Prime-Hat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$563

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

1,328

Trades

2,672

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-30 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 8% -$382

Other

4% 44% -$181

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	Yes		+2,251	$13	0¢	$6	-$7	10-30 23:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31?	Yes		+290	$5	1¢	$2	-$3	10-30 23:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	7	$5.4K	5,877	5,877	+0	Yes	+$5,357	08-20 14:29
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	3	$2.1K	3,341	3,341	+0	Yes	+$2,082	08-19 15:44
xrp above 1pt4 on august 21 2026	2	$563	542	542	+0	Yes	+$519	08-21 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?	3	$456	500	500	+0	Yes	+$436	09-03 15:21
xrp above 1pt2 on august 20 2026	5	$423	493	493	+0	Yes	+$379	08-20 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	6	$341	600	600	+0	No	+$332	09-21 15:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	4	$284	385	385	+0	Yes	+$274	09-18 14:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$188	48,167	48,167	+0	No	-$92	09-10 15:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$188	10,959	10,959	+0	No	-$40	09-04 15:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	5	$161	190	190	+0	Yes	+$141	09-21 12:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 05:00 UTC	12	$90	74	77	-2	Up	-$3	03-17 05:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?	2	$87	88	88	+0	Yes	+$66	09-14 14:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7?	9	$86	10,515	0	+10,515	No	-$86	09-07 11:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?	7	$86	15,654	0	+15,654	No	-$86	09-06 11:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6?	7	$77	5,092	0	+5,092	No	-$77	09-06 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$71	89	89	+0	Yes	+$21	08-31 01:40
bitcoin above 84k on september 5 2026	7	$68	14,068	0	+14,068	No	-$68	09-05 04:01
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	4	$67	1,000	719	+281	No	+$59	03-04 16:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$62	6,250	6,250	+0	No	+$12	08-31 13:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	6	$59	10,185	0	+10,185	No	-$59	09-08 07:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28?	2	$55	23,156	0	+23,156	No	-$55	08-28 10:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 00:45 UTC	4	$54	18	45	-27	Up	+$7	03-17 00:59
bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	6	$52	7,992	0	+7,992	No	-$52	08-31 04:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 7?	6	$51	14,641	0	+14,641	No	-$51	09-07 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 6?	4	$49	34,225	0	+34,225	No	-$49	09-06 03:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?	7	$47	6,186	0	+6,186	No	-$47	09-26 13:41
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$45	22,500	0	+22,500	No	-$45	01-27 17:04
will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on february 2	1	$45	2,825	0	+2,825	No	-$45	02-02 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	4	$44	10,272	0	+10,272	No	-$44	09-08 22:04
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 4?	3	$44	1,425	0	+1,425	No	-$44	09-04 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:50:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$2	0x767eeb…
10-30 23:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,326	0¢	$5	0x87ff43…
10-30 23:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$5	0xcd55fe…
10-30 15:13:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	640	1¢	$5	0x30fb15…
10-30 15:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe63c36…
10-30 13:41:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,270	0¢	$3	0xd8e6ee…
10-30 13:40:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$3	0x441ca0…
10-30 13:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,008	0¢	$5	0xa3fd14…
10-30 13:39:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	285	1¢	$3	0xbbba98…
10-30 08:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2,380	0¢	$5	0x4f4486…
10-30 08:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x0137fd…
10-30 07:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x6ee14e…
10-30 07:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x0d4b87…
10-30 07:30:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x6e28ab…
10-30 07:30:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xfbcdbb…
10-30 07:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,101	0¢	$5	0x2197ce…
10-30 07:23:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	293	2¢	$5	0xe4f853…
10-29 14:42:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4,900	0¢	$5	0xb732fd…
10-29 14:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x750379…
10-29 14:42:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	58	4¢	$2	0x57e1f2…
10-29 12:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	232	1¢	$3	0xe386dc…
10-29 12:48:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	708	0¢	$3	0x09806b…
10-29 12:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2,387	0¢	$4	0xc7ff26…
10-29 12:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	601	0¢	$3	0x40ab2b…
10-29 12:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x81348a…
10-29 00:56:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0x51574f…
10-29 00:54:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2,275	0¢	$3	0x3a3971…
10-29 00:53:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	360	1¢	$2	0x83e649…
10-29 00:52:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x234d0d…
10-28 15:22:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$2	0xeb4aa4…
10-28 15:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	318	1¢	$4	0xfa7ce6…
10-28 15:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xf4315b…
10-28 12:49:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,700	0¢	$4	0xe5d947…
10-28 12:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe0a1fc…
10-28 12:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	451	1¢	$3	0x085194…
10-28 05:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$4	0x0c556b…
10-28 05:33:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x84d15c…
10-28 05:33:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,300	0¢	$3	0x75b6d6…
10-28 05:31:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	759	1¢	$5	0xe8fac9…
10-28 05:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	912	1¢	$5	0xa04db0…
10-28 05:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9fed90…
10-27 07:42:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	961	0¢	$2	0xefd60c…
10-27 07:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x925d07…
10-27 07:42:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0xe82c34…
10-27 00:33:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3,540	0¢	$4	0x3e64d6…
10-27 00:32:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	641	0¢	$2	0xa751b3…
10-27 00:32:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	392	1¢	$4	0x3b7a28…
10-26 17:16:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	706	0¢	$2	0x4f3a39…
10-26 17:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x60b157…
10-26 17:15:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe34fc9…
10-26 09:34:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	368	2¢	$9	0x7e59d6…
10-26 09:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,463	0¢	$5	0xc6e482…
10-26 09:33:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	543	1¢	$5	0xd6bda1…
10-26 09:33:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x045bb9…
10-25 15:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,990	0¢	$3	0x4f81e3…
10-25 15:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	358	1¢	$3	0x4701c8…
10-25 15:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb312e8…
10-25 15:07:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	716	0¢	$3	0x8f3ebe…
10-25 15:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1d39c3…
10-25 15:06:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	502	0¢	$2	0xd91b37…
10-25 09:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x3b53ee…
10-25 09:48:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x217b97…
10-25 09:48:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$3	0x8bb81c…
10-25 07:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	742	0¢	$3	0xcf0398…
10-25 07:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x846bd8…
10-25 07:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2,113	0¢	$5	0x94c4df…
10-25 01:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x525f73…
10-25 01:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3,399	0¢	$5	0xc1522d…
10-25 01:49:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xbac545…
10-24 15:44:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$6	0x9c5ccf…
10-24 15:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x65620c…
10-24 15:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2,504	0¢	$8	0x6433a1…
10-24 15:40:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe76725…
10-23 16:13:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,179	0¢	$6	0xd2ff54…
10-23 16:13:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0x8cd7e5…
10-23 15:12:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6,310	0¢	$6	0xaf739f…
10-23 15:12:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	753	1¢	$4	0x380e08…
10-23 13:15:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	605	1¢	$4	0xafc545…
10-23 11:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	497	1¢	$4	0xd31ad7…
10-23 11:23:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	611	1¢	$5	0x58697b…
10-23 11:22:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	987	1¢	$5	0xb83a42…
10-23 11:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	213	2¢	$5	0x09cd78…
10-23 08:41:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2,802	0¢	$5	0xc4ea84…
10-23 08:41:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	386	0¢	$0	0x75fbfa…
10-23 08:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,973	1¢	$10	0xaa6591…
10-23 04:52:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xb1d8de…
10-23 04:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x34c703…
10-23 04:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2,362	0¢	$10	0x61a55f…
10-23 04:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	574	1¢	$5	0x9afa78…
10-22 12:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$4	0x62d68d…
10-22 11:34:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,260	0¢	$1	0xe1ea86…
10-22 11:34:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xb54b1f…
10-22 11:32:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,754	0¢	$5	0xe9e26b…
10-22 05:54:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,361	0¢	$5	0xc4f5c2…
10-22 05:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	366	1¢	$5	0x596802…
10-22 01:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x722e15…
10-22 00:26:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0xbb8369…
10-22 00:25:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xceb404…
10-21 17:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5,030	0¢	$5	0x407bd7…
10-21 17:00:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	551	1¢	$5	0x8119c4…