Frequent-Protection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-08 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

44% 25% $-47

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+100	$30	30¢	$30	$-0	06-08 11:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+167	$10	5¢	$8	$-2	06-08 12:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+14	$5	38¢	$5	+$0	06-08 11:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+29	$5	18¢	$5	+$0	06-08 11:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+120	$3	4¢	$5	+$2	06-08 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	46	$355	1,714	1,270	+444	open	—	04-15 17:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	06-07 19:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$118	102	102	+0	open	—	06-01 10:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$111	54	64	-10	open	—	06-03 10:40
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 18:24
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	15	$86	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	02-18 07:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$82	48	48	+0	open	—	06-08 11:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	2	$69	899	899	+0	open	—	06-07 19:35
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	5	$65	175	455	-280	open	—	02-28 09:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	06-08 11:55
knife above 170 on february 28 2026	2	$52	55	0	+55	open	—	02-28 09:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$44	52	23	+29	open	—	06-08 11:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	5	$33	330	130	+200	open	—	04-14 13:19
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	5	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 10:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$32	35	35	+0	open	—	05-26 03:58
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$30	6	25	-19	open	—	02-28 08:44
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$30	48	20	+28	Down	$-25	05-07 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 11:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	8	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 15:01
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$25	61	11	+50	open	—	06-08 11:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$24	29	14	+14	open	—	06-08 11:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$23	33	25	+8	open	—	05-27 05:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	3	$20	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 11:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$20	154	0	+154	open	—	06-08 12:05
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$20	182	0	+182	open	—	06-08 12:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-13 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	4	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	05-16 14:31
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 18:01
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-18 11:01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$18	38	0	+38	Yes	$-18	05-11 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:05:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x12627a…
06-08 12:05:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x65cbe4…
06-08 12:04:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x149261…
06-08 12:04:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	371	3¢	$10	0x404efe…
06-08 12:04:03	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x3945c9…
06-08 11:58:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x429c45…
06-08 11:58:15	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x57f8d7…
06-08 11:57:48	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x2492b0…
06-08 11:57:34	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xc28511…
06-08 11:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf4d3bf…
06-08 11:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$24	0x6cb3b0…
06-08 11:56:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x26367f…
06-08 11:56:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x2f27e4…
06-08 11:56:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7747fe…
06-08 11:56:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xd6b8a0…
06-08 11:56:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x46b444…
06-08 11:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x483b4a…
06-08 11:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x7ec77d…
06-08 11:55:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0xf52184…
06-08 11:55:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x8f34c0…
06-07 19:50:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf95cea…
06-07 19:49:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xff4f3f…
06-07 19:44:09	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc6dddc…
06-07 19:42:33	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xffea24…
06-07 19:42:24	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x65eb11…
06-07 19:40:30	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x77ea74…
06-07 19:39:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcc81df…
06-07 19:39:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xcaadbd…
06-07 19:38:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1c4a6b…
06-07 19:38:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf6a027…
06-07 19:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x430d11…
06-07 19:37:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb86968…
06-07 19:36:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6142e0…
06-07 19:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x4c9988…
06-07 19:35:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5982cf…
06-07 19:35:34	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	899	4¢	$40	0x42a728…
06-07 19:35:24	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xfa6240…
06-07 19:35:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x8dcf9c…
06-04 19:57:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xe334e1…
06-04 19:08:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	899	3¢	$30	0xdb561d…
06-03 10:40:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x4d0a45…
06-03 10:36:36	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xc4ee07…
06-01 10:05:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x05ff4a…
06-01 10:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x870a7f…
06-01 10:04:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6423cb…
05-31 18:24:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x705d3a…
05-31 18:24:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xa551f4…
05-31 04:03:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x7140e9…
05-27 05:09:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x44b08c…
05-26 03:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x6c1ceb…
05-26 03:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x19e5a3…
05-26 03:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x350402…
05-24 14:03:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x98c4f5…
05-24 12:50:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x012301…
05-24 12:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0xd486fe…
05-24 05:29:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0xcc0654…
05-22 14:34:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9a3eb6…
05-22 13:23:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7882fd…
05-22 08:37:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x3bb4c5…
05-22 08:36:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x177bda…
05-22 08:34:08	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xea9736…
05-20 09:19:29	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8bead3…
05-20 09:19:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf96e8d…
05-20 07:53:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb57d65…
05-20 07:50:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x1c411c…
05-20 07:50:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x6c9315…
05-20 07:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaa884a…
05-20 07:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb2b62…
05-20 07:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b6e05…
05-19 15:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xff38fc…
05-19 14:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7d5468…
05-19 14:57:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8a193a…
05-19 14:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x12567b…
05-19 14:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8ba61b…
05-19 14:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3824f5…
05-19 14:41:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x825aa9…
05-18 06:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa9afce…
05-18 06:50:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x19c20d…
05-18 06:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x0b6f7b…
05-16 14:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x6c175c…
05-16 14:31:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x707d41…
05-16 14:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8c53e7…
05-16 14:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe36d12…
05-16 14:29:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d813d…
05-16 14:27:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x167952…
05-16 06:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x102a66…
05-16 06:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xb961e6…
05-16 06:47:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa25bdf…
05-15 08:49:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0xe93490…
05-15 08:48:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x84bee1…
05-15 08:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0111bc…
05-13 23:16:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xa44384…
05-13 21:35:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xf92100…
05-13 16:47:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xc03ba8…
05-13 16:11:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9abaf1…
05-13 16:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x004ebd…
05-13 16:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x6366c2…
05-13 16:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x175d23…
05-13 15:31:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe16729…
05-13 15:27:46	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x959a53…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	54	$424.0K	6,389	06-09 21:46
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	50	$15.4M	24,862	06-09 21:46
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	43	$119.7K	1,234	06-09 18:00
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	40	$125.7K	11,196	06-09 21:42
Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a	39	$15.8K	215	06-09 17:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	38	$35.6K	389	06-09 08:04
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	37	$5.21K	291	06-09 16:03
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	35	$49.7K	631	06-09 16:46