Skinny-Dignity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

603

Trades

1,300

lifetime

Volume

$647.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$498

Open exposure

$296

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 92% +$211

Other

21% 60% +$200

Politics

5% 24% -$3,821

Sports

0% 0% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+242	$200	81¢	$196	-$4	10-22 11:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-100	-$80	81¢	$-81	-$1	07-06 12:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$20	19¢	$-19	+$1	07-06 12:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	72	$28.0K	18,386	18,386	+0	No	-$29	04-28 19:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	4	$14.2K	7,100	7,100	+0	No	+$7	05-20 05:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?	25	$9.0K	4,514	4,514	+0	No	+$9	05-29 18:06
bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	2	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 14:51
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	3	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 09:38
ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	15	$8.3K	4,129	4,129	+0	No	+$0	07-02 15:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 24	2	$8.0K	4,004	4,004	+0	No	+$0	04-24 13:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$216	05-26 12:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	10	$7.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	+$45	05-25 00:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?	2	$7.2K	7,161	0	+7,161	No	+$7	05-21 21:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-04 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-12 05:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$7.0K	7,014	0	+7,014	No	+$14	04-28 19:18
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	04-17 04:25
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$7	04-16 05:55
ethereum above 2600 on april 18	1	$6.8K	6,807	0	+6,807	No	+$7	04-18 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	3	$6.7K	3,349	3,349	+0	No	+$3	08-29 14:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 28?	1	$6.6K	6,570	0	+6,570	No	+$7	04-27 19:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 27?	1	$6.3K	6,306	0	+6,306	No	+$6	04-26 19:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	8	$6.3K	4,048	4,048	+0	No	+$23	05-21 19:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$6.1K	6,106	0	+6,106	No	+$6	05-07 06:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	05-19 05:45
ethereum above 2600 on april 23	1	$6.0K	6,008	0	+6,008	No	+$8	04-23 05:31
ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	3	$5.6K	3,239	2,995	+244	No	-$354	07-14 15:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 21	1	$5.4K	5,395	0	+5,395	No	+$5	04-21 04:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 26?	2	$5.1K	5,089	0	+5,089	No	+$5	04-25 06:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$5.0K	5,012	0	+5,012	No	+$12	03-26 08:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	05-21 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$10	05-14 08:24
ethereum above 1900 on june 6 2026	1	$4.8K	4,805	0	+4,805	No	+$5	06-05 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 11:59:54	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	83¢	$200	0xd6ce45…
10-20 14:32:56	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x11d77d…
10-20 14:32:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6d8c98…
10-18 17:00:20	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc0f4b4…
10-17 15:33:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbfb6e6…
10-17 12:49:12	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb6318d…
10-14 18:16:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2cdae8…
10-10 11:39:25	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x9c35fd…
10-06 19:39:35	Croatia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0b0367…
10-06 19:36:38	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x075da7…
10-06 14:46:20	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xe39ce0…
09-20 17:31:45	Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc3b640…
09-20 16:42:43	Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5da5cd…
09-20 16:41:04	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xb8a287…
09-19 16:04:02	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x28b557…
09-19 15:59:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0435af…
09-18 15:56:12	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	138	18¢	$25	0x11453a…
09-17 12:41:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xaee434…
09-17 08:24:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd8c97e…
09-17 08:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x608843…
09-17 08:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x48dd8e…
09-17 07:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0dbd04…
09-16 16:28:26	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	179	22¢	$40	0x1a3ff7…
09-16 05:12:40	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 16?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x92e1e7…
09-15 15:27:22	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e4e06…
09-13 15:54:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1a5ed7…
09-13 14:08:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x404fe7…
09-12 16:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x84e9a9…
09-12 00:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xbf004d…
09-11 23:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x47ddce…
09-11 21:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x22065e…
09-11 21:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xae1a1f…
09-11 21:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xfb5098…
09-11 21:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2a5126…
09-11 21:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xc891df…
09-11 21:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x339e99…
09-11 20:23:21	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf8f4c1…
09-08 18:58:25	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	795	1¢	$10	0xf970a4…
09-08 18:58:12	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,593	3¢	$50	0xf4b0f8…
09-08 18:58:00	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	226	22¢	$50	0x0fd727…
09-08 18:57:31	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	304	0¢	$1	0xb68a5d…
09-08 18:57:21	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6f3556…
09-08 18:57:07	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5aa6af…
09-08 18:56:58	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaaad0c…
09-08 08:48:19	atp zverev zandsch 2026 09 09	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x27b804…
09-07 16:42:27	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x070aa3…
09-07 16:28:31	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb9795d…
09-07 14:57:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	290	68¢	$197	0x6ccaf9…
09-07 14:37:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xbd6223…
09-07 13:05:19	US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x71d003…
09-06 20:28:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x01dc57…
09-06 17:26:42	US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x664536…
09-06 17:12:52	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x94dfe0…
09-06 16:52:16	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x4f8346…
09-06 15:50:45	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 6?	No	BUY	803	100¢	$803	0xce7539…
09-06 14:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x28b400…
09-06 12:28:46	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 6?	No	BUY	905	100¢	$904	0xe84801…
09-06 12:28:12	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 6?	No	BUY	2,012	100¢	$2,007	0xbf9ab5…
09-06 09:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xc36de0…
09-06 09:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3819bd…
09-06 09:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	61	28¢	$17	0xf2df06…
09-05 16:20:51	US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc2d433…
09-04 18:32:06	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Tommy Paul	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x9c6720…
09-04 14:05:43	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 4?	No	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0xb3efa6…
09-04 14:05:10	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 4?	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0xc08b91…
09-04 13:50:42	atp etcheve navone 2026 09 04	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x825840…
09-04 13:49:48	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Tommy Paul	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x449e37…
09-03 15:50:09	US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0xd6b046…
09-03 14:24:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2,784	100¢	$2,781	0xc2baae…
09-03 11:27:18	US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xd877ab…
09-03 08:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	106	7¢	$8	0x8de582…
09-02 20:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0x7b1441…
09-02 20:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	128	14¢	$18	0x11243d…
09-02 19:10:48	atp jodar bu 2026 09 01	Yunchaokete Bu	SELL	42	90¢	$37	0x3fdcbc…
09-02 19:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x8fb318…
09-02 18:34:07	atp jodar bu 2026 09 01	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xa27448…
09-01 06:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	58	30¢	$17	0xc38b63…
09-01 05:57:58	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	BUY	2,810	100¢	$2,800	0x3c1a4b…
09-01 05:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x426809…
08-31 21:31:58	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x8f9d10…
08-31 18:39:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xe73581…
08-31 18:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcc6dd7…
08-31 16:24:36	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	BUY	1,080	99¢	$1,072	0x23b669…
08-31 15:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x1b3b76…
08-31 14:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x03d96d…
08-31 10:43:20	ethereum above 2200 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	844	100¢	$843	0xfee0bf…
08-29 18:15:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x737d21…
08-29 15:27:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x32cda2…
08-29 15:26:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x72d50e…
08-29 14:46:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	SELL	3,349	100¢	$3,346	0xc111a9…
08-29 09:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x714b4b…
08-29 09:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	3,049	100¢	$3,043	0xdaaac7…
08-28 18:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x3dd326…
08-28 17:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	673	100¢	$673	0x1fa8b6…
08-28 17:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x40016d…
08-28 12:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	175	3¢	$5	0xf819de…
08-28 09:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x113cba…
08-27 18:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xfba1a2…
08-27 12:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61d149…
08-27 12:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x461e1d…