Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$635
$176 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$22,684
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 04:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $458 | $4 | +$454 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $98 | $21 | +$78 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $3 | +$7 |
| Below median | 8 | $24 | $2 | +$22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $21 | $14 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $458 | $4 | +$454 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | +724 | $458 | $458 | 2 | 05-10 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6975…4f97 | Yes | +65 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-10 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x526d…2cbf | Yes | +26 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 10:28 |
| Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:54 |
| Alive-Sage 0xda12…f351 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Babyish-Sheet-Permit 0x163f…c4b4 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:38 |
| 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 03:02 |
| Grubby-Estate 0xdb25…6879 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x713c…758c | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:06 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2d9…8644 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b3f…43b4 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 08:34 |
| Dearest-Detainee 0xcfaa…ce61 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 06:59 |
| Brilliant-Supernatural 0x9c36…27bd | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa25a…1821 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b9e…f7cc | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:54 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 04:54:02 | Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | No | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x3724e5… |
| 05-10 04:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x7b9e…f7cc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x41dacd… |
| 05-10 03:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x526d…2cbf | Yes | BUY | 26 | 63¢ | $16 | 0x4fa6d7… |
| 05-10 03:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xf2d9…8644 | No | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x286a6e… |
| 05-10 03:40:15 | Alive-Sage 0xda12…f351 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x7f0cb4… |
| 05-10 03:40:15 | Babyish-Sheet-Permit 0x163f…c4b4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x6e1f01… |
| 05-10 03:40:13 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 62¢ | $163 | 0x9d5543… |
| 05-10 03:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x6975…4f97 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 63¢ | $40 | 0x48d234… |
| 05-09 04:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x713c…758c | No | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x64279f… |
| 05-09 03:25:37 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xccb100… |
| 05-08 09:01:00 | Brilliant-Supernatural 0x9c36…27bd | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xed9405… |
| 05-08 06:19:13 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x8573d9… |
| 05-08 06:13:21 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x148296… |
| 05-08 05:43:01 | Lawful-Lunch 0x0267…a5b0 | No | SELL | 43 | 53¢ | $23 | 0x9584e2… |
| 05-08 05:09:25 | Impossible-Cut 0x2491…68b9 | No | SELL | 29 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x8a2447… |
| 05-08 04:38:39 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xef6f98… |
| 05-08 03:12:40 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xbf05ab… |
| 05-08 03:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xf4ae09… |
| 05-07 21:16:45 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | No | SELL | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xd69f20… |
| 05-07 19:01:33 | Impossible-Cut 0x2491…68b9 | No | BUY | 22 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x1f2e3c… |
| 05-07 15:46:33 | Violent-Outlook 0xd6be…14e3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd4b96b… |
| 05-07 15:34:20 | Grubby-Estate 0xdb25…6879 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xd91f5c… |
| 05-07 10:28:45 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x69fc66… |
| 05-07 08:35:00 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x6e1bb5… |
| 05-07 08:35:00 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xde02ea… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | (anonymous) 0x5b3f…43b4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x593b53… |
| 05-07 08:33:53 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x3dd865… |
| 05-07 06:59:11 | Dearest-Detainee 0xcfaa…ce61 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xca8907… |
| 05-07 06:59:11 | Babyish-Sheet-Permit 0x163f…c4b4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x01cda5… |
| 05-07 06:59:09 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 64¢ | $295 | 0x60908b… |
| 05-07 06:39:33 | (anonymous) 0xa25a…1821 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xd2cc64… |
| 05-07 06:39:32 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xfa9194… |
| 05-07 06:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x6975…4f97 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xf3221a… |