Frequent-Protection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-23 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

52% 25% $-47

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		+38	$20	72¢	$27	+$7	06-10 17:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+6	$5	70¢	$4	$-1	07-08 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	46	$355	1,714	1,270	+444	open	—	04-15 17:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	06-07 19:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$118	102	102	+0	open	—	06-01 10:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$111	54	64	-10	open	—	06-03 10:40
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 18:24
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	2	$86	250	250	+0	open	—	06-17 20:17
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	15	$86	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	02-18 07:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$82	48	48	+0	open	—	06-08 11:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	2	$69	899	899	+0	open	—	06-07 19:35
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	5	$65	175	455	-280	open	—	02-28 09:17
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	9	$62	183	93	+91	open	—	06-23 13:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	06-08 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 17:30
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$54	43	21	+22	open	—	06-20 06:06
spx up or down on july 15 2026	8	$54	74	20	+54	open	—	07-15 19:40
knife above 170 on february 28 2026	2	$52	55	0	+55	open	—	02-28 09:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$49	52	52	+0	open	—	06-10 17:31
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	06-20 06:03
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$37	154	154	+0	open	—	06-10 17:30
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$33	182	182	+0	open	—	06-10 17:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	5	$33	330	130	+200	open	—	04-14 13:19
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	5	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 10:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$32	35	35	+0	open	—	05-26 03:58
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$30	6	25	-19	open	—	02-28 08:44
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$30	48	20	+28	Down	$-25	05-07 17:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	06-10 17:31
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$28	61	61	+0	open	—	06-10 17:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	8	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 15:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$23	33	25	+8	open	—	05-27 05:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	3	$20	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:00:09	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0xc26900…
07-23 00:00:09	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$4	0xb83af4…
07-20 11:00:42	will bernie say data center during minneapolis rally 20260719004357863	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcc3528…
07-17 16:49:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5a737c…
07-17 16:49:27	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x640a1d…
07-15 19:40:59	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0de341…
07-15 19:21:52	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x94fb3f…
07-15 18:55:25	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x05ecac…
07-15 17:58:52	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x803518…
07-15 17:53:38	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x16b076…
07-15 17:50:19	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd97b7a…
07-15 17:48:38	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc583b0…
07-15 17:43:23	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x793c76…
07-08 17:44:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x98c0e2…
07-08 17:34:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe0158f…
07-08 17:33:31	wti up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x989083…
07-08 17:31:46	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x32c323…
06-29 13:57:29	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xf9e58f…
06-23 13:46:35	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	64	18¢	$12	0x9f06de…
06-23 13:45:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdddb08…
06-23 13:44:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x4ecef7…
06-23 13:44:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x93488b…
06-21 12:45:35	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x7251fb…
06-20 06:06:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x0b3154…
06-20 06:06:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x087883…
06-20 06:06:05	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd09958…
06-20 06:05:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbc40c2…
06-20 06:04:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x0866ab…
06-20 06:04:02	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x73e340…
06-20 06:03:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x76e2c1…
06-20 06:03:07	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	21	89¢	$18	0xcf386d…
06-18 13:58:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xb47ffe…
06-18 13:57:47	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3226ed…
06-18 13:57:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x04d629…
06-18 13:57:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1a43cf…
06-18 13:56:53	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc3fcbb…
06-17 20:17:01	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0xb8bdd8…
06-14 23:54:12	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x817664…
06-10 17:33:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6f0008…
06-10 17:31:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xf1b07a…
06-10 17:31:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0x4db33b…
06-10 17:31:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xe5ef57…
06-10 17:31:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x4126c5…
06-10 17:31:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x0fd95d…
06-10 17:31:18	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	371	1¢	$5	0x0adebb…
06-10 17:31:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0xb669a0…
06-10 17:31:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	182	7¢	$13	0x669b20…
06-10 17:30:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	154	11¢	$17	0xf1ce4a…
06-10 17:30:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xf6d81d…
06-08 12:05:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x12627a…
06-08 12:05:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x65cbe4…
06-08 12:04:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x149261…
06-08 12:04:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	371	3¢	$10	0x404efe…
06-08 12:04:03	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x3945c9…
06-08 11:58:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x429c45…
06-08 11:58:15	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x57f8d7…
06-08 11:57:48	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x2492b0…
06-08 11:57:34	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xc28511…
06-08 11:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf4d3bf…
06-08 11:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$24	0x6cb3b0…
06-08 11:56:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x26367f…
06-08 11:56:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x2f27e4…
06-08 11:56:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7747fe…
06-08 11:56:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xd6b8a0…
06-08 11:56:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x46b444…
06-08 11:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x483b4a…
06-08 11:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x7ec77d…
06-08 11:55:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0xf52184…
06-08 11:55:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x8f34c0…
06-07 19:50:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf95cea…
06-07 19:49:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xff4f3f…
06-07 19:44:09	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc6dddc…
06-07 19:42:33	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xffea24…
06-07 19:42:24	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x65eb11…
06-07 19:40:30	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x77ea74…
06-07 19:39:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcc81df…
06-07 19:39:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xcaadbd…
06-07 19:38:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1c4a6b…
06-07 19:38:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf6a027…
06-07 19:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x430d11…
06-07 19:37:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb86968…
06-07 19:36:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6142e0…
06-07 19:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x4c9988…
06-07 19:35:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5982cf…
06-07 19:35:34	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	899	4¢	$40	0x42a728…
06-07 19:35:24	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xfa6240…
06-07 19:35:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x8dcf9c…
06-04 19:57:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xe334e1…
06-04 19:08:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	899	3¢	$30	0xdb561d…
06-03 10:40:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x4d0a45…
06-03 10:36:36	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xc4ee07…
06-01 10:05:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x05ff4a…
06-01 10:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x870a7f…
06-01 10:04:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6423cb…
05-31 18:24:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x705d3a…
05-31 18:24:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xa551f4…
05-31 04:03:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x7140e9…
05-27 05:09:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x44b08c…
05-26 03:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x6c1ceb…
05-26 03:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x19e5a3…