Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?
open
Total volume
$84
$162 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$13,240
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-05-20
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 23:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $13 | $3 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $31 | $27 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| Median | 7 | $24 | $4 | +$20 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $22 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 05-14 23:08 |
| Leafy-Kiosk 0x49dc…ea96 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3748…48d0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-14 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 19:14 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x326e…7438 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b3f…43b4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:14 |
| Shocked-Birthday 0x3d35…8b0e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 23:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x20026b… |
| 05-14 23:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | No | BUY | 13 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x81dbb3… |
| 05-14 20:54:29 | Grimy-Nephew 0x1e63…1a5e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 43¢ | $6 | 0x7eccea… |
| 05-14 19:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0xd0957a… |
| 05-14 19:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x64867e… |
| 05-14 19:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x11cf7d… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xa765f9… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x99f60b… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xf5d5ec… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x995c53… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x9b8d4d… |
| 05-14 19:14:30 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x68a938… |
| 05-14 19:14:30 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe87a32… |
| 05-14 19:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xb512f3… |
| 05-14 19:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xdcf2b5… |
| 05-14 19:14:23 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x973186… |
| 05-14 19:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6d613b… |
| 05-14 19:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xff0028… |
| 05-14 19:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x5b3f…43b4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xaa7be0… |
| 05-14 19:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x4adf02… |
| 05-14 19:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x326e…7438 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xca3fd5… |
| 05-14 19:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x9ea6c2… |
| 05-14 19:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xb448c6… |
| 05-14 19:13:37 | (anonymous) 0x3748…48d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xa3dab1… |
| 05-14 19:13:37 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xaa9626… |
| 05-14 19:13:37 | Shocked-Birthday 0x3d35…8b0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xcd2218… |
| 05-14 19:09:37 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x028884… |
| 05-14 18:09:03 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xbf99f1… |
| 05-14 18:04:14 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xb0c1f8… |
| 05-14 14:54:25 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xb2614f… |
| 05-14 08:03:59 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x04d3f0… |
| 05-14 05:49:26 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 26¢ | $9 | 0xdafc85… |
| 05-13 22:04:33 | Leafy-Kiosk 0x49dc…ea96 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xdd343d… |