Understated-Dome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$328.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.49K

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

559

Trades

24,397

lifetime

Volume

$966.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$280

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-29 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Politics

67% 15% +$404,868

Crypto

22% 19% -$53,658

Other

10% 22% -$8,286

Sports

2% 0% -$14,888

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+7,185	$558	2¢	$122	-$436	10-22 13:16
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5,556	$100	2¢	$103	+$3	10-28 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+5,556	$1,000	1¢	$56	-$944	10-20 14:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	-$14	2¢	$0	+$14	10-28 02:07
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+0	$1,128	1¢	$0	-$1,128	10-29 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	216	$361.0K	355,555	355,555	+0	Yes	+$347,279	04-08 01:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	109	$60.1K	54,555	55,550	-995	Yes	+$49,691	04-08 01:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	79	$48.5K	45,907	55,555	-9,648	Yes	+$35,376	02-28 21:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$17.8K	22,779	22,779	+0	No	+$17,563	05-29 07:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	113	$17.7K	16,666	16,666	+0	No	+$14,689	05-24 05:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$16.3K	12,902	15,402	-2,500	Yes	+$689	03-06 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	64	$11.0K	9,156	9,156	+0	Yes	+$7,272	06-23 15:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	45	$9.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$7,420	05-13 15:29
will uae strike iran by march 31	37	$8.8K	14,963	0	+14,963	No	-$8,780	03-19 23:23
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	31	$8.3K	6,053	6,053	+0	Yes	+$3,713	03-06 19:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	90	$7.6K	17,110	6,556	+10,555	No	+$4,748	03-07 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	24	$7.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$2,815	06-15 15:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	50	$6.9K	37,222	5,000	+32,222	No	+$1,934	06-02 14:22
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$6.6K	30,556	5,556	+25,000	No	+$4,450	05-15 17:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$6.6K	35,556	5,556	+30,000	No	+$4,460	05-15 17:38
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$6.6K	35,556	5,556	+30,000	No	+$4,460	05-15 17:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	15	$6.4K	5,556	5,556	+0	No	+$4,444	05-15 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	68	$6.3K	5,555	5,555	+0	Yes	+$2,111	06-19 14:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	17	$6.2K	5,556	5,556	+0	Yes	+$4,833	05-09 04:37
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	13	$5.9K	8,871	8,871	+0	Yes	-$1,594	05-24 20:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	36	$5.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$5,000	05-05 13:07
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	10	$5.0K	10,556	523	+10,033	Yes	-$4,004	06-17 16:01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$4.9K	55,556	0	+55,556	No	-$4,944	06-11 12:44
bitcoin above 68k on march 8	248	$4.6K	18,701	3,702	+14,999	No	+$1,935	03-08 15:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	33	$4.5K	555,556	0	+555,556	No	-$4,500	04-24 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	76	$4.3K	44,444	0	+44,444	No	-$4,278	05-29 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	67	$3.9K	58,889	3,333	+55,556	Yes	+$2,697	06-16 15:30
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	76	$3.8K	296,470	0	+296,470	Yes	-$3,826	03-03 16:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$3.8K	2,555	2,555	+0	Yes	+$1,274	03-10 12:46
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.7K	55,556	0	+55,556	No	-$3,722	06-17 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:43:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6,859	1¢	$75	0xb0ec8d…
10-29 08:29:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	241	1¢	$2	0xbe8297…
10-29 06:14:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7579cb…
10-29 06:04:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4,615	1¢	$32	0x008c09…
10-29 05:28:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$3	0x9cfb8d…
10-29 05:28:13	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x99ed18…
10-29 05:28:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb58a86…
10-29 05:28:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xe09973…
10-29 05:28:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7,000	1¢	$49	0xd7d79d…
10-29 05:26:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	380	1¢	$3	0x6643f8…
10-29 05:24:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4,600	1¢	$37	0xc46941…
10-28 18:38:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,214	2¢	$44	0x8cf978…
10-28 18:21:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,381	2¢	$28	0x0c14fd…
10-28 16:54:04	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,840	2¢	$51	0x69847b…
10-28 15:26:17	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf1aab0…
10-28 15:23:49	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,710	2¢	$49	0x0945da…
10-28 13:10:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9,138	2¢	$183	0xb0fe90…
10-28 12:44:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x5ff416…
10-28 12:44:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x04b45f…
10-28 12:41:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$2	0x948a9a…
10-28 12:40:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xbdf342…
10-28 12:39:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xd9e364…
10-28 11:15:28	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0xa98afd…
10-28 11:13:55	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	195	5¢	$9	0x307257…
10-28 11:11:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	183	5¢	$8	0xc81d32…
10-28 10:45:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xf27089…
10-28 10:45:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x6e06b2…
10-28 06:20:13	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20,000	2¢	$300	0x553d38…
10-28 06:13:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5,096	4¢	$178	0x8e5831…
10-28 05:58:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9,058	4¢	$353	0xc0b2d6…
10-28 05:57:43	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$2	0x4c873e…
10-28 05:56:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	879	4¢	$34	0xaa3fae…
10-28 05:55:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20,149	4¢	$887	0xe8b4d6…
10-28 05:53:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	155	5¢	$8	0x7da0a0…
10-28 05:53:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	155	5¢	$8	0xa9e652…
10-28 02:07:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,000	2¢	$96	0xec4a50…
10-28 02:07:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,000	2¢	$68	0xe0c22e…
10-27 20:01:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	809	40¢	$323	0xa498f2…
10-27 20:00:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	40¢	$400	0xf31884…
10-27 20:00:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,192	40¢	$1,277	0x2a251e…
10-27 13:23:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6a4b1b…
10-27 13:23:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x25a00b…
10-27 13:23:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$4	0xa55459…
10-27 13:22:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x364841…
10-27 13:22:20	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xda9d5b…
10-27 13:22:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x8737c5…
10-27 13:22:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x4680dd…
10-27 13:21:56	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1862ae…
10-27 13:21:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0ba69a…
10-27 13:21:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$3	0x59c936…
10-27 13:21:27	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb46cf2…
10-27 13:21:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x80f2c5…
10-27 13:21:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x5d4b71…
10-27 13:21:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x4375e4…
10-27 13:20:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x40c94c…
10-27 13:19:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x3de38a…
10-27 13:01:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	206	2¢	$3	0x25e095…
10-27 12:51:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xae70d4…
10-27 12:48:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,750	2¢	$26	0x85cac1…
10-27 12:44:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xf01ace…
10-27 12:35:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x47283d…
10-27 12:34:33	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0x2bf0bf…
10-27 12:33:59	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	161	2¢	$2	0x09049d…
10-27 12:33:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc96df6…
10-27 12:33:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x870589…
10-27 12:33:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x0c9df6…
10-27 12:33:23	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xa1164d…
10-27 12:33:11	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x006b4a…
10-27 12:33:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,941	2¢	$29	0xc7e1e0…
10-27 12:32:59	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x012e09…
10-27 12:32:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$3	0x700215…
10-27 12:30:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0x0bb01b…
10-27 12:30:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0x93b432…
10-27 12:25:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,000	25¢	$750	0x3514bd…
10-27 10:24:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,150	28¢	$322	0x4f38c7…
10-27 10:23:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x96c48a…
10-22 13:16:00	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,629	7¢	$114	0x049af0…
10-21 20:10:53	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	826	8¢	$66	0xdb5ab9…
10-21 19:29:54	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xa680cf…
10-21 16:17:35	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe1e572…
10-21 11:23:57	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x911ad8…
10-21 09:18:50	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	452	8¢	$36	0xb5876f…
10-21 07:58:48	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	8¢	$35	0x4ef730…
10-21 06:27:41	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x248310…
10-21 03:52:57	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd8fb65…
10-20 20:25:00	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	8¢	$23	0xe3b710…
10-20 20:18:17	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8ec4f6…
10-20 17:40:59	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	995	8¢	$80	0x546a03…
10-20 16:57:44	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,120	8¢	$90	0x1ebd0b…
10-20 14:39:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	3,049	18¢	$549	0xd6b462…
10-20 14:35:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0xbacddf…
10-20 14:30:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf91b22…
10-20 14:19:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0x176325…
10-20 12:59:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x06c2a7…
10-20 11:33:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x466cfa…
10-20 10:47:56	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x4ba433…
10-20 10:19:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	148	18¢	$27	0xe87edb…
10-20 09:52:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0xc6b2ef…
10-20 08:48:08	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x9da541…
10-20 08:33:17	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x34c6c0…