc8a9b9…
07-02 16:00:44	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	375	100¢	$374	0x4c1b2a…
07-02 16:00:44	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,486	0x3723cf…
07-02 16:00:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	3,936	96¢	$3,763	0x12ef09…
07-02 16:00:05	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0xa55aa7…
07-02 15:59:50	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8f2f20…
07-02 15:59:50	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	293	95¢	$278	0x8cad2f…
07-02 15:59:50	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x18e547…
07-02 15:59:50	ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x151eb4…
07-02 15:57:20	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xb7dceb…
07-02 13:06:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1,397	100¢	$1,396	0xa93c48…
07-02 11:35:16	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2,763	99¢	$2,746	0x876fbf…
07-02 11:34:59	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	2,749	100¢	$2,746	0x836ef6…
07-02 08:52:53	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	6,647	98¢	$6,547	0x21dde2…